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2010issue C0844-45

A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit

A weekly uptrend plus a daily Fibonacci halt, a shallow MACD trough, and relative strength index confirmation defined a fill-or-stand-aside long. Editorial reading: only a prewritten split-scale exit keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed to lock an open gain.

  • Weekly trend, a daily Fibonacci halt, a shallow MACD trough, and relative strength index confirmation can be scored together as one fill-or-stand-aside long hypothesis.
  • A below-market entry stages the buy under the latest completed bar so weakness either completes the fill or leaves the trader flat.
  • The initial stop belongs just beyond the rejected low. Raising it after open profit is a later, separate decision.
  • Editorial reading: a split-position rule, one half tight and one half loose, is what keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed only to protect an open gain.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Score the entry and the exit separately

The archive records a late April 2010 long that filled from a weekly-to-daily pullback stack and later left while price, moving averages, MACD, and the force index still indicated strength.

Editorial reading: score the entry and the exit on different scorecards. The first scorecard asks whether Fibonacci retracement, MACD, and the relative strength index still define a fill-or-stand-aside hypothesis. The second asks whether a prewritten split-scale exit is still in force once an open gain appears.

Weekly trend and a daily pullback stack

On the weekly chart in late April 2010, the studied equity was in a longer uptrend. It printed a higher low near its moving average after a small prior weekly bar, and weekly MACD formed a shallow higher trough. MACD is a moving-average oscillator of price used on weekly and daily charts to judge whether a pullback trough is shallow and whether a buy condition is present.

On the daily chart, the decline halted at the 33% Fibonacci retracement. That reading is a swing-based price scale that marks proportional pullback depths as candidate support for a new long hypothesis. Price then bounced midweek and settled lower over the next two sessions, which was read as preparation for another advance.

A shallow daily MACD reading was treated as a buy signal and was described as confirmed by the relative strength index, a bounded momentum reading used to confirm or reject the daily MACD buy condition over a defined lookback.

A below-market fill and the initial stop

The planned buy was staged below the prior Friday bar at 15.35, anticipating a weaker Monday that could tag nearby session lows. A second morning dip that touched 15.25 completed the fill. That is a below-market entry: a buy staged under the latest completed bar so weakness either completes the fill or leaves the trader flat.

The initial stop was placed at 14.88, just under the rejected low, rather than tighter, because further sentiment-driven weakness was still considered possible. That initial stop is the first invalidation price placed beyond a rejected low before any profit-protecting adjustment.

An exit while the tape still showed strength

After Tuesday and Wednesday strength, the stop was raised to the Tuesday high instead of closing the full position at that open-profit level. A later review described the fill as occurring near the week's low because the buy was staged below the market, while the exit occurred on a day when price, moving averages, MACD, and the force index still indicated strength.

The same review attributed the early exit to protecting an open gain and cited a finding that the fear of a loss is 2.5 times stronger than the desire for gain. It then noted handling one half of a trade more tightly and the other more loosely as one practical response.

A written split for risk and exit

The working method split both risk and exit: take the first half at the original objective and trail the rest with a wider stop, and optionally split the entry between a first piece with a wide stop and a second, better-priced piece. That is a split-position rule. It closes or risks one half of the trade more tightly while the other half is given a wider stop.

Editorial reading: only that prewritten split-scale exit keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed by the urge to lock an open gain.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
57 of 80 in the MACD track
201024-26 pp.Next on MACDFiltering MACD false signals with trendline breaksA 12-26-9 MACD buy or sell reading can fail to persist, so keep it as a draft hypothesis rather than a trigger.
All readings on this track · 80 readings
  1. 1988Rebuild MACD-Mo and MACD-H before treating them as signals
  2. 1989Four-span MACD lookbacks as perishable parameters
  3. 1989Weekly then daily MACD confirmation on individual stocks
  4. 1991Regime-gated MACD and stochastic rules inside a checklist
  5. 1991Constructing MACD signal lines and divergence tests
  6. 1991MACD parameter order and cycle phase lag
  7. 1992Lengthened bond MACD as an equity regime filter
  8. 1992Long-horizon MACD construction from paired exponential averages
  9. 1993Constructing a signed ten-point trend filter
  10. 1994Constructing lag-reduced double exponential averages for MACD
  11. 1994Seeding DEMA2 filters to build a MACD signal
  12. 1994Constructing MACD from lag-reduced exponential averages
  13. 1994TEMA1 from nested exponential averages, then a two-horizon MACD
  14. 1994Constructing entry and exit on a relative-strength MACD
  15. 1994Constructing a relative-strength MACD crossover spreadsheet
  16. 1995Consensus presignal filters for Relative Strength Index, MACD and the Stochastic oscillator
  17. 1997Confirm the MACD turn with price, then exit on the histogram
  18. 1997Reconstructing a stochastic oscillator, MACD, and a triple-smoothed oscillator
  19. 1997Moving-average windows before crossovers and MACD
  20. 1999Second-stage MACD on relative-strength inputs
  21. 1999Constructing MACD from exponential-average spreads for crossover and divergence
  22. 1999Coding candlesticks into numeric indicators
  23. 2001Second-low confirmation with a percentage oscillator and money-flow filter
  24. 2001Constructing MACD from exponential average spreads and a signal line
  25. 2002Separate bounded and trend-following oscillator rules
  26. 2002Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
  27. 2002Building classic divergence filters from RSI and MACD
  28. 2002Weekly highs and lows as trend gates
  29. 2002Constructing channel-normalized Fisher reversal signals
  30. 2002Affine-price and the Fisher transform as a constructed companion to MACD
  31. 2003Regularized EMA construction with a MACD line and a thrust oscillator
  32. 2003Curvature-penalized exponential averages versus MACD
  33. 2003MACD, moving averages, and a trend filter as one timing system
  34. 2003Fractional MACD and linear-regression reversal construction
  35. 2004Weekly MACD-histogram timing of bear-market rallies
  36. 2004Candlestick triggers filtered by MACD divergence
  37. 2004Staging energy-complex tops with trendline, breakout, and MACD
  38. 2005Selling climax holds versus fails
  39. 2006Treat a sideways Wave as permission before a breakout
  40. 2007MACD with a Stochastic oscillator for spotting trend reversals
  41. 2007Rebuilding an S&P 500 fifth-wave count after a broken target
  42. 2007Constructing MACD, RSI, and stochastic confirmation for futures
  43. 2007MACD histogram divergence needs a confirming close
  44. 2007Write the plan as a stack: ratio, boundary, then oscillators
  45. 2008MACD divergence and Stochastic oscillator confirmation on lumber futures
  46. 2008Assign confirmation, timing, and a stop before a currency pair is tested
  47. 2008Confirm the ten-bagger launch path before the MACD exit
  48. 2008Reading the offloaded evidence file
  49. 2008A Leader companion for MACD direction warnings
  50. 2008Relative strength exits with MACD averages and RSI
  51. 2008Assign one job per indicator in a three-screens rule set
  52. 2008Sequencing RSI, MACD, and average crossovers
  53. 2010Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
  54. 2010Schaff Trend Cycle as a MACD and Stochastic oscillator combination
  55. 2010Combining Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD as slope filters
  56. 2010Short-term wave and ratio clues without direction calls
  57. 2010A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
  58. 2010Filtering MACD false signals with trendline breaks
  59. 2011Vendor feeds as an input variable in a MACD evaluation
  60. 2012Out-of-the-money versus in-the-money option sensitivity to implied volatility
  61. 2012MACD window tuning as hold-time control
  62. 2012Combining a moving-average crossover with MACD and support-resistance
  63. 2012Testing a published MACD entry with a histogram and signal-line agreement filter
  64. 2012Treat sample systems as a lab before live rules
  65. 2013Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
  66. 2013The next-bar price that forces a MACD signal-line cross
  67. 2013Constructing next-bar MACD reversal prices
  68. 2013Constructing inverted MACD reversal prices
  69. 2014Shared-filter combinations of the stochastic oscillator, MACD, and RSI
  70. 2014Square-root lookbacks for combined MACD and RSI
  71. 2015Audit open interest and trend before trusting oscillator crossovers
  72. 2016MACD without a signal line, confirmed by moving-average trend filters
  73. 2016Use RSI, MACD, and a moving average as a market-health consensus
  74. 2016MACD line versus histogram is a display problem first
  75. 2017Weekly and daily MACD on a single daily chart
  76. 2017Weekly and daily MACD as a stacked momentum filter
  77. 2017Nested weekly and daily MACD from paired EMA spreads
  78. 2018Weekly and daily PPO scale versus MACD, with bounded RSI and stochastic readings
  79. 2018Constructing a weekly and daily percentage price oscillator
  80. 2020Constructing Wyckoff tape reading with MACD, moving-average, and RSI filters
All 115 readings tagged MACD
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