2010issue C0844-45
A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
A weekly uptrend plus a daily Fibonacci halt, a shallow MACD trough, and relative strength index confirmation defined a fill-or-stand-aside long. Editorial reading: only a prewritten split-scale exit keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed to lock an open gain.
- Weekly trend, a daily Fibonacci halt, a shallow MACD trough, and relative strength index confirmation can be scored together as one fill-or-stand-aside long hypothesis.
- A below-market entry stages the buy under the latest completed bar so weakness either completes the fill or leaves the trader flat.
- The initial stop belongs just beyond the rejected low. Raising it after open profit is a later, separate decision.
- Editorial reading: a split-position rule, one half tight and one half loose, is what keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed only to protect an open gain.
Score the entry and the exit separately
The archive records a late April 2010 long that filled from a weekly-to-daily pullback stack and later left while price, moving averages, MACD, and the force index still indicated strength.
Editorial reading: score the entry and the exit on different scorecards. The first scorecard asks whether Fibonacci retracement, MACD, and the relative strength index still define a fill-or-stand-aside hypothesis. The second asks whether a prewritten split-scale exit is still in force once an open gain appears.
Weekly trend and a daily pullback stack
On the weekly chart in late April 2010, the studied equity was in a longer uptrend. It printed a higher low near its moving average after a small prior weekly bar, and weekly MACD formed a shallow higher trough. MACD is a moving-average oscillator of price used on weekly and daily charts to judge whether a pullback trough is shallow and whether a buy condition is present.
On the daily chart, the decline halted at the 33% Fibonacci retracement. That reading is a swing-based price scale that marks proportional pullback depths as candidate support for a new long hypothesis. Price then bounced midweek and settled lower over the next two sessions, which was read as preparation for another advance.
A shallow daily MACD reading was treated as a buy signal and was described as confirmed by the relative strength index, a bounded momentum reading used to confirm or reject the daily MACD buy condition over a defined lookback.
A below-market fill and the initial stop
The planned buy was staged below the prior Friday bar at 15.35, anticipating a weaker Monday that could tag nearby session lows. A second morning dip that touched 15.25 completed the fill. That is a below-market entry: a buy staged under the latest completed bar so weakness either completes the fill or leaves the trader flat.
The initial stop was placed at 14.88, just under the rejected low, rather than tighter, because further sentiment-driven weakness was still considered possible. That initial stop is the first invalidation price placed beyond a rejected low before any profit-protecting adjustment.
An exit while the tape still showed strength
After Tuesday and Wednesday strength, the stop was raised to the Tuesday high instead of closing the full position at that open-profit level. A later review described the fill as occurring near the week's low because the buy was staged below the market, while the exit occurred on a day when price, moving averages, MACD, and the force index still indicated strength.
The same review attributed the early exit to protecting an open gain and cited a finding that the fear of a loss is 2.5 times stronger than the desire for gain. It then noted handling one half of a trade more tightly and the other more loosely as one practical response.
A written split for risk and exit
The working method split both risk and exit: take the first half at the original objective and trail the rest with a wider stop, and optionally split the entry between a first piece with a wide stop and a second, better-priced piece. That is a split-position rule. It closes or risks one half of the trade more tightly while the other half is given a wider stop.
Editorial reading: only that prewritten split-scale exit keeps a still-valid strength tape from being closed by the urge to lock an open gain.
All readings on this track · 80 readings
- 1988Rebuild MACD-Mo and MACD-H before treating them as signals
- 1989Four-span MACD lookbacks as perishable parameters
- 1989Weekly then daily MACD confirmation on individual stocks
- 1991Regime-gated MACD and stochastic rules inside a checklist
- 1991Constructing MACD signal lines and divergence tests
- 1991MACD parameter order and cycle phase lag
- 1992Lengthened bond MACD as an equity regime filter
- 1992Long-horizon MACD construction from paired exponential averages
- 1993Constructing a signed ten-point trend filter
- 1994Constructing lag-reduced double exponential averages for MACD
- 1994Seeding DEMA2 filters to build a MACD signal
- 1994Constructing MACD from lag-reduced exponential averages
- 1994TEMA1 from nested exponential averages, then a two-horizon MACD
- 1994Constructing entry and exit on a relative-strength MACD
- 1994Constructing a relative-strength MACD crossover spreadsheet
- 1995Consensus presignal filters for Relative Strength Index, MACD and the Stochastic oscillator
- 1997Confirm the MACD turn with price, then exit on the histogram
- 1997Reconstructing a stochastic oscillator, MACD, and a triple-smoothed oscillator
- 1997Moving-average windows before crossovers and MACD
- 1999Second-stage MACD on relative-strength inputs
- 1999Constructing MACD from exponential-average spreads for crossover and divergence
- 1999Coding candlesticks into numeric indicators
- 2001Second-low confirmation with a percentage oscillator and money-flow filter
- 2001Constructing MACD from exponential average spreads and a signal line
- 2002Separate bounded and trend-following oscillator rules
- 2002Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
- 2002Building classic divergence filters from RSI and MACD
- 2002Weekly highs and lows as trend gates
- 2002Constructing channel-normalized Fisher reversal signals
- 2002Affine-price and the Fisher transform as a constructed companion to MACD
- 2003Regularized EMA construction with a MACD line and a thrust oscillator
- 2003Curvature-penalized exponential averages versus MACD
- 2003MACD, moving averages, and a trend filter as one timing system
- 2003Fractional MACD and linear-regression reversal construction
- 2004Weekly MACD-histogram timing of bear-market rallies
- 2004Candlestick triggers filtered by MACD divergence
- 2004Staging energy-complex tops with trendline, breakout, and MACD
- 2005Selling climax holds versus fails
- 2006Treat a sideways Wave as permission before a breakout
- 2007MACD with a Stochastic oscillator for spotting trend reversals
- 2007Rebuilding an S&P 500 fifth-wave count after a broken target
- 2007Constructing MACD, RSI, and stochastic confirmation for futures
- 2007MACD histogram divergence needs a confirming close
- 2007Write the plan as a stack: ratio, boundary, then oscillators
- 2008MACD divergence and Stochastic oscillator confirmation on lumber futures
- 2008Assign confirmation, timing, and a stop before a currency pair is tested
- 2008Confirm the ten-bagger launch path before the MACD exit
- 2008Reading the offloaded evidence file
- 2008A Leader companion for MACD direction warnings
- 2008Relative strength exits with MACD averages and RSI
- 2008Assign one job per indicator in a three-screens rule set
- 2008Sequencing RSI, MACD, and average crossovers
- 2010Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
- 2010Schaff Trend Cycle as a MACD and Stochastic oscillator combination
- 2010Combining Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD as slope filters
- 2010Short-term wave and ratio clues without direction calls
- 2010A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
- 2010Filtering MACD false signals with trendline breaks
- 2011Vendor feeds as an input variable in a MACD evaluation
- 2012Out-of-the-money versus in-the-money option sensitivity to implied volatility
- 2012MACD window tuning as hold-time control
- 2012Combining a moving-average crossover with MACD and support-resistance
- 2012Testing a published MACD entry with a histogram and signal-line agreement filter
- 2012Treat sample systems as a lab before live rules
- 2013Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
- 2013The next-bar price that forces a MACD signal-line cross
- 2013Constructing next-bar MACD reversal prices
- 2013Constructing inverted MACD reversal prices
- 2014Shared-filter combinations of the stochastic oscillator, MACD, and RSI
- 2014Square-root lookbacks for combined MACD and RSI
- 2015Audit open interest and trend before trusting oscillator crossovers
- 2016MACD without a signal line, confirmed by moving-average trend filters
- 2016Use RSI, MACD, and a moving average as a market-health consensus
- 2016MACD line versus histogram is a display problem first
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD on a single daily chart
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD as a stacked momentum filter
- 2017Nested weekly and daily MACD from paired EMA spreads
- 2018Weekly and daily PPO scale versus MACD, with bounded RSI and stochastic readings
- 2018Constructing a weekly and daily percentage price oscillator
- 2020Constructing Wyckoff tape reading with MACD, moving-average, and RSI filters