2002issue C061-5
Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
A historical watchlist workflow used two-color regime bars to sort names as mostly rising, mostly falling, or mixed. Only after that sort did MACD take a trend role, the stochastic oscillator take a timing role, and a moving average become a test that price had already shown it might respect.
- Regime bars above each chart sorted names into mostly rising, mostly falling, or mixed sideways oscillation before any tool was given a job.
- MACD was assigned to name uptrend or downtrend tendency, and the stochastic oscillator was assigned to mark timing points inside that accepted trend.
- A mixed regime bar was treated as a warning that the moving-average relationship with the 13-day or 50-day line was unstable.
- A name still had to clear the three-input decision frame of technical structure, business fundamentals, and community sentiment.
How the watchlist was sorted
The archive describes a watchlist-level screen that grouped holdings by current technical states. Those states included stochastic-oversold readings and record price highs.
Two-color bars above each chart sorted names into three bins: mostly rising, mostly falling, or mixed sideways oscillation. In this workflow those strips are the regime bars.
Trend job and timing job
MACD was assigned to identify uptrend or downtrend tendency. The stochastic oscillator was assigned to mark timing points inside that trend. Both roles were treated as necessary.
MACD is used here to express whether a name tends to rise or fall, not to time the next tick. The stochastic oscillator is used here to mark candidate timing points after a trend or range has already been accepted.
When a moving average is a test
The working moving averages were the 13-day and 50-day. The 200-day was described as a last-stand line for longer-horizon holders.
Names with mixed regime bars were said to lack a stable relationship with the 13-day or 50-day averages and to cross them frequently. That moving-average relationship is the question of whether price repeatedly tests and holds a chosen average, or crosses it so often that the average is not a useful gate.
A moving average is treated as a test level only when price has a history of respecting it instead of slicing through it.
The three-input decision frame
The stated decision frame required three concurrent inputs: technical structure, business fundamentals, and community sentiment.
That three-input decision frame is a checklist. It asks for chart structure, business facts, and whether other participants expressed interest before a name is acted on.
Short mixed bars and a tight range
When regime bars stayed short and mixed and price remained between about 9 and 13, the process favored oscillator readings plus support and resistance over a multi-month hold.
Editorial reading: a mixed, unstable regime is a reason to keep the stochastic oscillator on a timing job and to withhold a longer hold that needs a stable trend.
HLIT price versus the 9–13 dollar range

The 9 and 13 dollar bounds are Fairclough’s year-to-date description, not a formal envelope; the September 2001 spike sits outside that later band. Monthly prices are approximate reads from the raster at about half-dollar precision. The last print of 10.19 is the quote strip on the same page, not a pixel estimate.
Record-price breakouts and pullback candidates
A market-wide filter isolated uptrends that were currently oversold as pullback candidates. A pullback candidate is an already rising name that has retreated far enough for an oversold oscillator reading to be treated as a testable entry hypothesis.
A separate list flagged 52-week highs that had not printed in the prior six months. That second list is the set of record-price breakouts in this workflow.
After a first record-price breakout, the described habit was to wait for an oversold pullback rather than act immediately, especially while the broader tape was flat.
All readings on this track · 80 readings
- 1988Rebuild MACD-Mo and MACD-H before treating them as signals
- 1989Four-span MACD lookbacks as perishable parameters
- 1989Weekly then daily MACD confirmation on individual stocks
- 1991Regime-gated MACD and stochastic rules inside a checklist
- 1991Constructing MACD signal lines and divergence tests
- 1991MACD parameter order and cycle phase lag
- 1992Lengthened bond MACD as an equity regime filter
- 1992Long-horizon MACD construction from paired exponential averages
- 1993Constructing a signed ten-point trend filter
- 1994Constructing lag-reduced double exponential averages for MACD
- 1994Seeding DEMA2 filters to build a MACD signal
- 1994Constructing MACD from lag-reduced exponential averages
- 1994TEMA1 from nested exponential averages, then a two-horizon MACD
- 1994Constructing entry and exit on a relative-strength MACD
- 1994Constructing a relative-strength MACD crossover spreadsheet
- 1995Consensus presignal filters for Relative Strength Index, MACD and the Stochastic oscillator
- 1997Confirm the MACD turn with price, then exit on the histogram
- 1997Reconstructing a stochastic oscillator, MACD, and a triple-smoothed oscillator
- 1997Moving-average windows before crossovers and MACD
- 1999Second-stage MACD on relative-strength inputs
- 1999Constructing MACD from exponential-average spreads for crossover and divergence
- 1999Coding candlesticks into numeric indicators
- 2001Second-low confirmation with a percentage oscillator and money-flow filter
- 2001Constructing MACD from exponential average spreads and a signal line
- 2002Separate bounded and trend-following oscillator rules
- 2002Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
- 2002Building classic divergence filters from RSI and MACD
- 2002Weekly highs and lows as trend gates
- 2002Constructing channel-normalized Fisher reversal signals
- 2002Affine-price and the Fisher transform as a constructed companion to MACD
- 2003Regularized EMA construction with a MACD line and a thrust oscillator
- 2003Curvature-penalized exponential averages versus MACD
- 2003MACD, moving averages, and a trend filter as one timing system
- 2003Fractional MACD and linear-regression reversal construction
- 2004Weekly MACD-histogram timing of bear-market rallies
- 2004Candlestick triggers filtered by MACD divergence
- 2004Staging energy-complex tops with trendline, breakout, and MACD
- 2005Selling climax holds versus fails
- 2006Treat a sideways Wave as permission before a breakout
- 2007MACD with a Stochastic oscillator for spotting trend reversals
- 2007Rebuilding an S&P 500 fifth-wave count after a broken target
- 2007Constructing MACD, RSI, and stochastic confirmation for futures
- 2007MACD histogram divergence needs a confirming close
- 2007Write the plan as a stack: ratio, boundary, then oscillators
- 2008MACD divergence and Stochastic oscillator confirmation on lumber futures
- 2008Assign confirmation, timing, and a stop before a currency pair is tested
- 2008Confirm the ten-bagger launch path before the MACD exit
- 2008Reading the offloaded evidence file
- 2008A Leader companion for MACD direction warnings
- 2008Relative strength exits with MACD averages and RSI
- 2008Assign one job per indicator in a three-screens rule set
- 2008Sequencing RSI, MACD, and average crossovers
- 2010Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
- 2010Schaff Trend Cycle as a MACD and Stochastic oscillator combination
- 2010Combining Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD as slope filters
- 2010Short-term wave and ratio clues without direction calls
- 2010A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
- 2010Filtering MACD false signals with trendline breaks
- 2011Vendor feeds as an input variable in a MACD evaluation
- 2012Out-of-the-money versus in-the-money option sensitivity to implied volatility
- 2012MACD window tuning as hold-time control
- 2012Combining a moving-average crossover with MACD and support-resistance
- 2012Testing a published MACD entry with a histogram and signal-line agreement filter
- 2012Treat sample systems as a lab before live rules
- 2013Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
- 2013The next-bar price that forces a MACD signal-line cross
- 2013Constructing next-bar MACD reversal prices
- 2013Constructing inverted MACD reversal prices
- 2014Shared-filter combinations of the stochastic oscillator, MACD, and RSI
- 2014Square-root lookbacks for combined MACD and RSI
- 2015Audit open interest and trend before trusting oscillator crossovers
- 2016MACD without a signal line, confirmed by moving-average trend filters
- 2016Use RSI, MACD, and a moving average as a market-health consensus
- 2016MACD line versus histogram is a display problem first
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD on a single daily chart
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD as a stacked momentum filter
- 2017Nested weekly and daily MACD from paired EMA spreads
- 2018Weekly and daily PPO scale versus MACD, with bounded RSI and stochastic readings
- 2018Constructing a weekly and daily percentage price oscillator
- 2020Constructing Wyckoff tape reading with MACD, moving-average, and RSI filters