2013issue C0928-31
Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
A simple moving average, an exponential moving average, and MACD can be rebuilt from the same ordered price series. Each construction weights past prices differently, and a crossing can appear after a price move has already started.
- A simple moving average is constructed by summing the included prices and dividing by the number of observations.
- An exponential moving average assigns greater weight to more recent prices and updates recursively from the prior exponential average.
- MACD is the difference between two exponential averages, with a 12-period minus 26-period fast line and a nine-period signal line.
- Because averages and MACD are built from past prices, their crossings can appear after a price move has already started.
One ordered price series
A simple moving average, an exponential moving average, and MACD are each computed from ordered prices. The same series can carry all three constructions, so the lookback and the weighting stay visible.
Simple moving average
A simple moving average is constructed by summing the included prices and dividing by the number of observations. That construction is the arithmetic mean of the latest prices kept in the lookback.
Exponential moving average
An exponential moving average assigns greater weight to more recent prices and updates recursively from the prior exponential average. The smoothing multiplier applied to the newest price is defined as 2 divided by the lookback length plus one.
MACD from two exponential averages
MACD is constructed as the difference between two exponential moving averages. In the stated MACD construction, the fast line is a 12-period exponential average minus a 26-period exponential average, and the signal line is a nine-period exponential average of that difference.
Crossovers, floors, and momentum
A basic crossover construction compares a 50-day simple moving average with a 200-day simple moving average. A crossover is a change in rank between a shorter average and a longer average on the same series.
Rising MACD troughs are described as increasing momentum, and falling MACD peaks as fading momentum. Simple and exponential averages are described as dynamic floors or ceilings relative to price.
Lag from past prices
Because both averages and MACD are computed from past prices, their crossings can appear after a price move has already started. That delay is lag: the wait between a price turn and an average-based crossing, because both inputs are built from past observations.
EURUSD daily close versus two moving averages, March–June 2013

Average lookbacks are not printed on the figure. MACD(12,26,9) appears in a separate pane with last readings 0.008256, 0.008373, and -0.000117 and is omitted so every series shares the price scale. Quotes between grid lines are approximate.
All readings on this track · 80 readings
- 1988Rebuild MACD-Mo and MACD-H before treating them as signals
- 1989Four-span MACD lookbacks as perishable parameters
- 1989Weekly then daily MACD confirmation on individual stocks
- 1991Regime-gated MACD and stochastic rules inside a checklist
- 1991Constructing MACD signal lines and divergence tests
- 1991MACD parameter order and cycle phase lag
- 1992Lengthened bond MACD as an equity regime filter
- 1992Long-horizon MACD construction from paired exponential averages
- 1993Constructing a signed ten-point trend filter
- 1994Constructing lag-reduced double exponential averages for MACD
- 1994Seeding DEMA2 filters to build a MACD signal
- 1994Constructing MACD from lag-reduced exponential averages
- 1994TEMA1 from nested exponential averages, then a two-horizon MACD
- 1994Constructing entry and exit on a relative-strength MACD
- 1994Constructing a relative-strength MACD crossover spreadsheet
- 1995Consensus presignal filters for Relative Strength Index, MACD and the Stochastic oscillator
- 1997Confirm the MACD turn with price, then exit on the histogram
- 1997Reconstructing a stochastic oscillator, MACD, and a triple-smoothed oscillator
- 1997Moving-average windows before crossovers and MACD
- 1999Second-stage MACD on relative-strength inputs
- 1999Constructing MACD from exponential-average spreads for crossover and divergence
- 1999Coding candlesticks into numeric indicators
- 2001Second-low confirmation with a percentage oscillator and money-flow filter
- 2001Constructing MACD from exponential average spreads and a signal line
- 2002Separate bounded and trend-following oscillator rules
- 2002Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
- 2002Building classic divergence filters from RSI and MACD
- 2002Weekly highs and lows as trend gates
- 2002Constructing channel-normalized Fisher reversal signals
- 2002Affine-price and the Fisher transform as a constructed companion to MACD
- 2003Regularized EMA construction with a MACD line and a thrust oscillator
- 2003Curvature-penalized exponential averages versus MACD
- 2003MACD, moving averages, and a trend filter as one timing system
- 2003Fractional MACD and linear-regression reversal construction
- 2004Weekly MACD-histogram timing of bear-market rallies
- 2004Candlestick triggers filtered by MACD divergence
- 2004Staging energy-complex tops with trendline, breakout, and MACD
- 2005Selling climax holds versus fails
- 2006Treat a sideways Wave as permission before a breakout
- 2007MACD with a Stochastic oscillator for spotting trend reversals
- 2007Rebuilding an S&P 500 fifth-wave count after a broken target
- 2007Constructing MACD, RSI, and stochastic confirmation for futures
- 2007MACD histogram divergence needs a confirming close
- 2007Write the plan as a stack: ratio, boundary, then oscillators
- 2008MACD divergence and Stochastic oscillator confirmation on lumber futures
- 2008Assign confirmation, timing, and a stop before a currency pair is tested
- 2008Confirm the ten-bagger launch path before the MACD exit
- 2008Reading the offloaded evidence file
- 2008A Leader companion for MACD direction warnings
- 2008Relative strength exits with MACD averages and RSI
- 2008Assign one job per indicator in a three-screens rule set
- 2008Sequencing RSI, MACD, and average crossovers
- 2010Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
- 2010Schaff Trend Cycle as a MACD and Stochastic oscillator combination
- 2010Combining Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD as slope filters
- 2010Short-term wave and ratio clues without direction calls
- 2010A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
- 2010Filtering MACD false signals with trendline breaks
- 2011Vendor feeds as an input variable in a MACD evaluation
- 2012Out-of-the-money versus in-the-money option sensitivity to implied volatility
- 2012MACD window tuning as hold-time control
- 2012Combining a moving-average crossover with MACD and support-resistance
- 2012Testing a published MACD entry with a histogram and signal-line agreement filter
- 2012Treat sample systems as a lab before live rules
- 2013Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
- 2013The next-bar price that forces a MACD signal-line cross
- 2013Constructing next-bar MACD reversal prices
- 2013Constructing inverted MACD reversal prices
- 2014Shared-filter combinations of the stochastic oscillator, MACD, and RSI
- 2014Square-root lookbacks for combined MACD and RSI
- 2015Audit open interest and trend before trusting oscillator crossovers
- 2016MACD without a signal line, confirmed by moving-average trend filters
- 2016Use RSI, MACD, and a moving average as a market-health consensus
- 2016MACD line versus histogram is a display problem first
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD on a single daily chart
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD as a stacked momentum filter
- 2017Nested weekly and daily MACD from paired EMA spreads
- 2018Weekly and daily PPO scale versus MACD, with bounded RSI and stochastic readings
- 2018Constructing a weekly and daily percentage price oscillator
- 2020Constructing Wyckoff tape reading with MACD, moving-average, and RSI filters