2010issue C0485-87
Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
The Schaff Trend Cycle is displayed as STC(10, 23, 50) with horizontal guides at 25 and 75. Overbought and oversold states are read with 23- and 50-period exponential-average crossovers. This article restates that historical construction and labels as editorial the claim that a band extreme is unfinished trend time rather than a reverse mark.
- The Schaff Trend Cycle is a three-parameter trend oscillator displayed as STC(10, 23, 50) with fixed guides at 25 and 75.
- Overbought or oversold states are read with 23- and 50-period exponential-average crossovers, not as standalone reversal marks.
- A high-band reading, such as an hourly 92, can persist while price continues in the same direction until a later signal time.
- Shortening the cycle lookback multiplies turns; a parameter change is judged successful when the signal line tracks the price bars.
What the display is built from
The Schaff Trend Cycle is a three-parameter trend oscillator that pairs a bar-cycle length with two exponential-average lengths and fixed high and low bands. Those bands can stay extreme while the underlying move continues. In the archive workflow it is displayed as STC(10, 23, 50) with horizontal guides at 25 and 75.
MACD is a zero-centered comparison of two exponentially smoothed averages. Mutual crossovers, zero-line crossings, and divergences are the listed signal events. The exponential moving average used in that construction applies weight k = 2/(n+1) to the latest close and the complementary weight to the prior average.
The dominant-cycle window
A dominant cycle is a lookback counted in bars that sets how many turns the oscillator is allowed to mark. The dominant-cycle setting in the worked example is 20 bars. The cycle framework described there allows at most 20 additional bars of extension before the cycle window itself is the quantity to lengthen.
Reducing the cycle count increases the number of turns marked. Raising it reduces the number of turns and is described as increasing cycle accuracy. Shortening the window multiplies turns. Lengthening it is treated as the more cycle-accurate setting.
Reading a band extreme with a regime crossover
Overbought or oversold oscillator states are read together with 23- and 50-period exponential-average crossovers rather than as standalone reversal marks. The same two exponential lengths are reread as a bullish or bearish average cross so an oscillator extreme is not treated as a standalone reverse mark.
An hourly reading of 92 is treated as an overbought state that can persist while price continues in the same direction until a later signal time. A high-band reading can last for many bars, so the extreme is a state to wait through until a later signal time.
Intended regime and parameter fit
The construction is classified as a trending indicator. Sideways signal lines and congestion are treated as conditions outside its intended use. Parameter adjustments are judged successful when the signal line tracks the price bars, not when more turns appear.
All readings on this track · 80 readings
- 1988Rebuild MACD-Mo and MACD-H before treating them as signals
- 1989Four-span MACD lookbacks as perishable parameters
- 1989Weekly then daily MACD confirmation on individual stocks
- 1991Regime-gated MACD and stochastic rules inside a checklist
- 1991Constructing MACD signal lines and divergence tests
- 1991MACD parameter order and cycle phase lag
- 1992Lengthened bond MACD as an equity regime filter
- 1992Long-horizon MACD construction from paired exponential averages
- 1993Constructing a signed ten-point trend filter
- 1994Constructing lag-reduced double exponential averages for MACD
- 1994Seeding DEMA2 filters to build a MACD signal
- 1994Constructing MACD from lag-reduced exponential averages
- 1994TEMA1 from nested exponential averages, then a two-horizon MACD
- 1994Constructing entry and exit on a relative-strength MACD
- 1994Constructing a relative-strength MACD crossover spreadsheet
- 1995Consensus presignal filters for Relative Strength Index, MACD and the Stochastic oscillator
- 1997Confirm the MACD turn with price, then exit on the histogram
- 1997Reconstructing a stochastic oscillator, MACD, and a triple-smoothed oscillator
- 1997Moving-average windows before crossovers and MACD
- 1999Second-stage MACD on relative-strength inputs
- 1999Constructing MACD from exponential-average spreads for crossover and divergence
- 1999Coding candlesticks into numeric indicators
- 2001Second-low confirmation with a percentage oscillator and money-flow filter
- 2001Constructing MACD from exponential average spreads and a signal line
- 2002Separate bounded and trend-following oscillator rules
- 2002Sort the regime before assigning MACD and stochastic jobs
- 2002Building classic divergence filters from RSI and MACD
- 2002Weekly highs and lows as trend gates
- 2002Constructing channel-normalized Fisher reversal signals
- 2002Affine-price and the Fisher transform as a constructed companion to MACD
- 2003Regularized EMA construction with a MACD line and a thrust oscillator
- 2003Curvature-penalized exponential averages versus MACD
- 2003MACD, moving averages, and a trend filter as one timing system
- 2003Fractional MACD and linear-regression reversal construction
- 2004Weekly MACD-histogram timing of bear-market rallies
- 2004Candlestick triggers filtered by MACD divergence
- 2004Staging energy-complex tops with trendline, breakout, and MACD
- 2005Selling climax holds versus fails
- 2006Treat a sideways Wave as permission before a breakout
- 2007MACD with a Stochastic oscillator for spotting trend reversals
- 2007Rebuilding an S&P 500 fifth-wave count after a broken target
- 2007Constructing MACD, RSI, and stochastic confirmation for futures
- 2007MACD histogram divergence needs a confirming close
- 2007Write the plan as a stack: ratio, boundary, then oscillators
- 2008MACD divergence and Stochastic oscillator confirmation on lumber futures
- 2008Assign confirmation, timing, and a stop before a currency pair is tested
- 2008Confirm the ten-bagger launch path before the MACD exit
- 2008Reading the offloaded evidence file
- 2008A Leader companion for MACD direction warnings
- 2008Relative strength exits with MACD averages and RSI
- 2008Assign one job per indicator in a three-screens rule set
- 2008Sequencing RSI, MACD, and average crossovers
- 2010Constructing the Schaff Trend Cycle from MACD and a dominant-cycle window
- 2010Schaff Trend Cycle as a MACD and Stochastic oscillator combination
- 2010Combining Relative Strength Index, the stochastic oscillator, and MACD as slope filters
- 2010Short-term wave and ratio clues without direction calls
- 2010A precise pullback entry and an unplanned profit-protection exit
- 2010Filtering MACD false signals with trendline breaks
- 2011Vendor feeds as an input variable in a MACD evaluation
- 2012Out-of-the-money versus in-the-money option sensitivity to implied volatility
- 2012MACD window tuning as hold-time control
- 2012Combining a moving-average crossover with MACD and support-resistance
- 2012Testing a published MACD entry with a histogram and signal-line agreement filter
- 2012Treat sample systems as a lab before live rules
- 2013Constructing moving averages and MACD from one price series
- 2013The next-bar price that forces a MACD signal-line cross
- 2013Constructing next-bar MACD reversal prices
- 2013Constructing inverted MACD reversal prices
- 2014Shared-filter combinations of the stochastic oscillator, MACD, and RSI
- 2014Square-root lookbacks for combined MACD and RSI
- 2015Audit open interest and trend before trusting oscillator crossovers
- 2016MACD without a signal line, confirmed by moving-average trend filters
- 2016Use RSI, MACD, and a moving average as a market-health consensus
- 2016MACD line versus histogram is a display problem first
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD on a single daily chart
- 2017Weekly and daily MACD as a stacked momentum filter
- 2017Nested weekly and daily MACD from paired EMA spreads
- 2018Weekly and daily PPO scale versus MACD, with bounded RSI and stochastic readings
- 2018Constructing a weekly and daily percentage price oscillator
- 2020Constructing Wyckoff tape reading with MACD, moving-average, and RSI filters