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Research method

Dominant cycle detection

Dominant cycle detection is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Conditional forecast or research filter
Input
Ordered price, volume or breadth observations
Horizon
A defined sampling interval and lookback
Best use
Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Ordered price, volume or breadth observations.
  • Output: forecast.
  • Use boundary: Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.
The graph8

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 180 readings

1982Cycle phase windows for chart signal filtersCycles and spectral analysis1982Scale-free Commodity Channel Index constructionIndicators and filters1984Constructing maximum-entropy spectra for dominant-cycle forecastsCycles and spectral analysis1984Three-gate confirmation for wave, ratio, and cycle turnsWaves and ratios1984How to construct a maximum-entropy cycle modelCycles and spectral analysis1984Building moving-window spectral cycle forecastsCycles and spectral analysis1984Half-cycle differencing for momentum signalsCycles and spectral analysis1984Stock low clusters as a cycle baselineCycles and spectral analysis1985Industry leadership carryover as a bull-regime testSeasonality and regimes1985Constructing period-locked half-cycle and full-cycle averagesCycles and spectral analysis1986Cycle-aligned directional trend indicatorIndicators and filters1986Why Fourier windows limit dominant-cycle resolutionCycles and spectral analysis1987Constructing a cycle-scaled trend oscillatorIndicators and filters1987Evaluating weekly price cycles with autocorrelation cutoffsCycles and spectral analysis1987Evaluating angular cycle overlays on independent stock swingsCycles and spectral analysis1987Assembling short-lookback maximum-entropy cycle forecastsCycles and spectral analysis1987Constructing a dominant-cycle grid from marked lowsCycles and spectral analysis1988Fourier cycle models break in major swingsCycles and spectral analysis1988Cycle lead from staggered exponential averagesIndicators and filters1988Why a fitted dominant cycle is not a forecastCycles and spectral analysis1988Auditing the forty-month stock-price cycleCycles and spectral analysis1988Fourier cycles versus calendar seasonal regimesCycles and spectral analysis1989Evaluating commodity cycle personalities with spectral histogramsCycles and spectral analysis1989Constructing analog cycle signatures from price lowsCycles and spectral analysis
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.