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Pricing

Research method

Exponential smoothing

Exponential smoothing is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Conditional forecast or research filter
Input
Ordered price, volume or breadth observations
Horizon
A defined sampling interval and lookback
Best use
Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Ordered price, volume or breadth observations.
  • Output: forecast.
  • Use boundary: Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.
The graph7

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 183 readings

1982Construct ARIMA forecasts from lag diagnosticsTime series and forecasting1984Matching average age across price filtersIndicators and filters1984Constructing TRIX from a cutoff to one shared alphaIndicators and filters1984Residual-impact construction of exponential smoothersIndicators and filters1987Constructing a cycle-scaled trend oscillatorIndicators and filters1988Indicator smoothing: lookback, weight, and scaleIndicators and filters1988Constructing moving averages: weights, smoothing and crossoversIndicators and filters1988Constructing simple and exponential moving averages as specified filtersIndicators and filters1988Cycle lead from staggered exponential averagesIndicators and filters1988Three-zone price channel from quadratic smoothingIndicators and filters1989Odd-lot short interest as a constructed breadth seriesMarket breadth1989Smoothing filters, cutoff, poles, and sample delayIndicators and filters1989A variable-sensitivity stochastic built on three-sigma boundsIndicators and filters1989Alpha-beta lag parameters versus moving-average windowsIndicators and filters1989Equal-weight zero-cross from smoothed spreadsIndicators and filters1989Evaluating public versus member short-sale breadthMarket breadth1989Constructing a weekly block-tick breadth z-scoreMarket breadth1989Evaluating smoothed free reserves and funds-discount spreadsIntermarket and spreads1989Lock smoothing inside each short-share before the breadth ratioMarket breadth1989Smoothed three-day futures filter for index option bouncesIndicators and filters1989Normalize advance-decline series for a common-scale comparisonMarket breadth1989Constructing a dual-rate advance-decline oscillatorMarket breadth1989Evaluating venue volume as a speculation-breadth signalMarket breadth1990Constructing fund cash and manager-preference filtersIndicators and filters
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.