1996issue C011
Named lookbacks, thresholds, and streaks for entry rules
A rate-of-change entry stays testable when its lookbacks, magnitude cutoffs, and confirmation streak each have their own name. The archive workflow splits those inputs so a later parameter search can change one decision at a time.
- Give the percent-change lookback, the direction lookback, the buy and sell cutoffs, and the confirmation streak separate names so a later search tests one decision at a time.
- The percent-change series compares an electric-utility index with its value a chosen number of weeks earlier, and that week count is treated as an unknown to be solved.
- A buy or sell needs both a percent-change reading that meets the matching threshold and a specified run of consecutive same-sign direction readings.
- Identifier limits of 20 characters, with no spaces, special characters, or reserved words, force abbreviated names that still keep those inputs distinct.
Name each decision before the search
A rule-based-entry is a single procedure that turns named rule inputs, market state, and execution constraints into an enter, exit, or stand-aside signal over the system holding period so the whole rule set can be tested together. The archive applies that procedure to a rate-of-change entry. Rate-of-change is a repeatable comparison of current price structure with a prior value on the same scale, used to turn a percent-change condition into a falsifiable multi-week trade hypothesis.
The archive does not leave those conditions as one mixed formula. It names the lookbacks, the magnitude cutoffs, and the confirmation streak as separate inputs. Editorial: that split is what lets a later parameter search test one decision at a time.
Two lookbacks on the same index
The percent-change series measures an electric-utility index against its value a chosen number of weeks earlier, and that week count is treated as an unknown to be solved. That week count is the percent-change-lag, the week count used to measure how far an electric-utility index has moved; it is treated as a searchable input rather than a fixed constant. Thirty-eight weeks is the illustrative lookback attached to that percent-change series.
The direction-lag is a separate week count that only asks whether the same index is above or below its past value. The percent-change lag and the direction lag are defined as two distinct parameters rather than one shared lookback. Index direction is stored as +1 when the current index exceeds its value at the direction lag and as -1 when it is lower.
Thresholds and a same-sign streak
The buy-threshold is the percent-change level that must be reached or exceeded before a buy signal is allowed. The sell-threshold is the percent-change level that must be reached or undershot before a sell signal is allowed. A buy requires the percent-change series to be at or above a buy-percent parameter. A sell requires it to be at or below a sell-percent parameter.
The direction-streak is the required run of consecutive same-sign direction readings before a buy or sell is issued. A buy also requires a specified run of consecutive +1 direction readings, and a sell requires a specified run of consecutive -1 readings.
Editorial: the thresholds ask how far the percent-change series has moved, and the streak asks whether direction has held the same sign long enough. Those are different decisions, so they keep different names.
Abbreviated names still mark separate inputs
The coding environment limits identifier length to 20 characters and forbids spaces, special characters, and reserved words, which forces abbreviated parameter names. Editorial: the abbreviations can be short, but they still have to keep percent-change-lag, direction-lag, buy-threshold, sell-threshold, and direction-streak from collapsing into one identifier.
System-optimization is treating rule inputs as values to be solved for under stated market and execution constraints, then evaluating the resulting signals over the system holding period. Editorial: once each decision has its own name, that search can vary one input at a time instead of one tangled formula.
All readings on this track · 46 readings
- 1985Constructing excess and momentum difference-curve oscillators
- 1988Five reading rules for smoothed indicator charts
- 1989Momentum overlays that speed moving-average oscillators
- 1990A laboratory template that constructs Rate of Change as a pane module
- 1991Volume-scaled rate of change as a momentum construction
- 1991Three-indicator market overview from tape, sentiment and rates
- 1991Three-component trend model with rate-of-change filters
- 1992A KST oscillator from a weighted rate-of-change stack
- 1992Four-window weighted rate-of-change composite
- 1992Constructing multi-span smoothed rate-of-change filters
- 1992Constructing a four-horizon summed rate of change
- 1992Constructing KST from four weighted smoothed rates of change
- 1992Constructing a composite from weighted smoothed rates of change
- 1992Three-horizon KST maturity alignment
- 1992Construct a bond-led dividend-to-bond-yield regime first
- 1992Constructing relative-strength KST from weighted rate-of-change
- 1993Constructing a volume oscillator from average ratios and smoothed rate of change
- 1994Gold as a cycle clock for commodities and yields
- 1994Constructing a composite from weighted, smoothed rate-of-change windows
- 1994Constructing gold-mining rate-of-change tripwires for Treasury bonds
- 1994A capacity-stress checklist across commodities, bonds, and breadth
- 1994Rate of change parameters for testable entries
- 1994Constructing rate-of-change midpoints, lookbacks and divergence
- 1994Lead oscillator breaks need price trendline confirmation
- 1994Nested averages for an annual momentum curve
- 1994Evaluating a Coppock-style rate of change as a bottom-regime filter
- 1995A weighted eleven-month Dow rate of change as one testable timing procedure
- 1996Named lookbacks, thresholds, and streaks for entry rules
- 1997A midpoint rate-of-change test for bond trend follow-through
- 1997Constructing a short-rate-adjusted equity momentum filter
- 1998Daily momentum rank-churn as a portfolio-construction problem
- 1999Constructing a lagged rate of change cycle system
- 2000A triple delay line then a one-bar elliptic oscillator
- 2001Confirming rate of change divergences with price
- 2001Momentum trendline breaks need price confirmation
- 2001Market breadth, On-balance volume, and Rate of Change as a combined timing framework
- 2001Know Sure Thing with stacked horizons and trendline confirmation
- 2003Constructing a mechanical system from a rate of change condition
- 2003Constructing momentum from two closes and spotting divergence
- 2003Formula choice tilts which momentum mismatches count as divergences
- 2004RSI and momentum agreement as an asymmetric filter
- 2005Constructing price-normalized moving-slope hybrids
- 2005Unsigned speed gates on a fixed average-cross pair
- 2007Rebuilding rate of change as a path-weighted oscillator
- 2008Construct Special K so short-horizon signals stay inside the primary trend
- 2013Restore volume balance before adding another price-time indicator