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1996issue C011

Named lookbacks, thresholds, and streaks for entry rules

A rate-of-change entry stays testable when its lookbacks, magnitude cutoffs, and confirmation streak each have their own name. The archive workflow splits those inputs so a later parameter search can change one decision at a time.

  • Give the percent-change lookback, the direction lookback, the buy and sell cutoffs, and the confirmation streak separate names so a later search tests one decision at a time.
  • The percent-change series compares an electric-utility index with its value a chosen number of weeks earlier, and that week count is treated as an unknown to be solved.
  • A buy or sell needs both a percent-change reading that meets the matching threshold and a specified run of consecutive same-sign direction readings.
  • Identifier limits of 20 characters, with no spaces, special characters, or reserved words, force abbreviated names that still keep those inputs distinct.
Entries in this reading3 entries

A rule-based-entry is a single procedure that turns named rule inputs, market state, and execution constraints into an enter, exit, or stand-aside signal over the system holding period so the whole rule set can be tested together. The archive applies that procedure to a rate-of-change entry. Rate-of-change is a repeatable comparison of current price structure with a prior value on the same scale, used to turn a percent-change condition into a falsifiable multi-week trade hypothesis.

The archive does not leave those conditions as one mixed formula. It names the lookbacks, the magnitude cutoffs, and the confirmation streak as separate inputs. Editorial: that split is what lets a later parameter search test one decision at a time.

Two lookbacks on the same index

The percent-change series measures an electric-utility index against its value a chosen number of weeks earlier, and that week count is treated as an unknown to be solved. That week count is the percent-change-lag, the week count used to measure how far an electric-utility index has moved; it is treated as a searchable input rather than a fixed constant. Thirty-eight weeks is the illustrative lookback attached to that percent-change series.

The direction-lag is a separate week count that only asks whether the same index is above or below its past value. The percent-change lag and the direction lag are defined as two distinct parameters rather than one shared lookback. Index direction is stored as +1 when the current index exceeds its value at the direction lag and as -1 when it is lower.

Thresholds and a same-sign streak

The buy-threshold is the percent-change level that must be reached or exceeded before a buy signal is allowed. The sell-threshold is the percent-change level that must be reached or undershot before a sell signal is allowed. A buy requires the percent-change series to be at or above a buy-percent parameter. A sell requires it to be at or below a sell-percent parameter.

The direction-streak is the required run of consecutive same-sign direction readings before a buy or sell is issued. A buy also requires a specified run of consecutive +1 direction readings, and a sell requires a specified run of consecutive -1 readings.

Editorial: the thresholds ask how far the percent-change series has moved, and the streak asks whether direction has held the same sign long enough. Those are different decisions, so they keep different names.

Abbreviated names still mark separate inputs

The coding environment limits identifier length to 20 characters and forbids spaces, special characters, and reserved words, which forces abbreviated parameter names. Editorial: the abbreviations can be short, but they still have to keep percent-change-lag, direction-lag, buy-threshold, sell-threshold, and direction-streak from collapsing into one identifier.

System-optimization is treating rule inputs as values to be solved for under stated market and execution constraints, then evaluating the resulting signals over the system holding period. Editorial: once each decision has its own name, that search can vary one input at a time instead of one tangled formula.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
28 of 46 in the Rate of Change track
19971-4 pp.Next on Rate of ChangeA midpoint rate-of-change test for bond trend follow-throughRate of change is the difference between the current price and a prior price, divided by the number of days in the lookback, and is used as the average daily momentum reading.
All readings on this track · 46 readings
  1. 1985Constructing excess and momentum difference-curve oscillators
  2. 1988Five reading rules for smoothed indicator charts
  3. 1989Momentum overlays that speed moving-average oscillators
  4. 1990A laboratory template that constructs Rate of Change as a pane module
  5. 1991Volume-scaled rate of change as a momentum construction
  6. 1991Three-indicator market overview from tape, sentiment and rates
  7. 1991Three-component trend model with rate-of-change filters
  8. 1992A KST oscillator from a weighted rate-of-change stack
  9. 1992Four-window weighted rate-of-change composite
  10. 1992Constructing multi-span smoothed rate-of-change filters
  11. 1992Constructing a four-horizon summed rate of change
  12. 1992Constructing KST from four weighted smoothed rates of change
  13. 1992Constructing a composite from weighted smoothed rates of change
  14. 1992Three-horizon KST maturity alignment
  15. 1992Construct a bond-led dividend-to-bond-yield regime first
  16. 1992Constructing relative-strength KST from weighted rate-of-change
  17. 1993Constructing a volume oscillator from average ratios and smoothed rate of change
  18. 1994Gold as a cycle clock for commodities and yields
  19. 1994Constructing a composite from weighted, smoothed rate-of-change windows
  20. 1994Constructing gold-mining rate-of-change tripwires for Treasury bonds
  21. 1994A capacity-stress checklist across commodities, bonds, and breadth
  22. 1994Rate of change parameters for testable entries
  23. 1994Constructing rate-of-change midpoints, lookbacks and divergence
  24. 1994Lead oscillator breaks need price trendline confirmation
  25. 1994Nested averages for an annual momentum curve
  26. 1994Evaluating a Coppock-style rate of change as a bottom-regime filter
  27. 1995A weighted eleven-month Dow rate of change as one testable timing procedure
  28. 1996Named lookbacks, thresholds, and streaks for entry rules
  29. 1997A midpoint rate-of-change test for bond trend follow-through
  30. 1997Constructing a short-rate-adjusted equity momentum filter
  31. 1998Daily momentum rank-churn as a portfolio-construction problem
  32. 1999Constructing a lagged rate of change cycle system
  33. 2000A triple delay line then a one-bar elliptic oscillator
  34. 2001Confirming rate of change divergences with price
  35. 2001Momentum trendline breaks need price confirmation
  36. 2001Market breadth, On-balance volume, and Rate of Change as a combined timing framework
  37. 2001Know Sure Thing with stacked horizons and trendline confirmation
  38. 2003Constructing a mechanical system from a rate of change condition
  39. 2003Constructing momentum from two closes and spotting divergence
  40. 2003Formula choice tilts which momentum mismatches count as divergences
  41. 2004RSI and momentum agreement as an asymmetric filter
  42. 2005Constructing price-normalized moving-slope hybrids
  43. 2005Unsigned speed gates on a fixed average-cross pair
  44. 2007Rebuilding rate of change as a path-weighted oscillator
  45. 2008Construct Special K so short-horizon signals stay inside the primary trend
  46. 2013Restore volume balance before adding another price-time indicator
All 50 readings tagged Rate of Change
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