2011issue C0142-53
Why entry scans fail without trend filters
A scan can return a taught retracement buy while the chart is in a downtrend if the plugin never requires trend direction. That omitted filter is a design choice, and the entry rule is not complete until the scan, the trend test, and the exit logic are handled as one procedure.
- A buy setup taught as a retracement in an uptrend can still be returned while the chart is falling if the scan-plugin does not require trend direction.
- Course material for the pristine buy setup required a solid uptrend, but the matching plugin omitted that filter after a trend requirement produced too few tickers.
- Omitting trend following to enlarge a scan list changes what the candlestick pattern is allowed to mean.
- A rule-based entry is not complete until the scan, the trend filter, and the exit logic are tested as one procedure.
When the scan list does not match the lesson
A candlestick pattern is a repeatable OHLC chart condition, such as three to five declining candles or lower highs. It is treated as a candidate signal rather than a standalone forecast.
A scan-plugin searches charts for a named pattern and returns a list of tickers. That software may or may not enforce the same conditions taught in the underlying method.
The pristine buy setup is a retracement-in-uptrend candidate defined as three to five red candles or lower highs inside a solid uptrend. Course criteria for that buy setup stated that stocks must be in a solid uptrend, but the matching plugin did not impose that requirement.
A named buy setup taught as a retracement in an uptrend can therefore be returned by a scan while the chart is in a downtrend if the software does not require trend direction.
Why the trend requirement was left out
The vendor replied that an initial slide description of the setup did not mention trend, even though later instructional material required an uptrend.
During plugin development, requiring trend direction produced too few tickers, so that filter was omitted from the scan design.
A three-black-crow style condition is uncommon relative to more frequent candlestick events, which is why a scan is often used to locate it.
The missing pieces of a complete entry rule
A rule-based entry is a written if-then procedure that states when to enter, when to exit, and when to stand aside, including any scan or size constraints.
Trend following, in this use, is a requirement that the candidate form with the prevailing directional bias so a pullback is not mistaken for a reversal.
Changing of the guard is a confirming candle condition that can add weight to a basic buy setup after the trend and retracement rules are already met.
Editorial: dropping a trend requirement to harvest more signals is a design choice that changes what the pattern actually means. A candlestick entry rule is not a complete system until the scan, the trend filter, and the exit logic are tested as one procedure.
All readings on this track · 54 readings
- 1990Constructing three-session rally and reaction volume signals
- 1991Constructing candlestick real bodies and multi-session patterns
- 1991Treat a candlestick reversal as incomplete until %D confirms it
- 1991Filtering candlestick signals with stochastic percent-D
- 1991Constructing compressed candlestick summaries
- 1993Intraday candlestick confirmation with oscillators
- 1993Candlestick hypotheses from a 1993 reading list
- 1994License candlestick signals with oscillators and weekly vetoes
- 1995Real-body support, resistance, and close-through breakouts
- 1997Weekly reversal as a three-part hypothesis
- 1998Turning fear levels into testable rules with a psychological matrix
- 2000Evaluating three-bar reversal reliability
- 2000Prior-day candles, open confirmation, and same-session stops
- 2000Intraday candlestick volume confirmation for daytrading
- 2001Count the key reversal up before coding a mechanical exit
- 2001Rising and falling three continuation candle construction
- 2002Treat a moving average as a contested fence
- 2003Candlestick signals need support and a risk-reward screen
- 2003Constructing one-day reversal tops and bottoms
- 2003Chart sentiment as a regime filter for hourly stochastic entries
- 2004Confirming index reversals with candlesticks, stochastics and averages
- 2004The harami inner close as a reversal barometer
- 2004Constructing a true-range volume power-shift filter
- 2005Weighing reversal clusters against moving-average support
- 2005Candlestick exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
- 2005Confirming piercing patterns with stochastics and moving averages
- 2006Candlestick cluster exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
- 2007Three black crows become a trade hypothesis only after regime, trend and nearby levels
- 2008Asymmetrical RSI lookbacks for divergence and candle confirmation
- 2008A permission checklist for the end of a trend
- 2010Mechanical entries still need confirmation gates
- 2010Crude oil as a case study in candlestick session reading
- 2010Gold weekly candles and the thousand resistance breakout
- 2010A three-layer gold chart drill from waves to candle confirmation
- 2011Why entry scans fail without trend filters
- 2011Price-zone oscillator trend-regime rules
- 2011A candlestick checklist before commodity entries
- 2013Step candle construction at price turning points
- 2013Two-bar step-candle construction
- 2014Small-range bars as a timed volume-climax hypothesis
- 2014Constructing volume-scaled candlestick charts
- 2015Weekly range midpoints as support and resistance
- 2015Constructing weekly body-midpoint pattern codes
- 2015Evaluating encoded candlestick sequence hypotheses
- 2015Constructing a breakout relative-strength index from two-day range candles
- 2016A three-gate classroom on hourly sterling
- 2016Fibonacci retracement as a pre-commitment stop map
- 2017Nine-zone filter for decade-level breakouts
- 2017Constructing pin-bar and inside-bar setups
- 2017Two-bar soldier and crow rules become a system only after filters and exits
- 2017Confirm a one-white-soldier or one-black-crow before entry
- 2018Session control from marubozu and engulfing geometry
- 2019Volume, acceleration, and candle filters on a completed double bottom
- 2019Sector-filtered candlestick scans and predrawn stops