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2011issue C0142-53

Why entry scans fail without trend filters

A scan can return a taught retracement buy while the chart is in a downtrend if the plugin never requires trend direction. That omitted filter is a design choice, and the entry rule is not complete until the scan, the trend test, and the exit logic are handled as one procedure.

  • A buy setup taught as a retracement in an uptrend can still be returned while the chart is falling if the scan-plugin does not require trend direction.
  • Course material for the pristine buy setup required a solid uptrend, but the matching plugin omitted that filter after a trend requirement produced too few tickers.
  • Omitting trend following to enlarge a scan list changes what the candlestick pattern is allowed to mean.
  • A rule-based entry is not complete until the scan, the trend filter, and the exit logic are tested as one procedure.
Entries in this reading3 entries

When the scan list does not match the lesson

A candlestick pattern is a repeatable OHLC chart condition, such as three to five declining candles or lower highs. It is treated as a candidate signal rather than a standalone forecast.

A scan-plugin searches charts for a named pattern and returns a list of tickers. That software may or may not enforce the same conditions taught in the underlying method.

The pristine buy setup is a retracement-in-uptrend candidate defined as three to five red candles or lower highs inside a solid uptrend. Course criteria for that buy setup stated that stocks must be in a solid uptrend, but the matching plugin did not impose that requirement.

A named buy setup taught as a retracement in an uptrend can therefore be returned by a scan while the chart is in a downtrend if the software does not require trend direction.

Why the trend requirement was left out

The vendor replied that an initial slide description of the setup did not mention trend, even though later instructional material required an uptrend.

During plugin development, requiring trend direction produced too few tickers, so that filter was omitted from the scan design.

A three-black-crow style condition is uncommon relative to more frequent candlestick events, which is why a scan is often used to locate it.

The missing pieces of a complete entry rule

A rule-based entry is a written if-then procedure that states when to enter, when to exit, and when to stand aside, including any scan or size constraints.

Trend following, in this use, is a requirement that the candidate form with the prevailing directional bias so a pullback is not mistaken for a reversal.

Changing of the guard is a confirming candle condition that can add weight to a basic buy setup after the trend and retracement rules are already met.

Editorial: dropping a trend requirement to harvest more signals is a design choice that changes what the pattern actually means. A candlestick entry rule is not a complete system until the scan, the trend filter, and the exit logic are tested as one procedure.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
35 of 54 in the Candlestick patterns track
201128-35 pp.Next on Candlestick patternsPrice-zone oscillator trend-regime rulesThe price-zone oscillator depends only on whether today's close is above or below yesterday's close, scaled from a signed exponential average of closes against an exponential average of closes.
All readings on this track · 54 readings
  1. 1990Constructing three-session rally and reaction volume signals
  2. 1991Constructing candlestick real bodies and multi-session patterns
  3. 1991Treat a candlestick reversal as incomplete until %D confirms it
  4. 1991Filtering candlestick signals with stochastic percent-D
  5. 1991Constructing compressed candlestick summaries
  6. 1993Intraday candlestick confirmation with oscillators
  7. 1993Candlestick hypotheses from a 1993 reading list
  8. 1994License candlestick signals with oscillators and weekly vetoes
  9. 1995Real-body support, resistance, and close-through breakouts
  10. 1997Weekly reversal as a three-part hypothesis
  11. 1998Turning fear levels into testable rules with a psychological matrix
  12. 2000Evaluating three-bar reversal reliability
  13. 2000Prior-day candles, open confirmation, and same-session stops
  14. 2000Intraday candlestick volume confirmation for daytrading
  15. 2001Count the key reversal up before coding a mechanical exit
  16. 2001Rising and falling three continuation candle construction
  17. 2002Treat a moving average as a contested fence
  18. 2003Candlestick signals need support and a risk-reward screen
  19. 2003Constructing one-day reversal tops and bottoms
  20. 2003Chart sentiment as a regime filter for hourly stochastic entries
  21. 2004Confirming index reversals with candlesticks, stochastics and averages
  22. 2004The harami inner close as a reversal barometer
  23. 2004Constructing a true-range volume power-shift filter
  24. 2005Weighing reversal clusters against moving-average support
  25. 2005Candlestick exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
  26. 2005Confirming piercing patterns with stochastics and moving averages
  27. 2006Candlestick cluster exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
  28. 2007Three black crows become a trade hypothesis only after regime, trend and nearby levels
  29. 2008Asymmetrical RSI lookbacks for divergence and candle confirmation
  30. 2008A permission checklist for the end of a trend
  31. 2010Mechanical entries still need confirmation gates
  32. 2010Crude oil as a case study in candlestick session reading
  33. 2010Gold weekly candles and the thousand resistance breakout
  34. 2010A three-layer gold chart drill from waves to candle confirmation
  35. 2011Why entry scans fail without trend filters
  36. 2011Price-zone oscillator trend-regime rules
  37. 2011A candlestick checklist before commodity entries
  38. 2013Step candle construction at price turning points
  39. 2013Two-bar step-candle construction
  40. 2014Small-range bars as a timed volume-climax hypothesis
  41. 2014Constructing volume-scaled candlestick charts
  42. 2015Weekly range midpoints as support and resistance
  43. 2015Constructing weekly body-midpoint pattern codes
  44. 2015Evaluating encoded candlestick sequence hypotheses
  45. 2015Constructing a breakout relative-strength index from two-day range candles
  46. 2016A three-gate classroom on hourly sterling
  47. 2016Fibonacci retracement as a pre-commitment stop map
  48. 2017Nine-zone filter for decade-level breakouts
  49. 2017Constructing pin-bar and inside-bar setups
  50. 2017Two-bar soldier and crow rules become a system only after filters and exits
  51. 2017Confirm a one-white-soldier or one-black-crow before entry
  52. 2018Session control from marubozu and engulfing geometry
  53. 2019Volume, acceleration, and candle filters on a completed double bottom
  54. 2019Sector-filtered candlestick scans and predrawn stops
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