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2000issue C041-5

Prior-day candles, open confirmation, and same-session stops

A few prior sessions of open, high, low, and close form a candlestick read used as the next session's directional hypothesis. Whether that forecast is live is checked in the first 15 to 30 minutes after the open by scoring the stock and a related index, and the procedure aims to be flat by the session's end.

  • A few prior sessions of open, high, low, and close are treated as enough history to form a candlestick read used as the next session's directional hypothesis.
  • The first 15 to 30 minutes after the open score the stock and a related market index with or against that forecast, producing four states that authorize a position, require a wait, or require standing aside.
  • Both the stock and the index moving against the forecast requires standing aside even if the name later reverses.
  • A tight trailing stop is the usual exit, and remaining or sideways positions are closed at least 30 minutes before the close so overnight news is not carried.
Entries in this reading3 entries

A prior-session read for the next open

Open-high-low-close formations, read over a few prior sessions, turn a repeatable chart condition into a directional hypothesis for the next session. A few prior sessions of open, high, low, and close are treated as enough history for that read.

A candle body maps open-to-close movement. Wicks map the session extremes. A rising session is drawn differently from a declining one, and equal open and close leave no body.

Multi-candle combinations are grouped as reversal or continuation setups. A bullish pattern typically has a bearish inverse. The read is taken from the prior session so it can speak to today and sometimes the next session.

From a short list to two candidates

Pattern screening is meant to reduce a universe of about 30 names to at most two same-day candidates, each with a pre-stated likely direction.

Four states after the open

A single testable procedure then uses the prior-day pattern, post-open stock and index behavior, and a short holding window to decide enter, wait, or stand aside.

Whether the forecast is live is checked in the first 15 to 30 minutes after the open by scoring two binaries: the stock with or against the forecast, and a related market index with or against it. That scoring produces four states.

Both the stock and the index confirming the forecast authorizes a position regardless of the print. Both moving against the forecast requires standing aside even if the name later reverses.

If only one of the stock or the index confirms, a position is allowed only when the stock begins to trend in the forecast direction within 30 minutes of the open. When the index disagrees, the stock must also be near the prior close.

Continuation stays inside a short window

A reversal that behaves as expected can be followed with continuation patterns on the same name for two or three sessions.

Overnight holding is treated as extra risk because corporate announcements often arrive after the close and economic releases often arrive before the next open. The procedure aims to be flat by the session's end.

Trail the open position, then flatten

The usual exit is a pre-placed, periodically advanced stop that bounds a loss or locks an open gain before overnight news can change the exposure. In this workflow the stop is tight, typically a quarter of a currency unit from the open position, and it is advanced on each same-size favorable move.

Remaining or sideways positions are closed at least 30 minutes before the close, or earlier if the market reverses.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
13 of 54 in the Candlestick patterns track
20001-5 pp.Next on Candlestick patternsIntraday candlestick volume confirmation for daytradingAn up candle closes above its open and a down candle closes below its open, with wicks marking the session high and low.
All readings on this track · 54 readings
  1. 1990Constructing three-session rally and reaction volume signals
  2. 1991Constructing candlestick real bodies and multi-session patterns
  3. 1991Treat a candlestick reversal as incomplete until %D confirms it
  4. 1991Filtering candlestick signals with stochastic percent-D
  5. 1991Constructing compressed candlestick summaries
  6. 1993Intraday candlestick confirmation with oscillators
  7. 1993Candlestick hypotheses from a 1993 reading list
  8. 1994License candlestick signals with oscillators and weekly vetoes
  9. 1995Real-body support, resistance, and close-through breakouts
  10. 1997Weekly reversal as a three-part hypothesis
  11. 1998Turning fear levels into testable rules with a psychological matrix
  12. 2000Evaluating three-bar reversal reliability
  13. 2000Prior-day candles, open confirmation, and same-session stops
  14. 2000Intraday candlestick volume confirmation for daytrading
  15. 2001Count the key reversal up before coding a mechanical exit
  16. 2001Rising and falling three continuation candle construction
  17. 2002Treat a moving average as a contested fence
  18. 2003Candlestick signals need support and a risk-reward screen
  19. 2003Constructing one-day reversal tops and bottoms
  20. 2003Chart sentiment as a regime filter for hourly stochastic entries
  21. 2004Confirming index reversals with candlesticks, stochastics and averages
  22. 2004The harami inner close as a reversal barometer
  23. 2004Constructing a true-range volume power-shift filter
  24. 2005Weighing reversal clusters against moving-average support
  25. 2005Candlestick exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
  26. 2005Confirming piercing patterns with stochastics and moving averages
  27. 2006Candlestick cluster exits confirmed by overbought stochastics
  28. 2007Three black crows become a trade hypothesis only after regime, trend and nearby levels
  29. 2008Asymmetrical RSI lookbacks for divergence and candle confirmation
  30. 2008A permission checklist for the end of a trend
  31. 2010Mechanical entries still need confirmation gates
  32. 2010Crude oil as a case study in candlestick session reading
  33. 2010Gold weekly candles and the thousand resistance breakout
  34. 2010A three-layer gold chart drill from waves to candle confirmation
  35. 2011Why entry scans fail without trend filters
  36. 2011Price-zone oscillator trend-regime rules
  37. 2011A candlestick checklist before commodity entries
  38. 2013Step candle construction at price turning points
  39. 2013Two-bar step-candle construction
  40. 2014Small-range bars as a timed volume-climax hypothesis
  41. 2014Constructing volume-scaled candlestick charts
  42. 2015Weekly range midpoints as support and resistance
  43. 2015Constructing weekly body-midpoint pattern codes
  44. 2015Evaluating encoded candlestick sequence hypotheses
  45. 2015Constructing a breakout relative-strength index from two-day range candles
  46. 2016A three-gate classroom on hourly sterling
  47. 2016Fibonacci retracement as a pre-commitment stop map
  48. 2017Nine-zone filter for decade-level breakouts
  49. 2017Constructing pin-bar and inside-bar setups
  50. 2017Two-bar soldier and crow rules become a system only after filters and exits
  51. 2017Confirm a one-white-soldier or one-black-crow before entry
  52. 2018Session control from marubozu and engulfing geometry
  53. 2019Volume, acceleration, and candle filters on a completed double bottom
  54. 2019Sector-filtered candlestick scans and predrawn stops
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