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Research method

Trend following

Trend following is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Signal
Input
Rule inputs, market state and execution constraints
Horizon
The system holding period
Best use
Make entry, exit and abstention rules testable as one procedure.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Rule inputs, market state and execution constraints.
  • Output: signal.
  • Use boundary: Make entry, exit and abstention rules testable as one procedure.
The graph8

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 168 readings

1982Six-category classification as a trend and pyramiding case studyTrend and mean reversion1982A bounded-risk entry separates a forecast from a trendTrend and mean reversion1984Critiquing reward bias, single-scale charts, and exact-turn forecastsDecision process1986A Marshall Wave book is assembled one confirmed stance at a timeTrend and mean reversion1987Operator gut check when two systems conflictDecision process1988Simple systems over optimized complexitySystem design1988Reaction length as a trend integrity testTrend and channels1988Visual trend rules need one testable procedureTrend and mean reversion1988Audit trend and breakout rules sold without testsTrend and mean reversion1989Evaluating an always-in-the-market moving-average crossoverTrend and mean reversion1989A close-only volatility reverse bound to average true rangeTrend and mean reversion1989Evaluating always-in parabolic SAR trailing stopsTrend and mean reversion1989Audit signals against elasticity regimesSeasonality and regimes1989Weekly high and low averages as stop-and-reverse levelsTrend and mean reversion1990Fair-value gaps and a copper moving-average channelTrend and mean reversion1990Diversify markets, not systems, to cut trend-system varianceSystem design1990When wave counts fail the exclusion testWaves and ratios1990Price-weighted construction distorts breadth, support, and trendMarket breadth1990Constructing hybrid trend and option-income rulesDecision process1991Filtered rally magnitude as a bull-regime breakoutTrend and mean reversion1991Independent formula timers kept as a testable combinationTrend and mean reversion1992Ranking futures trend tendency against a random walkStatistical tests1992Weekly 4 percent close reversal case studyTrend and mean reversion1992Channel-height ratios for equity trend evaluationStatistical tests
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.