1997issue C041-8
Failed trade review of a descending-triangle breakdown
A written trade notebook can group entry reasons and later success or failure reasons by style so similar mistakes are easier to spot. The archive treats a descending triangle as a trade hypothesis once price leaves the formation. Editorial interpretation converts a missed stop-loss and ignored volume confirmation into a checklist before the next similar setup.
- A written trade notebook that records entry reasons and later success or failure reasons can be grouped by style so similar mistakes are easier to spot before they grow.
- Company background can inform whether a name is worth studying, while chart structure is used to time entry and exit.
- A descending triangle becomes a trade hypothesis when price leaves the formation, and acting on that break is presented as preferable to riding the subsequent decline.
- Editorial interpretation: turn a missed stop-loss and ignored volume confirmation into a falsifiable checklist before the next similar descending-triangle setup.
Keep a notebook by style
A written trade notebook that records entry reasons and later success or failure reasons can be grouped by style so similar mistakes are easier to spot before they grow.
Entry reasons and later success or failure reasons belong in the same record. Grouping those notes by style keeps a repeatable miss from hiding inside a one-off story.
Separate background from timing
Company background can inform whether a name is worth studying, while chart structure is used to time entry and exit.
Chart structure, not company background, is what the archive uses to time entry and exit.
The break starts the hypothesis
A descending triangle is a chart pattern with a flat lower boundary and descending highs that frames a repeatable breakdown hypothesis.
A descending triangle becomes a trade hypothesis when price leaves the formation, and acting on that break is presented as preferable to riding the subsequent decline.
Editorial interpretation: review the stop and the volume
Editorial interpretation: treat a losing position as a structured post-mortem. Convert the descending-triangle breakdown, a missed stop-loss, and ignored volume confirmation into a falsifiable checklist before the next similar setup.
A stop-loss is a precommitted exit that bounds loss size before and during the trade. Editorial interpretation: if that exit was missing, record the omission next to the entry reason so the same style of mistake is easier to spot before it grows.
Volume confirmation uses volume behavior as a filter on whether a price break is executable and meaningful. Editorial interpretation: if volume was ignored when price left the formation, the notebook should treat that as a failed filter, not only as a side note on the chart.
Editorial interpretation: before the next similar setup, the checklist asks whether price has left the descending triangle, whether a stop-loss is precommitted, and whether volume confirmation supports treating the break as executable and meaningful.
All readings on this track · 40 readings
- 1988Constructing volume-confirmation overlays on OHLC spreadsheet charts
- 1989Commodity advance-decline from delivery months
- 1989The most-active list as a three-layer breadth lab
- 1989Constructing a yield-curve volume-breadth composite
- 1989A bond-futures case study in support, volume, and confirmation
- 1989Volume-scaled price boxes and volume cycles
- 1990Futures-signed on-balance volume construction
- 1990Self-relative volume boxes for news-free breakouts
- 1990Broadening swings, demand tests, and volume filters
- 1991A same-session pressure test of breadth and volume share
- 1991Tick extremes that confirm double tops and bottoms
- 1991Constructing auction fuel from volume and open interest
- 1994Constructing On-balance volume with smoothing and timeframe confirmation
- 1996A volume-gated moving-average trend combination
- 1996Constructing four-state range-volume bars
- 1997Failed trade review of a descending-triangle breakdown
- 1997Construct a head-and-shoulders before the neckline break
- 2004Volume confirmation is not optional for a head-and-shoulders reversal
- 2007Constructing a three-factor volume-price confirmation filter
- 2007Constructing a three-condition moving-average entry with a volume filter
- 2008Breakout rules that wait for volume and liquidity
- 2011Screen futures liquidity with open interest and volume
- 2011Filter executable futures with liquidity and open interest
- 2012Rank listed futures by liquidity before a forecast chooses the name
- 2012Filter futures liquidity using open interest and volume
- 2013Pre-trade futures liquidity as an execution filter
- 2014A futures liquidity screen from range, open interest and volume
- 2014Evaluating futures contract liquidity before execution
- 2014Constructing defended price lines from volume clusters
- 2014Filter futures by equal-dollar size, open interest, and volume
- 2015Filter futures ideas by ranked contract liquidity
- 2017Screen listed futures for execution liquidity first
- 2017Filter futures orders by liquidity, open interest, and volume
- 2018Using open interest and volume to rank futures liquidity
- 2018Score listed futures as an execution menu before the setup
- 2019Filtering futures orders with liquidity, open interest and volume
- 2019Futures liquidity as an execution filter
- 2020A futures liquidity board as a pre-trade execution filter
- 2020Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules
- 2020Use a listed-futures liquidity filter before execution