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2014issue C0165

A futures liquidity screen from range, open interest and volume

The archive workflow first scaled every listed futures name to one three-year dollar-range unit, then formed a relative liquidity rank from that unit, open interest and a volume factor. Activity marks on the rank served as a liquidity filter for whether a full range-normalized order could be placed and closed.

  • An equal-dollar-range unit converts each futures name into the contract count needed to span the same three-year dollar excursion.
  • Relative contract liquidity multiplies that count by total open interest and a volume factor, and is meant only for comparison down that same column.
  • Open-interest analysis and volume confirmation keep a wide dollar range from being treated as executable unless inventory and turnover can carry the scaled order.
  • Activity marks are the liquidity filter: the densest marks flag the most executable books, while one mark or none flags thin activity.
Entries in this reading3 entries

A rank that measures executability

A futures liquidity rank can be formed by multiplying contract point value, a three-year maximum price motion, open interest, and a volume factor usually described as one to four. The liquidity filter is a pre-trade screen that ranks publicly listed futures by how readily a full, range-normalized order can be placed and closed, using size, range, open interest, and a volume adjustment rather than price direction.

One three-year dollar unit

Contracts to trade for an equal dollar range equal tick dollar value times the three-year maximum price excursion, so every listed futures name is scaled to the same dollar unit. The equal-dollar-range unit asks how many contracts of each futures name are needed to span the same three-year dollar excursion, so column comparisons are made in one money unit.

Open interest and volume confirmation

Relative contract liquidity is defined as the equal-dollar contract count times total open interest times a volume factor, and is meant only for comparison down that same column. Open-interest analysis uses outstanding contract inventory as a multiplicative capacity input so a market with a large dollar range is not treated as executable unless enough open interest exists to absorb the scaled order.

Volume confirmation is a turnover check that raises or lowers the liquidity rank through a volume factor, typically bounded near one to four, so thin prints cannot masquerade as a deep book. The volume factor used in that rank is the greater of one and the exponential of the natural log of volume divided by the natural log of 5000, minus two.

Activity marks, margin and share turnover

Activity marks on the rank are a liquidity filter: the densest marks flag the most executable books for speculators, while one mark or none flags thin activity that is less desirable on execution grounds. Denser activity marks mean easier entry and exit, and sparse marks mean a weaker execution candidate.

Effective percent margin equals margin dollars divided by the three-year dollar price range of the contract, then multiplied by one hundred. That effective-percent-margin figure judges posted capital against historical travel rather than face value alone.

For listed shares, period volume as a percentage of shares outstanding is presented as a turnover-rate proxy for trading liquidity and its effect on price change. Share turnover is the equity analogue in which that percentage stands in for trading liquidity.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
27 of 40 in the Volume confirmation track
201458-58 pp.Next on Volume confirmationEvaluating futures contract liquidity before executionUse the descending activity ranking as a liquidity filter so an order is considered only when the book looks executable.
All readings on this track · 40 readings
  1. 1988Constructing volume-confirmation overlays on OHLC spreadsheet charts
  2. 1989Commodity advance-decline from delivery months
  3. 1989The most-active list as a three-layer breadth lab
  4. 1989Constructing a yield-curve volume-breadth composite
  5. 1989A bond-futures case study in support, volume, and confirmation
  6. 1989Volume-scaled price boxes and volume cycles
  7. 1990Futures-signed on-balance volume construction
  8. 1990Self-relative volume boxes for news-free breakouts
  9. 1990Broadening swings, demand tests, and volume filters
  10. 1991A same-session pressure test of breadth and volume share
  11. 1991Tick extremes that confirm double tops and bottoms
  12. 1991Constructing auction fuel from volume and open interest
  13. 1994Constructing On-balance volume with smoothing and timeframe confirmation
  14. 1996A volume-gated moving-average trend combination
  15. 1996Constructing four-state range-volume bars
  16. 1997Failed trade review of a descending-triangle breakdown
  17. 1997Construct a head-and-shoulders before the neckline break
  18. 2004Volume confirmation is not optional for a head-and-shoulders reversal
  19. 2007Constructing a three-factor volume-price confirmation filter
  20. 2007Constructing a three-condition moving-average entry with a volume filter
  21. 2008Breakout rules that wait for volume and liquidity
  22. 2011Screen futures liquidity with open interest and volume
  23. 2011Filter executable futures with liquidity and open interest
  24. 2012Rank listed futures by liquidity before a forecast chooses the name
  25. 2012Filter futures liquidity using open interest and volume
  26. 2013Pre-trade futures liquidity as an execution filter
  27. 2014A futures liquidity screen from range, open interest and volume
  28. 2014Evaluating futures contract liquidity before execution
  29. 2014Constructing defended price lines from volume clusters
  30. 2014Filter futures by equal-dollar size, open interest, and volume
  31. 2015Filter futures ideas by ranked contract liquidity
  32. 2017Screen listed futures for execution liquidity first
  33. 2017Filter futures orders by liquidity, open interest, and volume
  34. 2018Using open interest and volume to rank futures liquidity
  35. 2018Score listed futures as an execution menu before the setup
  36. 2019Filtering futures orders with liquidity, open interest and volume
  37. 2019Futures liquidity as an execution filter
  38. 2020A futures liquidity board as a pre-trade execution filter
  39. 2020Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules
  40. 2020Use a listed-futures liquidity filter before execution
All 54 readings tagged Volume confirmation
Also on Volume confirmation5 readings