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2020issue C0917

Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules

The archive method first qualifies an existing uptrend that prints above-average volume, then waits several days for a golden-cross breakout. Written dollar offsets set the entry and stops, and a single breakout candle is not treated as confirmation.

  • The workflow first looks for an existing uptrend with above-average volume, then waits several days for a golden-cross.
  • A golden-cross here is the 50-period simple moving average crossing above the 200-period simple moving average.
  • The written entry waits for at least $0.50 above the high of the golden-cross breakout day, with an initial-stop one dollar below the entry-day low and a two-dollar trailing-stop.
  • Volume expansion alone is treated as a weak cue. Sequential-confirmation with at least two signals is required before a breakout is treated as confirmed.
Entries in this reading3 entries

An ordered sequence, not a single candle

The method first looks for an existing uptrend that prints above-average volume and then looks for a golden-cross several days later. A golden-cross in this method is the 50-period simple moving average crossing above the 200-period simple moving average.

A high-volume-breakout is an upside price thrust in an existing uptrend that prints with above-average volume. The archive does not treat that first thrust as enough on its own.

Watchlist and sequential-confirmation

Charts showing two or more above-average volume days inside an uptrend are kept on a watchlist until a golden-cross breakout appears.

The method treats a single technical trigger as insufficient and requires at least two signals before treating a breakout as confirmed. Volume expansion by itself is described as a weak standalone cue. The stronger condition is that expansion followed later by an upside golden-cross breakout.

That later second condition is sequential-confirmation. It is used to validate an earlier volume expansion, rather than treating both cues as simultaneous.

Written entry and stop offsets

The written entry rule waits until price has moved at least $0.50 above the high of the day on which the golden-cross breakout is observed.

The written risk rule places an initial-stop one dollar below the low of the entry day and then uses a two-dollar trailing-stop. The initial-stop is a protective exit placed a fixed dollar amount below the low of the day the position is taken. The trailing-stop is moved with price after entry.

Optional scale-in after later cues

An optional management variant opens a smaller position on the first high-volume-breakout, adds after the golden-cross, and may add again if later signals appear. That scale-in plan opens a smaller position on the first cue and adds after later confirming cues appear.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
39 of 40 in the Volume confirmation track
202058-58 pp.Next on Volume confirmationUse a listed-futures liquidity filter before executionA liquidity filter ranks listed futures by how readily a full book can be bought or sold, using size, range, open interest, and volume together.
All readings on this track · 40 readings
  1. 1988Constructing volume-confirmation overlays on OHLC spreadsheet charts
  2. 1989Commodity advance-decline from delivery months
  3. 1989The most-active list as a three-layer breadth lab
  4. 1989Constructing a yield-curve volume-breadth composite
  5. 1989A bond-futures case study in support, volume, and confirmation
  6. 1989Volume-scaled price boxes and volume cycles
  7. 1990Futures-signed on-balance volume construction
  8. 1990Self-relative volume boxes for news-free breakouts
  9. 1990Broadening swings, demand tests, and volume filters
  10. 1991A same-session pressure test of breadth and volume share
  11. 1991Tick extremes that confirm double tops and bottoms
  12. 1991Constructing auction fuel from volume and open interest
  13. 1994Constructing On-balance volume with smoothing and timeframe confirmation
  14. 1996A volume-gated moving-average trend combination
  15. 1996Constructing four-state range-volume bars
  16. 1997Failed trade review of a descending-triangle breakdown
  17. 1997Construct a head-and-shoulders before the neckline break
  18. 2004Volume confirmation is not optional for a head-and-shoulders reversal
  19. 2007Constructing a three-factor volume-price confirmation filter
  20. 2007Constructing a three-condition moving-average entry with a volume filter
  21. 2008Breakout rules that wait for volume and liquidity
  22. 2011Screen futures liquidity with open interest and volume
  23. 2011Filter executable futures with liquidity and open interest
  24. 2012Rank listed futures by liquidity before a forecast chooses the name
  25. 2012Filter futures liquidity using open interest and volume
  26. 2013Pre-trade futures liquidity as an execution filter
  27. 2014A futures liquidity screen from range, open interest and volume
  28. 2014Evaluating futures contract liquidity before execution
  29. 2014Constructing defended price lines from volume clusters
  30. 2014Filter futures by equal-dollar size, open interest, and volume
  31. 2015Filter futures ideas by ranked contract liquidity
  32. 2017Screen listed futures for execution liquidity first
  33. 2017Filter futures orders by liquidity, open interest, and volume
  34. 2018Using open interest and volume to rank futures liquidity
  35. 2018Score listed futures as an execution menu before the setup
  36. 2019Filtering futures orders with liquidity, open interest and volume
  37. 2019Futures liquidity as an execution filter
  38. 2020A futures liquidity board as a pre-trade execution filter
  39. 2020Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules
  40. 2020Use a listed-futures liquidity filter before execution
All 54 readings tagged Volume confirmation
Also on Volume confirmation5 readings