2020issue C0917
Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules
The archive method first qualifies an existing uptrend that prints above-average volume, then waits several days for a golden-cross breakout. Written dollar offsets set the entry and stops, and a single breakout candle is not treated as confirmation.
- The workflow first looks for an existing uptrend with above-average volume, then waits several days for a golden-cross.
- A golden-cross here is the 50-period simple moving average crossing above the 200-period simple moving average.
- The written entry waits for at least $0.50 above the high of the golden-cross breakout day, with an initial-stop one dollar below the entry-day low and a two-dollar trailing-stop.
- Volume expansion alone is treated as a weak cue. Sequential-confirmation with at least two signals is required before a breakout is treated as confirmed.
An ordered sequence, not a single candle
The method first looks for an existing uptrend that prints above-average volume and then looks for a golden-cross several days later. A golden-cross in this method is the 50-period simple moving average crossing above the 200-period simple moving average.
A high-volume-breakout is an upside price thrust in an existing uptrend that prints with above-average volume. The archive does not treat that first thrust as enough on its own.
Watchlist and sequential-confirmation
Charts showing two or more above-average volume days inside an uptrend are kept on a watchlist until a golden-cross breakout appears.
The method treats a single technical trigger as insufficient and requires at least two signals before treating a breakout as confirmed. Volume expansion by itself is described as a weak standalone cue. The stronger condition is that expansion followed later by an upside golden-cross breakout.
That later second condition is sequential-confirmation. It is used to validate an earlier volume expansion, rather than treating both cues as simultaneous.
Written entry and stop offsets
The written entry rule waits until price has moved at least $0.50 above the high of the day on which the golden-cross breakout is observed.
The written risk rule places an initial-stop one dollar below the low of the entry day and then uses a two-dollar trailing-stop. The initial-stop is a protective exit placed a fixed dollar amount below the low of the day the position is taken. The trailing-stop is moved with price after entry.
Optional scale-in after later cues
An optional management variant opens a smaller position on the first high-volume-breakout, adds after the golden-cross, and may add again if later signals appear. That scale-in plan opens a smaller position on the first cue and adds after later confirming cues appear.
All readings on this track · 40 readings
- 1988Constructing volume-confirmation overlays on OHLC spreadsheet charts
- 1989Commodity advance-decline from delivery months
- 1989The most-active list as a three-layer breadth lab
- 1989Constructing a yield-curve volume-breadth composite
- 1989A bond-futures case study in support, volume, and confirmation
- 1989Volume-scaled price boxes and volume cycles
- 1990Futures-signed on-balance volume construction
- 1990Self-relative volume boxes for news-free breakouts
- 1990Broadening swings, demand tests, and volume filters
- 1991A same-session pressure test of breadth and volume share
- 1991Tick extremes that confirm double tops and bottoms
- 1991Constructing auction fuel from volume and open interest
- 1994Constructing On-balance volume with smoothing and timeframe confirmation
- 1996A volume-gated moving-average trend combination
- 1996Constructing four-state range-volume bars
- 1997Failed trade review of a descending-triangle breakdown
- 1997Construct a head-and-shoulders before the neckline break
- 2004Volume confirmation is not optional for a head-and-shoulders reversal
- 2007Constructing a three-factor volume-price confirmation filter
- 2007Constructing a three-condition moving-average entry with a volume filter
- 2008Breakout rules that wait for volume and liquidity
- 2011Screen futures liquidity with open interest and volume
- 2011Filter executable futures with liquidity and open interest
- 2012Rank listed futures by liquidity before a forecast chooses the name
- 2012Filter futures liquidity using open interest and volume
- 2013Pre-trade futures liquidity as an execution filter
- 2014A futures liquidity screen from range, open interest and volume
- 2014Evaluating futures contract liquidity before execution
- 2014Constructing defended price lines from volume clusters
- 2014Filter futures by equal-dollar size, open interest, and volume
- 2015Filter futures ideas by ranked contract liquidity
- 2017Screen listed futures for execution liquidity first
- 2017Filter futures orders by liquidity, open interest, and volume
- 2018Using open interest and volume to rank futures liquidity
- 2018Score listed futures as an execution menu before the setup
- 2019Filtering futures orders with liquidity, open interest and volume
- 2019Futures liquidity as an execution filter
- 2020A futures liquidity board as a pre-trade execution filter
- 2020Sequenced volume and golden-cross breakout rules
- 2020Use a listed-futures liquidity filter before execution