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Research method

Market regime classification

Market regime classification is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Market-regime classification
Input
Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
Horizon
Weeks to months
Best use
Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
  • Output: market-regime.
  • Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph8

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 91 readings

1988Crash fear fails the depression regime testSeasonality and regimes1989Path quantiles versus net return for index velocity regimesSeasonality and regimes1990The discount-rate path as an equity regime overlayIntermarket and spreads1990Weekly range volatility as a tactical regime filterOptions and volatility1990Evaluating safety labels in a crash windowPortfolio construction1991A commodity-bond regime check before an equity relative strength indexIntermarket and spreads1991Demographic wave as a market-regime overlaySeasonality and regimes1991Three-indicator market overview from tape, sentiment and ratesIndicators and filters1991Growth earnings and price-to-earnings as a market-regime overlaySeasonality and regimes1991Evaluating successive policy hikes as equity regime warningsSeasonality and regimes1992A seven-vote sentiment score for fund-sleeve regimesSeasonality and regimes1992Country regime inside global allocation and index proxiesPortfolio construction1993A case study in refusing an isolated entrySeasonality and regimes1994Inflation-deflation regimes inside the stock cycleSeasonality and regimes1994The late-bull intermarket clock and regression-channel gatesIntermarket and spreads1994Late-cycle breadth as an allocation examSeasonality and regimes1994Seasonal range regimes as a futures context overlaySeasonality and regimes1994Relative valuation as regime context for fund allocationPortfolio construction1995Seasonal and political cycle maps as tested abstention regimesSeasonality and regimes1996Evaluating presidential party terms as equity regimesSeasonality and regimes1996A dominant cycle is a baseline, not a reprintSeasonality and regimes1996Seasonality and presidential election cycle regimesSeasonality and regimes1997Regime-aware allocation versus binary timingPortfolio construction1998A weekly composite-score that classifies despair, euphoria, or neitherSeasonality and regimes
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.