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BTC / USDT———ETH / USDT———SOL / USDT———BNB / USDT———XRP / USDT———DOGE / USDT———TON / USDT———AVAX / USDT———LINK / USDT———ADA / USDT———TRX / USDT———DOT / USDT———BTC / USDT———ETH / USDT———SOL / USDT———BNB / USDT———XRP / USDT———DOGE / USDT———TON / USDT———AVAX / USDT———LINK / USDT———ADA / USDT———TRX / USDT———DOT / USDT———
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Research method

Event-driven context

Event-driven context is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Market-regime classification
Input
Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
Horizon
Weeks to months
Best use
Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
  • Output: market-regime.
  • Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph3

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 28 readings

1990The discount-rate path as an equity regime overlayIntermarket and spreads1991Evaluating successive policy hikes as equity regime warningsSeasonality and regimes1992Evaluating split events across correction and bear regimesSeasonality and regimes2002Easing season meets commodity-bond reflationSeasonality and regimes2002Precious metals as portfolio insurance in uncertain regimesPortfolio construction2003US rebound, capital-flow funding, and dollar translationIntermarket and spreads2003Housing leverage after an equity crashIntermarket and spreads2003A three-path tape for recovery, inflation, or deflationSeasonality and regimes2005Regime shifts reorder US data impactSeasonality and regimes2006Disaster shocks, energy bottlenecks, and intermarket spilloverIntermarket and spreads2008Speculative leaders and regime context for ten-bagger setupsSeasonality and regimes2008A presidential transition as a dollar regime-timestampIntermarket and spreads2009Check the regime before you hunt a setupSeasonality and regimes2009Withhold an equity regime label until credit-linked ratios agreeSeasonality and regimes2010Softs stocks-to-use and semiannual event windowsIntermarket and spreads2010Energy futures, the dollar, inventory, and scenario riskIntermarket and spreads2011Event shocks, size caps, and second-order reweightsPortfolio construction2011Official floors, sidelines, and scale-in after a telegraphed FX interventionIntermarket and spreads2014Scheduled prints as sector pair filtersIntermarket and spreads2014ARIMA earnings forecasts versus the announcement-window price reactionTime series and forecasting2016Place a yuan devaluation inside peg, contract, and funding contextIntermarket and spreads2017Quiet tape, seasonal soft edges, and event risksSeasonality and regimes2017A search-theme mood compass for regime-aware trade contextSeasonality and regimes2018Bound headline trades with if-then pathsDecision process
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.