Research method
Seasonal analysis
Seasonal analysis is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.
- Output
- Market-regime classification
- Input
- Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
- Horizon
- Weeks to months
- Best use
- Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
- Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
- Output: market-regime.
- Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph6
How the method is built, and where it has been read
Depends on
Often reviewed together
Intermarket analysis4 readings
Often reviewed together
Commitment of Traders4 readings
Often reviewed together
Dominant cycle detection7 readings
Often reviewed together
Seasonality analysis7 readings
Often reviewed together
Market regime classification11 readings
Often reviewed together
Seasonal trading21 readings
Read in the archive24 of 93 readings
1982Critiquing Fourier, Elliott, and seasonal commodity models1985Industry leadership carryover as a bull-regime test1986Two gates for setup and operator readiness1986Calendar-locked averaging of price-change histogram categories1987Evaluating weekly price cycles with autocorrelation cutoffs1988Fourier cycles versus calendar seasonal regimes1990Time-only cycle dates in a Treasury bond case study1990The January barometer as a rest-of-year scoring problem1990Constant-dollar regimes, the value line, and nested cycles1991A thirty-name price-weighted average as a seasonal regime classroom1991Testing the July-August summer rally as an occurrence count1992The four-year election cycle as an equity regime map1992Building a shared workbook for calendar seasonality tests1992Constructing detrended tests for calendar seasonality1992A semiconductor seasonal-index before the relative-strength overlay1992Lock the holiday window as a regime, then veto resistance1993A three-sleeve regime map for equities, rates, and futures1994Quality screens and dividend-yield regime maps1994Constructing seasonal slots from windows, analog years, and implied volatility1994Evaluating eight-year election regimes1994Seasonal range regimes as a futures context overlay1995Seasonal and political cycle maps as tested abstention regimes1995Regime-aware stock screening with intermarket context1996Sector rotation across economic cycle phases
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.