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Pricing

Research method

Seasonal trading

Seasonal trading is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Signal
Input
Rule inputs, market state and execution constraints
Horizon
The system holding period
Best use
Make entry, exit and abstention rules testable as one procedure.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Rule inputs, market state and execution constraints.
  • Output: signal.
  • Use boundary: Make entry, exit and abstention rules testable as one procedure.
The graph8

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 130 readings

1987A mechanical rank-rotation sleeve for monthly fund leadersPortfolio construction1987Seasonal commodity spreads as portfolio slotsIntermarket and spreads1987Underwriting a seasonal livestock calendar spreadIntermarket and spreads1987Seasonal calendar spreads as financed capital slotsIntermarket and spreads1987Calendar gates for outright seasonal portfoliosSeasonality and regimes1989Weekday price paths are regime-dependentSeasonality and regimes1989Evaluating mechanical seasonal date rules for commodity spreadsIntermarket and spreads1989Seasonal dates, confirmation, and reconstructed spread barsIntermarket and spreads1989Rank rotation in a five-name no-load sleevePortfolio construction1990Calendar windows as testable index-futures proceduresSeasonality and regimes1990The January barometer as a rest-of-year scoring problemSeasonality and regimes1990Cycle-tested five-year fund rank rotationPortfolio construction1991Keep a decade-year only when it differs from the overall-meanSeasonality and regimes1991A thirty-name price-weighted average as a seasonal regime classroomSeasonality and regimes1991Ranking month-end holds with risk-reward and stopsSeasonality and regimes1991Testing the July-August summer rally as an occurrence countSeasonality and regimes1991Constructing seasonal-cycle overlays with channel confirmationCycles and spectral analysis1991An eclipse calendar as a testable cycle scaffoldCycles and spectral analysis1992The four-year election cycle as an equity regime mapSeasonality and regimes1992Inner planet cycle dates, seasonal inversions, and stochastic timingCycles and spectral analysis1992Building a shared workbook for calendar seasonality testsSeasonality and regimes1992Constructing detrended tests for calendar seasonalitySeasonality and regimes1992A semiconductor seasonal-index before the relative-strength overlaySeasonality and regimes1992Lock the holiday window as a regime, then veto resistanceSeasonality and regimes
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.