2002issue C081-3
Wave-by-wave channel construction for Elliott counts
The historical workflow redraws the Elliott price channel after every completed same-degree swing. Editorial reading: a clean hold supports the current labels, while an early miss or a late break forces a relabel before any target is trusted.
- Draw Elliott channels on a semi-log scale, on electronic charts and on hand-drawn charts alike, so percentage travel stays visually consistent.
- After each completed same-degree swing, redraw the price channel to bound the next wave. The lines mark a completion boundary, not an exact reversal price.
- A pierce after wave 2 can flag an extended third, a shortfall after wave 4 can flag a truncated fifth, and a channel that fails to behave as expected is a warning to revisit the count.
- Zigzags and flats can use a channel to target wave C, diagonals use non-parallel lines in sequence, and an idealized 0.618, 0.382, and 1.618 fit inside one channel is rare.
Redraw after every completed swing
The historical workflow treats each newly completed swing as a construction step. As soon as the latest same-degree wave has reversed, the channel is redrawn and the next wave is checked against the new pair of lines.
A price channel is a pair of parallel lines drawn through completed same-degree swings to bound the next Elliott wave. Same-degree waves are swings that belong to one Elliott sequence and should remain enclosed by a single channel.
The channel is meant to keep those waves together and to mark a completion boundary, not an exact reversal price. In a rising channel, a longer developing wave implies a higher reversal area.
Semi-log scale and a failed channel
Elliott channels should be drawn on a semi-log scale, whether the chart is electronic or drawn by hand. Semi-log scale is the preferred chart scale for this work so percentage travel stays visually consistent.
If a newly drawn channel fails to behave as expected, that failure is a warning that the wave count may be wrong.
Impulse waves, one channel at a time
After wave 2 reverses, a line from the origin of wave 1 through the end of wave 2, plus a parallel from the wave-1 extreme, bounds wave 3. A pierce of that channel can indicate an extending third wave. An extended third is a third wave that travels through a previously drawn channel and therefore needs a new parallel taken from an earlier swing.
After wave 3 reverses, a line through waves 1 and 3 with a parallel from wave 2 is a minimum target for wave 4. An ending well short of that line should be checked as a possible second wave inside a still-developing third.
After wave 4 reverses, a line through waves 2 and 4 with a parallel from wave 3 bounds wave 5. A shortfall can mark a truncated fifth, a fifth wave that finishes well short of the channel drawn after wave 4. When the third wave was extended, the parallel is taken from wave 1 instead of wave 3.
Diagonal channels
In a leading or ending diagonal, a line from the origin of A through B bounds D, and a line from A through C bounds E, even though the pattern sides are not parallel. That construction is a diagonal channel: non-parallel motive boundaries that are still used, in sequence, to project later diagonal legs.
Zigzags, flats, and patterns that do not channel
In a zigzag or flat, including those nested inside combinations, a line from the origin of A through B with a parallel from A can target wave C. Triangles and expanded or running flats do not sit well in such channels.
Fibonacci ratios inside an idealized channel
An idealized five-wave layout can place a 0.618 retracement of wave 1 at wave 2, a 0.382 retracement of wave 3 at wave 4, and a fifth wave equal to 1.618 times wave 1 inside one channel. A Fibonacci retracement, in this sense, is a ratio between completed swings that, in an idealized count, can sit inside a well-formed channel. Such a perfect fit is rare.
All readings on this track · 55 readings
- 1988Constructing price channels from trendlines
- 1988Three-point curved trend channel construction
- 1988Least-squares construction of channel trendlines
- 1988Three-zone price channel from quadratic smoothing
- 1989A variable-sensitivity stochastic built on three-sigma bounds
- 1989Close-minus-average oscillator for channel extremes
- 1989The six-stage hunt as a critique of one-click heroics
- 1990Fair-value gaps and a copper moving-average channel
- 1990Diversify markets, not systems, to cut trend-system variance
- 1991Constructing trendlines, price channels, and close-based breakouts
- 1991Constructing seasonal-cycle overlays with channel confirmation
- 1993Lag-compensated exponential trend channel construction
- 1993Constructing a lead-lag filter and price channel as one stack
- 1993Three stochastic warnings still need price-channel confirmation
- 1993Lead-lag smoothing for weekly trend-channel construction
- 1993Constructing zero-net-lag price channels
- 1995From a downtrend-line break to a regression channel
- 1995Validated trendline and price channel construction
- 1995Constructing price envelopes from averages, volatility, and regression
- 1996Constructing trendlines and channels from explicit swings
- 1998Fifty percent retracement as a channel regime test
- 1998Close-based channel rails as daily scenario maps
- 1999Constructing support, resistance, trendlines, and price channels
- 2001Cycle composites, price channels, and two-sided signals
- 2001Testing horizontal price channels with stops and scale
- 2002A two-stage momentum-shift and price-channel process
- 2002Wave-by-wave channel construction for Elliott counts
- 2002Affine channels as reusable trade hypotheses
- 2004Stress-test seasonal windows across regimes, then add channels
- 2004Regime permission from trendlines, channels, and range edges
- 2004Weekly-average and price-channel states on sector depositary baskets
- 2005Oil services catch-up after channel resistance breaks
- 2005Constructing a volatility-normalized cycle index
- 2005How a Darvas channel becomes a complete entry and exit procedure
- 2005Clustered Fibonacci and channel levels in news-driven forex
- 2005Treat a consolidating currency market as a time-frame problem
- 2005Channel walls that flip roles or recapture price
- 2006Stacking candlesticks, crossovers, and price channels
- 2006Failed uptrend channel breakout left the euro rangebound
- 2006Constructing a Wilson relative price channel from a range-bound strength index
- 2007Range bars change when a Bollinger squeeze counts as a breakout
- 2009One testable SPY procedure for a price channel, a trend rule, and a seasonal overlay
- 2010A gold-miner channel plan from value to false breakouts
- 2010A multi-timeframe channel from value to an overvalued zone
- 2010Asymmetric price channel construction for congested markets
- 2011Phasing many cycles at once with nested envelopes
- 2012Constructing adaptive horizontal price channels
- 2014Confirming support with trendlines, channels, and retracements
- 2015News-sentiment confirmation for support, channel, and volume tests
- 2015A three-layer permission stack: moving averages, a price channel, and weekly levels
- 2016Entropy-diff as a regime switch between trend following and a price channel
- 2017Competing rulers on a pound chart after Brexit
- 2017Test consolidation channel breakouts as one procedure
- 2020Constructing late-trend longs with a price channel, gap breakout, and trailing stop
- 2025Using IBM's multi-year price channel as a breakout teaching case