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1999issue C011-4

Constructing support, resistance, trendlines, and price channels

Cluster reversal touches into a line, score that line by how often price meets it and turns, then rebuild the same geometry after a break as a reversed level, a diagonal trendline, or a parallel channel so the next test can fail.

  • Cluster repeated reversal touches into one line before treating that line as a support level or a resistance level.
  • Score the line by touch count. Claimed significance rises when price meets the line and then reverses.
  • After a close through the line, rebuild the same geometry as a role reversal, a diagonal trendline, or a parallel price channel.
  • Treat the next test as a hypothesis that can fail. The lines are alerts for zones that need closer study, not certain rebound points.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Construction order first

The archive examples start from price meetings that reverse, then draw a line through those meetings. A line's claimed significance is tied to how often price touches it and then reverses. After a break, the same figure or a new diagonal can be redrawn and tested again.

Editorial interpretation: teach that construction order first. Cluster reversal touches into a line, score that line by how often price meets it and turns, then rebuild the same geometry after a break as a reversed level, a diagonal trendline, or a parallel channel. The next test is a hypothesis that can fail.

What support and resistance mean

Support is buying, actual or potential, large enough to stop further decline for a time. Resistance is the matching selling that stops further advance for a time.

A support level is the price where buyers can temporarily halt or reverse a downtrend. A resistance level is where sellers can temporarily halt or reverse an uptrend.

Editorial interpretation: support and resistance here means a horizontal price zone where concentrated buying can stall a decline or concentrated selling can stall an advance. After a break, the same zone can flip role and be reused.

A resistance area that later held declines

On one daily chart, a 27 1/2 area rejected three advances. After a later break, the same figure held three subsequent declines.

That ceiling is attributed to leftover buyers from near 30 who used rallies toward 27 1/2 to cut a roughly 15% loss, until remaining sell orders thinned and price pushed through.

Editorial interpretation: the later holds at the same figure are a role reversal. Broken resistance is redrawn as support and then retested from the opposite side.

Rubbermaid daily price and the 27.5 reversal line

From mid-1997 into early 1998 Rubbermaid keeps stalling near 27.5; after the February break that same line holds the next pullbacks and the stock runs toward 35 before the late-summer slide. The path is traced from the published daily MetaStock plot; 27.5 is the level the article draws through those turns.
From mid-1997 into early 1998 Rubbermaid keeps stalling near 27.5; after the February break that same line holds the next pullbacks and the stock runs toward 35 before the late-summer slide. The path is traced from the published daily MetaStock plot; 27.5 is the level the article draws through those turns.Rubbermaid (RBD) · daily · 1997-06-01T00:00:00.000Z to 1998-10-31T00:00:00.000Z

Prices are read from the printed daily plot, so they are approximate to about half a dollar. The source writes the marked level as 27 1/2.

Scoring a line by how often price turns

A second daily example shows a 34 1/2 line stopping five successive declines before price later closed through it.

A line's claimed significance is tied to how often price touches it and then reverses. The 34 1/2 example is counted at no fewer than seven such reversals.

Editorial interpretation: that tally is the touch count, the number of distinct meetings where price reaches a drawn line and then reverses. More reversals raise the line's claimed significance.

Support drawn on a diagonal

A rising line from the lowest low through the last minor low before the period high contained price until a close sat on the line and the next session broke it. The example shows that support can be drawn diagonally.

Editorial interpretation: a trendline is a diagonal support or resistance line drawn through successive swing lows in an advance, or successive swing highs in a decline, and extended forward until price closes through it.

The same level tested from the other side

After that break, the former 34 1/2 support was tested from below during the following month and functioned as resistance.

Editorial interpretation: role reversal also runs the other way. Broken support is redrawn as resistance and then retested from the opposite side.

Parallel lines after the uptrend failed

After the uptrend failed, a declining line through the swing high and a later high, plus a parallel through the break-day close, framed later swings as a downward price channel.

Editorial interpretation: a price channel is a pair of parallel diagonal lines that contain later swings after a trend break, so price is read as bouncing between one support wall and one resistance wall.

Lines as alerts, not certain rebound points

The drawn lines are presented as alerts for zones that need closer study with other tools, not as certain predictors of when or where price will rebound.

Editorial interpretation: keep the next test falsifiable. If price does not meet the rebuilt line and turn, the hypothesis fails and the geometry is redrawn or dropped.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
23 of 55 in the Price channel track
20011-2 pp.Next on Price channelCycle composites, price channels, and two-sided signalsA market timer combined minor, intermediate, and major cycle readings into one composite-cycle so a trend change could be inspected as a single forecast object.
All readings on this track · 55 readings
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  2. 1988Three-point curved trend channel construction
  3. 1988Least-squares construction of channel trendlines
  4. 1988Three-zone price channel from quadratic smoothing
  5. 1989A variable-sensitivity stochastic built on three-sigma bounds
  6. 1989Close-minus-average oscillator for channel extremes
  7. 1989The six-stage hunt as a critique of one-click heroics
  8. 1990Fair-value gaps and a copper moving-average channel
  9. 1990Diversify markets, not systems, to cut trend-system variance
  10. 1991Constructing trendlines, price channels, and close-based breakouts
  11. 1991Constructing seasonal-cycle overlays with channel confirmation
  12. 1993Lag-compensated exponential trend channel construction
  13. 1993Constructing a lead-lag filter and price channel as one stack
  14. 1993Three stochastic warnings still need price-channel confirmation
  15. 1993Lead-lag smoothing for weekly trend-channel construction
  16. 1993Constructing zero-net-lag price channels
  17. 1995From a downtrend-line break to a regression channel
  18. 1995Validated trendline and price channel construction
  19. 1995Constructing price envelopes from averages, volatility, and regression
  20. 1996Constructing trendlines and channels from explicit swings
  21. 1998Fifty percent retracement as a channel regime test
  22. 1998Close-based channel rails as daily scenario maps
  23. 1999Constructing support, resistance, trendlines, and price channels
  24. 2001Cycle composites, price channels, and two-sided signals
  25. 2001Testing horizontal price channels with stops and scale
  26. 2002A two-stage momentum-shift and price-channel process
  27. 2002Wave-by-wave channel construction for Elliott counts
  28. 2002Affine channels as reusable trade hypotheses
  29. 2004Stress-test seasonal windows across regimes, then add channels
  30. 2004Regime permission from trendlines, channels, and range edges
  31. 2004Weekly-average and price-channel states on sector depositary baskets
  32. 2005Oil services catch-up after channel resistance breaks
  33. 2005Constructing a volatility-normalized cycle index
  34. 2005How a Darvas channel becomes a complete entry and exit procedure
  35. 2005Clustered Fibonacci and channel levels in news-driven forex
  36. 2005Treat a consolidating currency market as a time-frame problem
  37. 2005Channel walls that flip roles or recapture price
  38. 2006Stacking candlesticks, crossovers, and price channels
  39. 2006Failed uptrend channel breakout left the euro rangebound
  40. 2006Constructing a Wilson relative price channel from a range-bound strength index
  41. 2007Range bars change when a Bollinger squeeze counts as a breakout
  42. 2009One testable SPY procedure for a price channel, a trend rule, and a seasonal overlay
  43. 2010A gold-miner channel plan from value to false breakouts
  44. 2010A multi-timeframe channel from value to an overvalued zone
  45. 2010Asymmetric price channel construction for congested markets
  46. 2011Phasing many cycles at once with nested envelopes
  47. 2012Constructing adaptive horizontal price channels
  48. 2014Confirming support with trendlines, channels, and retracements
  49. 2015News-sentiment confirmation for support, channel, and volume tests
  50. 2015A three-layer permission stack: moving averages, a price channel, and weekly levels
  51. 2016Entropy-diff as a regime switch between trend following and a price channel
  52. 2017Competing rulers on a pound chart after Brexit
  53. 2017Test consolidation channel breakouts as one procedure
  54. 2020Constructing late-trend longs with a price channel, gap breakout, and trailing stop
  55. 2025Using IBM's multi-year price channel as a breakout teaching case
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