Research method
Seasonality analysis
Seasonality analysis is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.
- Output
- Market-regime classification
- Input
- Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
- Horizon
- Weeks to months
- Best use
- Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
- Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
- Output: market-regime.
- Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph6
How the method is built, and where it has been read
Depends on
Often reviewed together
Seasonal chart pattern4 readings
Often reviewed together
Dominant cycle detection6 readings
Often reviewed together
Seasonal analysis7 readings
Often reviewed together
Intermarket analysis12 readings
Often reviewed together
Market regime classification13 readings
Often reviewed together
Seasonal trading24 readings
Read in the archive24 of 85 readings
1987Seasonal commodity spreads as portfolio slots1989Weekday price paths are regime-dependent1989Evaluating venue volume as a speculation-breadth signal1990Calendar windows as testable index-futures procedures1990Constructing nested four-year market cycles1991Keep a decade-year only when it differs from the overall-mean1991A thirty-name price-weighted average as a seasonal regime classroom1991Ranked half-year rate changes as an equity signal filter1991Name the window, then combine leaders1991Demographic wave as a market-regime overlay1992Construct a bond-led dividend-to-bond-yield regime first1994Monthly drawdown limits when cash competes with equity1994Gold as a cycle clock for commodities and yields1994Evaluating DJIA weakness inside the quarterly futures cycle1994Extreme short-rate declines as equity regime context1994Seasonal range regimes as a futures context overlay1995Inflation-ratio overlays, peso breaks and election cycles1995Read one equity position on a joint yield-regime card1996Nested calendar clocks in long-bond futures1996Evaluating presidential party terms as equity regimes1996Evaluate S&P 500 seasonal windows before using leverage1996A dominant cycle is a baseline, not a reprint1996Seasonality and presidential election cycle regimes1997Stacking calendar regimes around election years
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.