Skip to main content
BTC / USDT———ETH / USDT———SOL / USDT———BNB / USDT———XRP / USDT———DOGE / USDT———TON / USDT———AVAX / USDT———LINK / USDT———ADA / USDT———TRX / USDT———DOT / USDT———BTC / USDT———ETH / USDT———SOL / USDT———BNB / USDT———XRP / USDT———DOGE / USDT———TON / USDT———AVAX / USDT———LINK / USDT———ADA / USDT———TRX / USDT———DOT / USDT———
Pricing

Research method

Commitment of Traders

Commitment of Traders is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Market-regime classification
Input
Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
Horizon
Weeks to months
Best use
Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
  • Output: market-regime.
  • Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph2

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive21 readings

1990Constructing a COT index from the commercial-speculative spreadIntermarket and spreads1990Crowded price rules need abstention and a regime overlayDecision process1991Advisor consensus fails as weekly contrarian timingSeasonality and regimes1996When speculative flows decouple bonds from stocksIntermarket and spreads1996Score each trader class against itself, then slice by monthSeasonality and regimes1996Pork belly Commitment of Traders signals depend on the seasonal windowSeasonality and regimes2002Constructing regime context from trader commitment netsSeasonality and regimes2002Trader net positions as regime context for chart setupsIntermarket and spreads2003Three states for a daily futures advisor consensusSeasonality and regimes2005Commitment of Traders open-interest extremes as regime filtersIntermarket and spreads2005Commitment of Traders participant imbalance as regime context for commodity position tradesIntermarket and spreads2006Housing slowdown as a cross-market regime lessonSeasonality and regimes2006Lagged commercial nets and a weekly accumulation triggerSeasonality and regimes2007Evaluate an index stance as a spread between trader booksIntermarket and spreads2011Constructing weekly participant positioning ledgersIntermarket and spreads2012Commitment of Traders as crowded-book context, not a copy signalIntermarket and spreads2014Constructing Commitment of Traders regime context when commercial hedgers failIntermarket and spreads2014When Commitment of Traders smart money fails as an intermarket regime filterIntermarket and spreads2015Leave a yen bottom unconfirmed until gold and positioning agreeIntermarket and spreads2016Stacking volume, open interest, and trader books around expirationAuction and volume2025Post-crash cash and regime-aware watchlistsIntermarket and spreads
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.