Dow Theory · TradersWeek

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Output: Signal
Input: OHLC price structure and chart scale
Horizon: From intraday to several weeks
Best use: Turn a repeatable chart condition into a falsifiable trade hypothesis.

Input: OHLC price structure and chart scale.
Output: signal.
Use boundary: Turn a repeatable chart condition into a falsifiable trade hypothesis.

The graph3

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Often reviewed together

Trend following4 readings

Often reviewed together

Head and shoulders4 readings

Often reviewed together

Price-indicator divergence8 readings

Read in the archive24 of 29 readings

1982A bounded-risk entry separates a forecast from a trendTrend and mean reversion 1984Critiquing reward bias, single-scale charts, and exact-turn forecastsDecision process 1990Constructing dual-average primary-trend confirmationTrend and channels 1991Two-average confirmation before a primary reversal callTrend and channels 1991Delayed confirmation is not Dow Theory divergenceTrend and channels 1991Confirmation delay and breadth divergence in a two-average caseTrend and channels 1992Critiquing unconfirmed Dow rallies with volumeTrend and channels 1992Utilities as a rate-regime lead for equitiesIntermarket and spreads 1993When Dow Theory signals fail after the decision-makers changeTrend and channels 1994Market life expectancy as a risk filterStops and loss limits 1994Score industrial and transport sync before calling an intermediate-trend signalTrend and channels 1997A 1995 industrial-average breakout mapped from component trendsTrend and channels 1998Confirm Dow trends with Market breadth and Head and shouldersMarket breadth 1999Confirming an equity idea with rate, commodity, and index spreadsIntermarket and spreads 2001Why trend, range, and Dow rules need separate testsTrend and mean reversion 2001Bear-market confirmation via prior correction troughsTrend and channels 2002Constructing a Dow line before breakout confirmationChart patterns 2002Two-average confirmation as a swing-by-swing classroom drillTrend and channels 2002Withhold the hypothesis until the second average confirms: a 2001 caseChart patterns 2002A primary-bear case study in cycle speed, Dow theory, and pattern legsWaves and ratios 2003Four index proxies as a bear-regime dashboardIntermarket and spreads 2004Dual-average confirmation at shared prior highsChart patterns 2004Confirmation as the second clock on a trend breakTrend and channels 2004The confirmation-reaction planning window after a joint breakTrend and channels

This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.