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1994issue C121-13

A pre-trade checklist that can refuse a long three ways

A pre-trade checklist can score a long as one procedure and still refuse it. The market may fail a breadth and follow-through gate, the name may fail a top-tier relative-strength comparison, or the average directional index may not yet hand the hold-versus-exit decision back to the trader.

  • Score the market backdrop, the name, and the later hold test as one pre-trade checklist before a long is allowed.
  • A contrary sentiment reading is not a buy until positive breadth divergence and a follow-through day confirm it.
  • After the market clears, admit only names that held a cup-and-handle base, resisted the decline, and printed a high relative-strength rank at breakout.
  • Treat an expanding average directional index between the directional pair as a hold rule, and treat a rise through the plus directional indicator followed by a downturn as a late-trend warning.
Entries in this reading3 entries

One score, three places to refuse

A long-side procedure can require three sequential gates before any entry: a contrary sentiment backdrop, improving internal breadth at a new index low, and a delayed follow-through rally on expanding volume. Those tests belong in one pre-trade checklist, scored together with a later hold test, before a long is allowed and while it remains open.

Editorial reading: the same score can refuse the long in three places. The market can fail the breadth and follow-through gate. The candidate can fail a top-tier relative-strength comparison over a defined lookback. Or the average directional index can withhold the hold-versus-exit decision from the trader.

Market gates that can block every name

Successive index reaction lows printed on a declining-volume sequence were treated as an argument that selling pressure was being exhausted. Daily new lows that contracted while the weighted index made a new reaction low were used as a positive breadth divergence, meaning fewer individual issues were participating in the decline.

A follow-through day was specified as a delayed confirmation bar after the exact low: an index gain of at least 1 percent on greater volume than the prior session, counted from the fourth day through the tenth. The first three days were ignored unless all three were extremely strong. The illustrated case still accepted a later advance that met volume confirmation because other checklist items already agreed.

Combined shorter-horizon and longer-horizon put/call readings, even at a record extreme, were treated as needing confirmation from breadth and price-volume tests rather than as a stand-alone buy.

NASDAQ volume at the three 1994 reaction lows

Each retest of the spring 1994 NASDAQ lows printed less volume than the one before: 335 million shares on April 20, 318 million on May 17, and 282 million on June 24. Kuhn treated that contraction as evidence sellers were cleaned out, a market-level gate that can block every long. The three volumes are the session figures stated in the article, not readings taken off the price plot.
Each retest of the spring 1994 NASDAQ lows printed less volume than the one before: 335 million shares on April 20, 318 million on May 17, and 282 million on June 24. Kuhn treated that contraction as evidence sellers were cleaned out, a market-level gate that can block every long. The three volumes are the session figures stated in the article, not readings taken off the price plot.NASDAQ Composite · Daily session volume at each low · 1994-04-20T00:00:00.000Z to 1994-06-24T00:00:00.000Z

Only the three labeled reaction-low sessions are reported; this is not a continuous volume series.

The name still has to clear relative strength

After the market-level checklist cleared, names were admitted only if they held a constructive cup-and-handle base, resisted the broader decline, and printed high relative-strength ranks at breakout. The cup-and-handle base is admitted only as a pattern filter inside the larger checklist.

The relative strength index, used here, is a ranked comparison of a name's recent price behavior against a defined universe over a stated sampling interval. It is a selection gate, not a standalone forecast.

When trend strength keeps the decision

When the plus directional indicator is above the minus directional indicator and the average directional index crosses from below both and rises between them, the procedure treats the combination as a hold rule: stop re-judging the open long while the thrust remains intact.

An average directional index rise through the plus directional indicator followed by a downturn was treated as a late-trend warning that the next upward thrust may precede a deeper pullback. In the historical workflow, that sequence had marked important index peaks with a lead measured in weeks.

Editorial reading: until the average directional index hands the hold-versus-exit decision back, the checklist can still refuse a fresh long and can keep an open long from being re-judged on every bar.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
14 of 56 in the Average Directional Index track
19971-2 pp.Next on Average Directional IndexAn ADX threshold and a moving average as a trend filterA combination overlay can plot a 50-bar moving average of a chosen price series and raise visual and audio alerts when a 14-period Average Directional Index falls below 15.
All readings on this track · 56 readings
  1. 1986Cycle-aligned directional trend indicator
  2. 1987What crossover and directional entry rules actually compare
  3. 1988A directional-line cross needs a trend filter, an extreme-point rule, and a dollar stop
  4. 1988Constructing true range by offset addressing
  5. 1988Constructing directional movement from bar range
  6. 1988Average directional index construction: recursive smoothing and lookback offset
  7. 1988Staged Average Directional Index construction with Relative Strength Index confirmation and stop alerts
  8. 1988Average Directional Index construction with frozen true range and directional rules
  9. 1991Constructing the average directional index from range expansion and true range
  10. 1991Constructing five-session forecasts from stochastic, ADX, and MACD inputs
  11. 1993Constructing the average directional index from directional movement and true range
  12. 1993Confirming n-bar breakouts with ADX and DX filters
  13. 1994Constructing a Bollinger band-width trend filter
  14. 1994A pre-trade checklist that can refuse a long three ways
  15. 1997An ADX threshold and a moving average as a trend filter
  16. 1998Regime filters for mutated indicators
  17. 1999Building the average directional index from range extension and true range
  18. 2000Evaluating ADX, RSI, and moving averages in a multi-stock warehouse
  19. 2000Stochastic pop as a filtered continuation setup
  20. 2000Onset and exit from one average directional index
  21. 2002Joint ADX and MACD readout for trend strength and direction
  22. 2003Adaptive Donchian breakout with implied volatility and volume
  23. 2004The average directional index as a regime gate for the relative strength index and the stochastic oscillator
  24. 2004Constructing true-range-specified volume as a directional filter
  25. 2005Constructing a multi-filter penny stock breakout procedure
  26. 2005Construct one playbook that flips with session regime
  27. 2005Combining Bollinger Bands, the average directional index, and Fibonacci retracement on currency pairs
  28. 2006Assembling an adaptive price zone from double-smoothed averages
  29. 2006An ADX strength gate for MACD and the stochastic oscillator
  30. 2007Directional movement as a filter plus trigger
  31. 2007Constructing a veto-first trend permission stack
  32. 2007ADX gates for trend end, range, and reversal
  33. 2008Constructing a nine-cell directional-ratio grid
  34. 2008Average directional index and directional trend indicator lookbacks as trend-filter parameters
  35. 2008A holding-matched market lens from averages and directional-line crosses
  36. 2008A nine-cell directional scoreboard for multi-horizon entries
  37. 2010Building a Vortex Indicator from high-low distances
  38. 2010Constructing ADX, RSI, and MACD price filters
  39. 2011Constructing a volume zone oscillator with a moving-average and Average Directional Index regime filter
  40. 2011A volume zone oscillator conditioned by an Average Directional Index filter
  41. 2011Candlestick names need volume-price, ADX, and moving-average checks
  42. 2012Clustered average-directional-index traces as a trend-start filter
  43. 2012Average Directional Index cluster filters for trend-start signals
  44. 2012Confirming a trend start or turn with a triple ADX cluster
  45. 2013Constructing a late-entry stack from a signed DMI oscillator
  46. 2013A directional oscillator and its stochastic as a stacked timing filter
  47. 2013ADX cluster lookbacks are a locked specification, not a chart label
  48. 2013Combining moving averages, stochastics, and ADX in a daily scan
  49. 2015Assembling the Average Directional Index from directional movement
  50. 2016How an Average Directional Index filter and a breakout entry form one procedure
  51. 2016Score RSI and stochastic crossings only when ADX confirms the trend
  52. 2018Constructing an ADX filter for intraday breakouts
  53. 2018An ADX volatility gate for prior-day breakouts
  54. 2019Exponential deviation bands with a moving average, RSI and ADX
  55. 2020A normalized-slope trend filter from linear regression
  56. 2020Gating volatility-momentum divergences with a Trend filter
All 71 readings tagged Average Directional Index
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