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2003issue C101-10

Bull-and-bear-balance from OHLC bar patterns

Each bar is classified into eleven bull categories and eleven bear categories from the previous close and the current open, high, low, and close. Category-specific bull-power and bear-power are then averaged and subtracted to form bull-and-bear-balance.

  • Same-bar bull-power and bear-power are inferred from the relationships among the previous close and the current open, high, low, and close rather than from a single fixed formula.
  • Each bar is assigned one of eleven bull categories and one of eleven bear categories, after which a pattern-specific-calculation supplies the power values.
  • The raw power series is described as noisy, so published implementations average the series and subtract to form bull-and-bear-balance.
  • Construction choices include exponential-smoothing of each series and of their difference, a moving-average of the raw difference for histogram-display, and separately smoothed powers followed by a second moving-average of the difference.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Same-bar strength without a single formula

The construction infers same-bar bull and bear strength from the relationships among the previous close and the current open, high, low, and close rather than from a single fixed formula.

Bull-power is a same-bar quantity that measures upward reach from a case-specific reference chosen by how the current open, high, low, and close sit relative to the previous close. Bear-power is the complementary same-bar quantity that measures downward reach from a case-specific reference chosen by the same OHLC relationships.

The construction is presented as an alternative estimation of bull and bear balance that is intended to avoid drawbacks attributed to two earlier, similarly named power-balance indicators.

A pattern-specific-calculation on each bar

Each bar is assigned one of eleven bull categories and one of eleven bear categories, then a category-specific power calculation is applied.

That assignment is a pattern-specific-calculation: a nested case assignment that maps each bar onto one of a finite set of bull and bear formulas instead of applying one fixed formula to every bar.

The same-bar case logic can be rewritten with intermediate named conditions so bull-power and bear-power remain separately reusable before they are subtracted.

From noisy power series to bull-and-bear-balance

The raw power series is described as noisy, so both series are averaged and one is subtracted from the other to form the finished balance. Bull-and-bear-balance is the difference of separately smoothed bull-power and bear-power, optionally smoothed again, used as the finished balance series.

One published implementation uses exponential-smoothing as a recursive average of length 20 on each power series and a second exponential average of length 5 on their difference.

Another published implementation subtracts bear-power from bull-power and then applies a 30-period moving-average to the difference for histogram-display. Histogram-display is a bar-style plot of the finished balance so the sign and magnitude of each bar are visually separable from a later overlay smoother.

A third published implementation smooths bull-power and bear-power separately with a 20-day moving-average, then smooths the difference with a 30-day moving-average, with both lengths adjustable without rewriting the formula.

TradeStation bull-and-bear balance on S&P 500 e-mini

Daily ES from February through August shows a March low near 800, a rally to about 1015 in June, then a pullback toward 965. The histogram turns from deeply negative in February to positive through spring and early summer, then fades toward zero. Values were read from the TradeStation screenshot, not from a table.
Daily ES from February through August shows a March low near 800, a rally to about 1015 in June, then a pullback toward 965. The histogram turns from deeply negative in February to positive through spring and early summer, then fades toward zero. Values were read from the TradeStation screenshot, not from a table.S&P 500 e-mini (@ES) · Daily · 2003-02-01T00:00:00.000Z to 2003-08-31T00:00:00.000Z

Indicator uses 20-bar exponential averages of bull and bear power and a 5-bar exponential average of their difference, as in the TradeStation tip.

An editorial reading of the finished line

Editorial: price-indicator-divergence is a chart condition in which price structure and the finished balance line fail to confirm each other, treated as a hypothesis rather than a rule. The archive describes how the balance series is built. It does not turn a mismatch with price into a trading instruction.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
15 of 16 in the Price-indicator divergence track
20031-5 pp.Next on Price-indicator divergenceConstructing bull and bear balance from session pathsA consensus-average treats a moving average as the period's agreed price, but high and low residuals still leave the open-to-close path unused.
All readings on this track · 16 readings
  1. 1989Volume confirmation windows and exponential average construction
  2. 1990Constructing stochastic %K and %D from range position
  3. 1990Build a weekly leading sector composite from scaled transports and financials
  4. 1990Constructing stochastic K and D lines and divergence cues
  5. 1993Relative strength index events depend on the chosen input combination
  6. 1995Constructing a dual-horizon force index
  7. 1996Building a range-normalized divergence index from relative strength index
  8. 1998Treat RSI as a testable filter rather than a trigger
  9. 1999Primary-cycle windows, then stochastic confirmation
  10. 1999Stochastic rules versus buy and hold
  11. 2001Constructing confirmation filters for RSI overbought and oversold extremes
  12. 2003Constructing divergence-equivalent relative strength index and stochastic oscillators
  13. 2003Reverse-engineered RSI as a next-close projection
  14. 2003Scoring open versus resolved relative strength divergences
  15. 2003Bull-and-bear-balance from OHLC bar patterns
  16. 2003Constructing bull and bear balance from session paths
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