1993issue C121-3
Valid trendline anchors for three-part reversals
A downtrend line runs from the highest high to the lowest minor high before the lowest low, and an uptrend line runs from the lowest low to the highest minor low before the highest high, with no trade through either segment. A reversal reading is indicated only when prices cross that line, continuation extremes stop, and price trades through the prior opposing swing.
- A valid downtrend line is drawn from the highest high to the lowest minor high that occurs before the lowest low, and prices must not trade through the line between those anchors.
- A downtrend line that uses a minor high after the lowest low is constructed incorrectly, and an uptrend line follows the same before-the-extreme rule from the lowest low to the highest minor low.
- A trade through a correctly drawn downtrend line is only the first indication that demand may be interrupting the prevailing downtrend.
- A trend-reversal reading requires the trendline cross, an end to lower lows or higher highs, and a trade through the prior minor high or minor low together.
How the anchors are chosen
A trendline is a straight edge drawn between two allowed swing anchors, with no prices trading through the segment between those points.
A downtrend line is drawn from the highest high to the lowest minor high that occurs before the lowest low. Prices must not trade through the line between those two anchors.
A downtrend line that uses a minor high occurring after the lowest low is constructed incorrectly.
An uptrend line is drawn from the lowest low to the highest minor low that occurs before the highest high. Prices must not trade through the line between those two anchors.
A minor high is an intermediate swing high used as a downtrend-line or resistance anchor rather than a high that prints after the lowest low. A minor low is an intermediate swing low used as an uptrend-line or support anchor rather than a low that prints after the highest high.
What a breakout can show
A breakout is a trade through a correctly drawn trendline or through a prior swing used as confirmation.
A trade through a correctly drawn downtrend line is the first indication that demand may be interrupting the prevailing downtrend.
After a downtrend line is crossed, a later test of the prior lows that fails to print a new lower low is additional evidence of demand at that support. Support is a prior low or horizontal shelf where a later test fails to make a new lower low.
A retest is a return to the prior extreme after a trendline cross, used to check whether the old trend can still print a new continuation low or high.
A break of a minor uptrend line after the main downtrend line has already been crossed can mark the start of the retest of prior lows.
What completes a trend-reversal
A trend-reversal reading is indicated only when three conditions occur together: prices cross the constructed trendline, the market stops making lower lows in a downtrend or higher highs in an uptrend, and price trades above the prior minor high in a downtrend or below the prior minor low in an uptrend.
Once the trendline cross and the failed new low are in place, a trade above the previous minor high completes the downtrend-to-uptrend reversal sequence.
Resistance is a prior minor high that must be traded through to finish a downtrend-to-uptrend reading. A trend-reversal is recognized only when the trendline cross, an end to continuation extremes, and a trade through the prior opposing swing appear together.
All readings on this track · 53 readings
- 1984Constructing the slow stochastic from a five-session range
- 1985Gold-proxy trendlines and a January support base
- 1988Construct a five-week new-highs total as a breadth chart
- 1988Stacked channel, trendline, and moving-average warnings in 1987
- 1989Auditing fifth-wave counts with equality, Fibonacci, and trendlines
- 1990Money-fund maturity as a companion Eurodollar chart
- 1990Constructing wave targets from ratios, triangles and trendlines
- 1992Nested time frames for trend and channel signals
- 1992A pre-trade checklist for trendline breaks and loss limits
- 1992Bond-fund timing inside trendlines, retracements, and dual averages
- 1992Two-point trendline construction from rise over run
- 1993Disposable chart ratings from confirmed level tests
- 1993When trend channels define fair value after dislocations
- 1993Valid trendline anchors for three-part reversals
- 1994Pairing stochastic divergence with trendline invalidation
- 1995Constructing measured targets after trendline breaks
- 1997A three-part pullback plan with RSI, Fibonacci retracements, and a tight trendline
- 1998Rule-based Trendline construction for testable entries
- 2000Constructing trendlines, breaks, and role reversal
- 2000Constructing speed resistance lines from trend extremes
- 2000Nasdaq tech cycle stages with a 15-day average and trendlines
- 2002Two-session candlesticks that test support, resistance, and trendlines
- 2002Constructing Fibonacci ratio grids from a peak and a trough
- 2002Evaluate trendline geometry before trusting a breakout
- 2002Trendline, volume, and breakout hypotheses versus cycle-end stories
- 2003Writing the long S&P 500 trendline and cycle junction as one hypothesis
- 2003A three-event trendline reversal checklist
- 2003Reverse-engineered Relative Strength Index price curves
- 2003Two-anchor trendline construction without cut-through
- 2004Treat a 15-minute e-mini stair-step as congestion under a daily lid
- 2005A 50-day average, a trendline break, and an open barrier flip
- 2005Matching a forty-day average to a crude trendline
- 2006Constructing a relative spread-strength oscillator for staged cycle confirmation
- 2006Constructing a log-change probability line for trend and range rules
- 2007Linked cross breaks as dollar-pair filters
- 2007A case study in support, resistance, and trendline role reversal on currency charts
- 2007Reading trendline breaks in a housing-sector case
- 2007Constructing replaceable trendlines for break signals
- 2007Reading trendline breaks before the mechanical signal
- 2007Trading choppy forex trends with channels and Fibonacci breaks
- 2007A stacked hypothesis from wave, trendline, ratio, and candle
- 2008Exit rules before entry: trendline, support, and stops
- 2008Capitulation headlines need trend confirmation
- 2008RSI divergence classes, ratio thresholds, and trendline tests
- 2010Support and resistance as falsifiable chart hypotheses
- 2012Reading a 2012 software directory as a breakout and channel case study
- 2013Treat a currency position as a regime, then map shared levels
- 2014Evaluating trendline swing size per market
- 2018Intermarket regime stress and the January 2018 trendline break
- 2018Weekly and daily Stochastic oscillator construction on a single daily chart
- 2018Constructing trendlines, support, and breakout targets from crowd exits
- 2019Trendline break and Fibonacci retracement as a falsifiable outlook check
- 2019Monthly S&P 500 false-break versus the decade trendline