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2003issue C081-6

Reverse-engineered Relative Strength Index price curves

RevEngEMARSI, RevEngSMARSI and RevEngTrendRSI map a Relative Strength Index moving average or trendline onto the price chart as the next-bar close that would make the oscillator meet that reference.

  • RevEngEMARSI and RevEngSMARSI plot today's value as the next bar's close that would make a k-period Relative Strength Index touch its n-period exponential or simple moving average.
  • AUC and ADC are the (2k-1)-period exponential moving averages of up-close and down-close increments, and they enter the algebraic inversion that produces the reverse-engineered price curves.
  • RevEngTrendRSI writes the Relative Strength Index trendline as a function of elapsed bars between two dated points, then inverts that next-bar trendline level through the same AUC and ADC construction used for the moving-average versions.
  • A drawn Relative Strength Index trendline and a coded trendline indicator coincide on an arithmetic monthly chart, but the same drawn line shifts relative to the Relative Strength Index on a semilog monthly chart, so the formula must be adjusted when scale changes.
Entries in this reading3 entries

What the reverse-engineered curves plot

RevEngEMARSI and RevEngSMARSI are constructed so that today's plotted value is the next bar's close that would make a k-period Relative Strength Index touch its n-period exponential or simple moving average.

AUC and ADC in the inversion

AUC and ADC are the (2k-1)-period exponential moving averages of up-close and down-close increments, and they enter the algebraic inversion that produces the reverse-engineered price curves.

Daily and weekly next-bar closes

On a daily chart the current RevEngEMARSI reading is the close needed tomorrow for tomorrow's k-period Relative Strength Index to meet its n-period exponential moving average. On a weekly chart the same construction applies to the next week.

Weekly Nikkei 225 example

In the weekly Nikkei 225 example, a 14-period Relative Strength Index and a 65-period exponential moving average of that Relative Strength Index are mapped onto price via RevEngEMARSI so each week's value is the next week's close that would push the Relative Strength Index onto that exponential moving average.

For the week dated 10 February 1994 the index closed at 19990 while RevEngEMARSI stood at 18913, stating the next-week close that would force the 14-period Relative Strength Index onto its 65-period exponential moving average.

The following week closed at 18960 with the Relative Strength Index at 49.62 versus an exponential moving average of 49.35, so the price-space projection sat near the later close because the Relative Strength Index approached but did not land exactly on the exponential moving average.

Reverse-engineered trendline levels

RevEngTrendRSI is built by writing the Relative Strength Index trendline as a function of elapsed bars between two dated Relative Strength Index points, then inverting that next-bar trendline level through the same AUC and ADC construction used for the moving-average versions.

On weekly DJIA, the Relative Strength Index trendline between 12 October 1990 and 9 October 1992 spans 104 trading weeks with Relative Strength Index values 32.9383 and 36.8033, and RevEngTrendRSI maps that line's support-resistance role onto price.

When chart scale changes

A drawn Relative Strength Index trendline and a coded trendline indicator coincide on an arithmetic monthly Relative Strength Index chart, but the same drawn line shifts relative to the Relative Strength Index on a semilog monthly chart, so the formula must be adjusted when scale changes.

FTSE 100 daily close, August 1998 to July 2000

A trader should see the October 1998 washout to about 4,925, the climb to a late-1999 peak near 6,925, and the 6,050–6,750 range that followed — the price path onto which the article maps RSI trendlines as reverse-engineered next-bar closes. The numbers were read from the published daily close curve, not from a table.
A trader should see the October 1998 washout to about 4,925, the climb to a late-1999 peak near 6,925, and the 6,050–6,750 range that followed — the price path onto which the article maps RSI trendlines as reverse-engineered next-bar closes. The numbers were read from the published daily close curve, not from a table.FTSE 100 · daily · 1998-08-01T00:00:00.000Z to 2000-07-31T00:00:00.000Z

Digitized from the printed close plot. Y-values are approximate to the nearest 25 index points; dates are placed from the monthly axis ticks. The three reverse-engineered RSI trendline overlays named in the article are not separable on this raster, so only the close is returned.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
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20031-1 pp.Next on TrendlineTwo-anchor trendline construction without cut-throughAn uptrend-line is built from the lowest low to the highest low immediately preceding the highest high. A downtrend-line is built from the highest high to the lowest high immediately preceding the lowest low.
All readings on this track · 53 readings
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  2. 1985Gold-proxy trendlines and a January support base
  3. 1988Construct a five-week new-highs total as a breadth chart
  4. 1988Stacked channel, trendline, and moving-average warnings in 1987
  5. 1989Auditing fifth-wave counts with equality, Fibonacci, and trendlines
  6. 1990Money-fund maturity as a companion Eurodollar chart
  7. 1990Constructing wave targets from ratios, triangles and trendlines
  8. 1992Nested time frames for trend and channel signals
  9. 1992A pre-trade checklist for trendline breaks and loss limits
  10. 1992Bond-fund timing inside trendlines, retracements, and dual averages
  11. 1992Two-point trendline construction from rise over run
  12. 1993Disposable chart ratings from confirmed level tests
  13. 1993When trend channels define fair value after dislocations
  14. 1993Valid trendline anchors for three-part reversals
  15. 1994Pairing stochastic divergence with trendline invalidation
  16. 1995Constructing measured targets after trendline breaks
  17. 1997A three-part pullback plan with RSI, Fibonacci retracements, and a tight trendline
  18. 1998Rule-based Trendline construction for testable entries
  19. 2000Constructing trendlines, breaks, and role reversal
  20. 2000Constructing speed resistance lines from trend extremes
  21. 2000Nasdaq tech cycle stages with a 15-day average and trendlines
  22. 2002Two-session candlesticks that test support, resistance, and trendlines
  23. 2002Constructing Fibonacci ratio grids from a peak and a trough
  24. 2002Evaluate trendline geometry before trusting a breakout
  25. 2002Trendline, volume, and breakout hypotheses versus cycle-end stories
  26. 2003Writing the long S&P 500 trendline and cycle junction as one hypothesis
  27. 2003A three-event trendline reversal checklist
  28. 2003Reverse-engineered Relative Strength Index price curves
  29. 2003Two-anchor trendline construction without cut-through
  30. 2004Treat a 15-minute e-mini stair-step as congestion under a daily lid
  31. 2005A 50-day average, a trendline break, and an open barrier flip
  32. 2005Matching a forty-day average to a crude trendline
  33. 2006Constructing a relative spread-strength oscillator for staged cycle confirmation
  34. 2006Constructing a log-change probability line for trend and range rules
  35. 2007Linked cross breaks as dollar-pair filters
  36. 2007A case study in support, resistance, and trendline role reversal on currency charts
  37. 2007Reading trendline breaks in a housing-sector case
  38. 2007Constructing replaceable trendlines for break signals
  39. 2007Reading trendline breaks before the mechanical signal
  40. 2007Trading choppy forex trends with channels and Fibonacci breaks
  41. 2007A stacked hypothesis from wave, trendline, ratio, and candle
  42. 2008Exit rules before entry: trendline, support, and stops
  43. 2008Capitulation headlines need trend confirmation
  44. 2008RSI divergence classes, ratio thresholds, and trendline tests
  45. 2010Support and resistance as falsifiable chart hypotheses
  46. 2012Reading a 2012 software directory as a breakout and channel case study
  47. 2013Treat a currency position as a regime, then map shared levels
  48. 2014Evaluating trendline swing size per market
  49. 2018Intermarket regime stress and the January 2018 trendline break
  50. 2018Weekly and daily Stochastic oscillator construction on a single daily chart
  51. 2018Constructing trendlines, support, and breakout targets from crowd exits
  52. 2019Trendline break and Fibonacci retracement as a falsifiable outlook check
  53. 2019Monthly S&P 500 false-break versus the decade trendline
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