2010issue C0949
Reverse-entry exits for pairs, pivots and support
A pairs or single-name trade is allowed only when three gates agree: a pre-set long-short-bias, a reverse-entry-exit already mapped from pivot points and support-resistance, and confirmation from session structure or market-tick extremes. If any gate fails, the procedure is to abstain.
- An exit can be specified with the same criteria as an entry, only reversed: it is the price at which a good opposite-direction entry would appear.
- A pairs position begins with a long-short-bias on related names that share a sector and similar income sources, then times both legs together.
- A pivot-point is a reference price used to judge whether directional movement is likely to stall, and support-resistance levels are candidate entry and exit locations.
- Session timing and a reading of 900 or more market ticks in either direction are confirmation tests. If they fail to confirm, the procedure is to abstain.
A single testable procedure
Editorial framing: TradersWeek presents the historical workflow as one procedure, not as separate tips. A pairs or single-name trade is allowed only when three gates agree.
The first gate is a pre-set long-short-bias. The second is a reverse-entry-exit already mapped from pivot points and support-resistance. The third is confirmation from session structure or market-tick extremes. If any gate fails, the procedure is to abstain.
Set the long-short bias first
Pairs-trading is a two-leg structure that first assigns a multi-month ownership bias to related names, then times both sides together. The long-short-bias is the directional preference for which pair leg to own and which to sell, and it is set before any timing decision.
A pairs position begins with that ownership bias from fundamentals. The two companies must share a sector and similar income sources rather than a superficial industry match.
After the pair and direction are chosen, entry timing uses technical overlays of each name against a broad market index, plus pricing levels, support and resistance, and moving averages.
Map the reverse-entry exit
An exit can be specified with the same criteria as an entry, only reversed. A reverse-entry-exit is the price at which a good opposite-direction entry would appear. That price is mapped before the trade is allowed.
A pivot-point is a reference price used to judge whether directional movement is likely to stall. Pivot points are used in the same way for overall market direction.
Support-resistance means repeated price levels where prior trade and volume cluster. Those levels are treated as candidate entry and exit locations.
Names traded repeatedly, including as a pair leg, supply usable expectations for typical daily price movement and for volume concentrating at particular price levels. A volatility-band is a per-name range estimate derived from that name's own volatility, used to judge typical versus stretched movement. Volatility-based bands around each name are used to estimate a typical range, with a one-standard-deviation move treated as occurring about two-thirds of the time.
Confirm or abstain
A reading of 900 or more market ticks in either direction is treated as a likely reversal cue.
Session timing is part of the exit rule. Volume often thins between 11:00 and 14:00 Eastern. Short-covering is expected near the close. A second session phase is observed at 14:00. Market-on-close imbalances at 15:45 are used to read late-day strength or weakness. A market-on-close-imbalance is a late-session indication of buy or sell pressure.
Editorial application: if session structure or those market-tick extremes fail to confirm the planned reverse-entry-exit, the third gate fails and the procedure is to abstain.
All readings on this track · 38 readings
- 1988Constructing action-reaction lines from two pivots
- 1988Constructing intradaily point-and-figure boxes and pivot ladders
- 1991Constructing layered support and resistance from swings, pivots, and retracements
- 1994Three locks on a day-session order, then a staged exit
- 1994Building a five-level daily pivot grid
- 1996Constructing daily pivot points from session prices
- 1996Higher time frame balance points as a trend and band filter
- 1998Cup-with-handle construction rules
- 2000Pivot levels as a daily trade hypothesis
- 2001Construct a same-session polarity card around the daily pivot
- 2001Trading inside the cup-with-handle before the breakout
- 2005A lower-low rebound as one entry, abstention, and stop routine
- 2006Constructing session pivot maps from the prior high, low, and close
- 2006Constructing a pivot grid for stops and buy-stops
- 2006Monoparametric automatic trendline construction
- 2008Write the exit before the entry
- 2010Dynamic-pivot range grids for trend bias
- 2010Reverse-entry exits for pairs, pivots and support
- 2011Sequencing pairs, futures pivots, and implied volatility
- 2013Constructing Camarilla levels from prior range
- 2013Camarilla levels as a multi-timeframe map of reversion and breakout
- 2013Constructing a camarilla-grid from a completed lookback range
- 2013Constructing daily pivot support and resistance rungs
- 2014Constructing daily pivot levels from prior-session OHLC
- 2014Next-session pivot support and resistance from daily bars
- 2014Constructing session pivot rails from the prior-day range
- 2014Evaluating moving-average, pivot, and support-resistance filters
- 2016Stage a Trailing stop toward a planned target
- 2016Smoothed RSI and full-cut pivots for option-income exits
- 2017Constructing a weekly seasonality pivot scaffold
- 2017Seasonality and pivot points as scenario maps, not forecasts
- 2018Wave pivots, strength filters, and option premium
- 2018Constructing Fibonacci and daily pivot support maps
- 2018Building a daily pivot lattice with Fibonacci rails
- 2019Prior-session pivot channels for same-day entries
- 2019Constructing intraday pivot channels from prior-session levels
- 2020Variable-strength pivot highs as falsifiable entry filters
- 2020A high-volume-pivot long after a multi-week decline