Research method
Historical volatility analysis
Historical volatility analysis is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.
- Output
- Market-regime classification
- Input
- Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
- Horizon
- Weeks to months
- Best use
- Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
- Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
- Output: market-regime.
- Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph3
How the method is built, and where it has been read
Depends on
Often reviewed together
Option spread5 readings
Often reviewed together
Option premium analysis8 readings
Often reviewed together
Implied volatility analysis23 readings
Read in the archive24 of 61 readings
1985Putting listed option premiums in volatility-regime context1988When volatility, not direction, selects the option spread1988Path-aware volatility for option-replication cost1989Path quantiles versus net return for index velocity regimes1989Option premium inside a volatility regime1989Constructing a delta-hedged implied versus historical volatility book1990How a 1989 Eurodollar break turned cheap volatility into a regime-aware book1990Weekly range volatility as a tactical regime filter1990Constructing a two-line relative volatility index1990Constructing consistent historical and implied volatility1991Weekly close-to-close volatility as a horizon filter1995A modified volatility construction for weeks-to-months regimes1995A short-to-long historical-volatility ratio as a regime-gate1995Why historically tested rules fail without a decision process1996Option smiles as a critique of constant volatility1996Volatility-ratio, inside-day and narrow-range-4 entry construction1996Pairing short and long historical volatility for regime context1996Volatility contraction and narrow-range breakout rules1997Clustered true-range days as a regime label rather than a top forecast1998Normalized multi-horizon historical volatility construction1998Gold volatility breakout as one written entry and exit procedure1998Constructing a stock-book duration proxy from beta and bond markets2000Pair historical volatility with return-to-loss filters2001When beta hedging misreads portfolio volatility
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.