1997issue C051-8
Rising wedge construction, breakout, and volume
A rising wedge is built from two upward-sloping lines that converge because the lower line is steeper than the upper. Receding volume and a downside breakout are the checks that complete the identification.
- A rising wedge is built from two upward-sloping boundary lines that converge because the lower line is steeper than the upper, so the lines meet at a future apex.
- Correct identification needs several touches of each boundary and converging lines. Diverging lines suggest a broadening top, and parallel lines a channel.
- Volume generally recedes as prices rise inside the wedge. Absence of that fade, especially near the breakout, is treated as a misidentification.
- The usual completion is a downside breakout, often about two-thirds of the way to the apex, after which prices are expected to fall at least to the start of the wedge.
How the two lines are built
A rising wedge is constructed from two upward-sloping boundary lines that converge because the lower line is steeper than the upper line, so the lines meet at a future apex.
Unlike symmetrical, ascending, and descending triangles, both bounding lines of a rising wedge slope upward rather than pairing one rising line with a falling or flat line. In triangle-pattern terms, the rising wedge is the member whose both lines slope up, with the lower line steeper than the upper.
What counts as a valid drawing
Correct identification requires several touches of each boundary and converging, not diverging or parallel, lines. Diverging lines suggest a broadening top and parallel lines a channel.
A rising wedge usually takes at least three weeks to form and can last several months. Shorter lookalikes are better classified as pennants.
While prices remain inside the wedge, the bounding lines act as support or resistance. The apex is also a support or resistance level whose strength diminishes over time.
Volume as a check on the pattern
Volume-price analysis uses the volume trend alongside price. Volume generally recedes as prices rise inside the wedge, often from higher levels at the start to very low levels just before prices exit. Absence of receding volume, especially near the breakout, is treated as a misidentification.
Once prices move outside the wedge, volume typically picks up as the decline gathers momentum, so the formation is framed as growing technical weakness rather than strength.
How the pattern completes
A breakout is a close or decisive move outside a wedge boundary. The usual completion is a downside breakout, often about two-thirds of the way to the apex, after which prices are expected to fall at least to the start of the wedge.
Wedges can appear near a price high, as a retracement in a decline, or near a base before a rise. The typical short- to intermediate-term implication after completion is still a decline, while multi-year holders may ignore the pattern.
All readings on this track · 33 readings
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