Skip to main content
Track Trend following
3 / 38
Library

1988issue C071-2

Visual trend rules need one testable procedure

A visually simple package of familiar trend rules is only testable when entry, exit, and the choice not to trade are written as one procedure, and when daily examples are shown to remain executable on the bar length in use.

  • Entry and exit rules that form a basic trend-following system are incomplete until the choice not to trade is written into the same procedure.
  • A graphic projection can extend recent price shape forward, but daily examples do not show how the same rules fit a five-minute bar, especially in the same session.
  • The reviewer treats the ten rules as worth repeating as familiar fundamentals, not as new inventions.
  • Cash management, patience, consistency, and visualization can reinforce stance, yet they do not demonstrate time-frame transfer.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Familiar rules still need one procedure

The reviewed work enumerates ten trading rules and presents them as familiar fundamentals rather than as new inventions. The reviewer treats the rules as worth repeating even while noting that similar fundamentals had already been stated in earlier trading literature.

Entry and exit rules in the reviewed work are described as combining into a basic trend-following system. Editorial note: trend-following here means a procedure that takes a position with an identified move and holds it until a predefined exit is met.

The reviewed work includes a simple graphic method intended to project later price activity. It also walks through the structure of three trades as part of explaining how the rules operate. Editorial reading: the graphic method is a graphic projection, a visual construction that extends recent price shape forward so a later path can be compared with what actually unfolds. The three walk-throughs show how the written rules are supposed to operate on the supplied daily examples. They do not, by themselves, join entry, exit, and abstention into one testable procedure.

Bar length is part of the same test

The reviewed work asserts that the same theory applies from five-minute bars through daily, weekly, or longer horizons. Only daily examples are supplied, and it is not immediately obvious how a five-minute bar chart would fit, especially for same-session trading.

Editorial reading: time-frame transfer is the check of whether the same entry, exit, and sit-out rules remain executable when bar length changes. A claim that one theory covers every horizon is not that check. Until the daily examples are restated on the shorter bar, including when a same-session chart would force a sit-out, the transfer is not shown.

Process language cannot replace the transfer

The reviewed work pairs technique with process instruction on cash management, discipline, patience, perseverance, consistency, and humility. The process discussion includes visualization as a technique for reinforcing the intended trading stance.

Editorial reading: those operating habits are a trading-psychology process. They are the cash limits, patience, consistency, and restraint that decide whether written rules are followed through a holding period. Visualization can reinforce the intended stance. None of that instruction replaces a demonstrated transfer from daily examples to the bar length under test.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
3 of 38 in the Trend following track
19881-2 pp.Next on Trend followingAudit trend and breakout rules sold without testsTrend-following is one procedure: name a durable directional bias, then restrict new risk, adds, and holds to that bias instead of forecasting turns.
All readings on this track · 38 readings
  1. 1986A Marshall Wave book is assembled one confirmed stance at a time
  2. 1987Operator gut check when two systems conflict
  3. 1988Visual trend rules need one testable procedure
  4. 1988Audit trend and breakout rules sold without tests
  5. 1992Weekly 4 percent close reversal case study
  6. 1992Write down the plan, then wait for the cross
  7. 1994Constructing a three-rule moving-average system
  8. 1995Weekly long-only trend rules with a gated retracement exit
  9. 1997Constructing rainbow charts with repeated smoothing
  10. 1997Three-line break as a one-parameter mechanical filter
  11. 2000Nested horizon trend alignment with a momentum stack
  12. 2001When certainty turns off the stop
  13. 2001Price must confirm every setup
  14. 2001Constructing a color stack from every lookback
  15. 2002Evaluating mechanical trend signals from ten-session average excursions
  16. 2004Trend pullbacks with a fifty-day average and relative strength index
  17. 2005Stochastic overbought as a trend-regime state
  18. 2005Trend-following as one testable signal procedure
  19. 2007One checklist for entry, exit and abstention after a market switch
  20. 2008Parallel listings and divergent trend behavior
  21. 2008Recovery headlines versus trend-regime rules
  22. 2008Constructing an intraday trend procedure with confirming close, retest, and planned exits
  23. 2010Mechanical trend-following system design, stops, and validation
  24. 2010A trading-plan that sets entry, stop, trail, and pause together
  25. 2010Multi-horizon cycle signals, trend filters, and stops
  26. 2012Weekly bear-market and shock signals as a mechanical procedure
  27. 2013A 2013 rates week as a structure-first exit drill
  28. 2013Trend following as one testable procedure
  29. 2013A forex veto checklist: trend, pair economy, and crowd bias
  30. 2015Relative-strength-index rules under a 20-percent trend filter
  31. 2015Trend-gated oscillator entry and exit rules
  32. 2016Trend process versus end-goal trading
  33. 2017Gold as a classroom for one midterm-trend procedure
  34. 2017Falling-knife FX longs wait for a four-hour trend turn
  35. 2018A closed procedure for quarterly sector rank slots
  36. 2018A recursive median as shared state for trend rules
  37. 2020Moving-average construction as an objective trend filter
  38. 2020Constructing first and second cross trend entries
All 168 readings tagged Trend following
Also on Trend following5 readings