1988issue C101-6
Early entry as the session switch for an opening-range breakout
A historical session procedure that treats a large first-five-minute move as early entry, places an opening-range breakout only when that one-direction thrust appears, and reads an expanding opposite bar as early-entry failure.
- Early entry is a large one-direction move in the first five minutes after the daily session open. That pattern is described as uncommon, on about 10 percent of days, against 70 to 80 percent of days that rotate or chop without a clear move away from the opening range.
- An opening-range breakout is an entry at a predetermined distance above or below the opening range, and the session open is intended to sit at one extreme of that range.
- One daily procedure places that breakout in anticipation of early entry and cancels the orders if the ideal action does not appear within the first five to 10 minutes.
- Early-entry failure is a valid thrust that does not follow through and may reverse, marked when a counter-direction bar expands in range relative to prior confirming bars.
What the procedure is building
The procedure builds an opening-range breakout around early entry so that entry, cancel, and failure-exit rules can be run as one session sequence.
Early entry is a large one-direction price move during the first five minutes after the daily session open. One-direction early-session moves are described as uncommon, occurring on about 10 percent of days, while 70 to 80 percent of days show rotation or chop without a clear move away from the opening range.
The opening range is the early-session price band around the open that supplies the reference for the breakout distance. An opening-range breakout is an entry at a predetermined distance above or below that range, and the session open is intended to sit at one extreme of the range.
Two constructions of early entry
Type 1 early entry is constructed from a first five-minute range larger than the average of the prior 10 days' first five-minute ranges, an open and close at opposite extremes of that bar, and an equal thrust in the next five minutes.
Type 2 early entry is constructed from a first five-minute range that can exceed the prior 20 days' first five-minute ranges. An immediately equal next-period thrust is treated as hard to manage. The expected continuation is same-direction drift and later acceleration after accumulation.
Place the breakout, then keep or cancel it
One daily procedure places an opening-range breakout in anticipation of early entry and cancels the orders if the ideal action does not appear within the first five to 10 minutes.
Confirmation in a running market
In a defined running market, early entry is used to confirm the existing trend. A further entry is allowed on a pullback of 3/8 to 1/2 of the session range already established.
Early-entry failure and bar-range momentum
Early-entry failure is a valid thrust that does not follow through and may reverse. It is identified when a counter-direction bar expands in range relative to prior confirming bars. A working rule is that no opposing five-minute bar should have a larger range than the first five-minute bar.
Bar-range momentum is the read of whether a 5-, 15-, or 30-minute bar expands or contracts relative to the preceding time units. The failure rule uses that expansion read on the opposing five-minute bar.
Opens outside the prior day
An open outside the prior day's high or low is treated as an intraday spring or upthrust setup. A two-tick move back into the prior day's range is the test for continued travel into that prior range. A later reach to the early-entry extreme is treated as a session-wide momentum shift.
Range-bound sessions and one-direction sessions
Absence of early entry and no clean getaway from an opening-range breakout is treated as a range-bound session in which trend continuation is not authorized. A clear early entry plus opening-range breakout is treated as a one-direction session that the procedure does not fade.
All readings on this track · 25 readings
- 1988Early entry as the session switch for an opening-range breakout
- 1989Evaluating inside-day filters on opening-range breakouts
- 1989Opening-range breakout after a narrow-range-four session
- 1989A joint contraction setup as the arming switch for an opening-range breakout
- 1989Next-session opening-range rules after a bear hook
- 1989Same-session exits from multi-day open-close codes
- 1989A close-to-close sequence is a bias label, not a trigger
- 1989Inside-day contraction as a same-session open-to-close rule
- 1990Evaluating five-day soybean open-to-close rules
- 1990Hourly breakouts gated by absolute tick volume
- 1993Premarket setup selection and opening-range rules
- 1994First-hour opening-range construction as a refusal problem
- 1995Why historically tested rules fail without a decision process
- 2001The opening range as a measuring stick for a ladder breakout
- 2001Evaluating an opening reaction as one timed stop procedure
- 2003Swing trading, opening-range checks, and the decision to stand aside
- 2006Monitor each opening-range setup as its own regime
- 2006Midday breakout rules from the opening range
- 2007Opening-range breakout as one session procedure
- 2007Evaluating same-day opening range entry rules
- 2008Overnight auction regimes and the intraday hold-or-exit choice
- 2010Construct a market-state-first range-breakout system as one procedure
- 2013Opening-hour stop as a session filter
- 2017Overnight volume as a construction step for the opening-range breakout
- 2017Night-volume gate for opening range breakouts