2002issue C111-4
Eve-Eve double bottoms: width, confirmation, and overhead resistance
A rounded twin-low chart is treated as a double-bottom hypothesis only after both troughs share Eve width and a similar price, a mid-pattern rally and time gap are present, and a close clears the intervening high. Flat congestion above the pattern is then marked as the first place that idea can fail.
- An Eve trough is a wide, rounded minor low, not a one- or two-day V-shaped spike, and both bottoms must share that width before they count as the same support test.
- Identification still needs a decline into the pattern, two distinct lows near the same price, a rally of at least 10 percent between them, and at least three weeks between the lowest prints.
- The twin-low structure is not confirmed until a close above the highest high between the bottoms, though a close above a flat shelf on an Eve low is described as an earlier trigger.
- A horizontal consolidation region above the pattern is overhead resistance that can cap the post-confirmation advance, while a flat shelf on an Eve low can later act as support.
Two rounded lows after a decline
The pattern under study is a two-trough reversal after a decline. It is identified here as two wide, rounded Eve lows at a similar price, separated in time, with a distinct rally between them.
An Eve trough is a wide, rounded minor low that may contain several smaller lows or many downward spikes. An Adam trough is a sharp, often V-shaped low usually formed by a single spike. Width is the practical discriminator: illustrated Eve troughs span about a month, while nearby Adam troughs appear as one- or two-day V-shaped spikes.
Width and separation before any reversal label
Identification requires a decline into the pattern, two distinct minor lows near the same price, a rally of at least 10 percent between those lows, and at least three weeks between the lowest prints.
For study selection the two lows were capped at a 4 percent price gap, while a 20 percent mid-pattern rally is described as the classic benchmark even though traders need not measure it tick for tick.
Lows closer than about three weeks are treated as a different short-term form, such as a one-week horn on a weekly scale or a pipe with no separation, rather than this double-bottom structure.
An illustrated pass and a failed candidate
In one illustrated case the twin lows differed by six cents, the rally between them was 40 percent from 8.59 to 12.05, and the lows were about two and a half months apart.
A candidate with only a 7 percent rally between lows and a 10-day gap fails the mid-pattern-rally and separation tests even if one trough looks sharp and the other looks rounded.
Confirmation waits for a close through the intervening high
The twin-low structure is not treated as confirmed until price closes above the highest high between the two bottoms. That close is the breakout that puts the structure in play.
A close above a flat shelf on an Eve low is described as an earlier trigger, after which that shelf can act as support.
Overhead congestion as the first failure zone
Prior price zones can halt the post-pattern advance or later cushion a pullback. Those zones include a horizontal consolidation region above the pattern and a flat shelf on an Eve bottom.
A horizontal consolidation region above the pattern is treated as overhead resistance that can cap the post-confirmation advance. In the illustrated case the rise stalled in late April at the base of that region.
All readings on this track · 32 readings
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- 1991A breadth classifier for V-bottoms and W-bottoms
- 1991Precomputed price-ratio clusters and double-top tests
- 1992Bond turning points as a regime check on equity double tops and breakouts
- 1992Commodity-bond ratio as an equity regime overlay
- 1992Gold lead confirmation for commodity-index turns
- 1994Constructing the thousand-line advance-decline indicator
- 1995Evaluating zero-line patterns on a breadth-price oscillator
- 1996Constructing double tops from a resistance retest to a trough break
- 1996Four-stage double-bottom construction
- 1998Double-bottom confirmation and stop placement
- 2000Two-bar reversal construction
- 2001Constructing double tops from failed resistance retests
- 2002Eve-Eve double bottoms: width, confirmation, and overhead resistance
- 2002Constructing Eve-and-Eve and classic double bottoms
- 2003Eve-Adam double bottoms as a two-step classroom test
- 2003Shape contrast then breakout confirmation in Adam and Eve double bottoms
- 2003Reading cyclical bottoms inside secular bear regimes
- 2004A case study of the shark-attack Fibonacci retracement
- 2004Confirming index turns with envelopes, divergence, and breadth
- 2005A five-wave euro/dollar case and the support that still had to fail
- 2007Constructing commodity seasonal indexes for regime context
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- 2010Hourly pattern entries, exits, and abstention as one playbook
- 2016Ugly double bottom after a yearly low
- 2016An unconfirmed stock double bottom next to a confirmed index
- 2016Constructing a range-midpoint moving average
- 2017Evaluating whole-dollar delays on pattern breakouts
- 2018Volume-confirmed bottoms and breakouts with moving averages
- 2018Evaluating double bottoms with a locked stochastic confirmation
- 2019Forex pairs as relative value: yield spreads, support, and a double bottom