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2013issue C0258-59

Stacked swing lows and breakout retrace tests

The archive reduces discretionary entries to two families: expansion through a prior barrier, or a return to that same barrier after the expansion. Editorial reading upgrades those ideas only when swing-point lows stack at one price on more than one chart scale.

  • Discretionary entries fall into two families: initiate when price expands through a prior barrier, or initiate when price returns toward that same barrier after the expansion.
  • A retrace-test is defined only after a prior breakout; a completed bullish retrace approaches the former breakout area, holds, and reverses away.
  • Clustered swing-point-lows at one price are treated as a violation zone that can produce a fast move lower, not as ordinary support.
  • The less common upgrade is multi-scale-alignment: the same stacked-swing cluster on daily and weekly charts that show a comparable number of bars.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Two families of discretionary entries

The archive reduces discretionary entries to two families. One family initiates when price expands through a prior barrier. The other initiates when price returns toward that same barrier after the expansion.

A swing-chart is a bar-based map of swing-point highs and lows used to mark the price areas that later define tests, holds, and violations. Support and resistance start as a prior swing, line, or other technical area that price first reaches. Once exceeded, the same area becomes the reference for a later retrace-test.

Breakout and the later retrace-test

A bullish breakout is described as price first tagging a prior resistance area, whether a swing point, a drawn line, or another technical zone, then trading through it. The bearish case is the same sequence inverted.

A breakout is a close or thrust through a previously identified resistance or support area. After that event the trader either participates with the expansion or waits for a return to the broken level.

A retrace setup is defined only after a prior breakout exists. A completed bullish retrace is described as price approaching that former breakout area, holding, and reversing away. A completed retrace-test is that hold at the area followed by a reversal away from it.

Stacked swing-point lows as a violation zone

On the daily S&P 500 chart, two swing-point lows share the same price area on April 10 and April 23. They are treated as a violation zone that can produce a fast move lower rather than as ordinary support.

A swing-point-low is an algorithmically marked trough on a chosen scale. Clustered or multi-scale copies of the same trough are treated as a shared failure zone if price trades through them.

The same stack on more than one scale

The March 6, 2012 swing-point low is identified as coinciding on both the daily and weekly S&P 500 charts. The weekly chart also marks short- and intermediate-term swing points near 1340.

The less common setup isolated in the case study is the same stacked-swing concept repeated across more than one time frame. It is shown by pairing a daily and a weekly S&P 500 chart that display roughly the same number of bars. Multi-scale-alignment is that same swing-point cluster appearing on more than one time frame.

Editorial reading treats that multi-scale stack as the upgrade condition for the two-hypothesis filter, not as a separate trade type.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
27 of 30 in the Swing chart track
201512-21 pp.Next on Swing chartBuilding swing charts from perceptually important pointsA swing chart can be built by discarding moves below a chosen point or percent cutoff and connecting the remaining peaks and troughs as legs.
All readings on this track · 30 readings
  1. 1982Constructing range resistance from harmonic swing divisions
  2. 1984Gold swing chart: failed highs, wash-out, and a boxed pivot range
  3. 1988Remaining life on a percent-filtered swing chart
  4. 1991Ranking turning points with percentage swing filters
  5. 1991Five-count swing-chart construction and break rules
  6. 1992Constructing the Gann quarterly swing from the prior quarter's intraday range
  7. 1992Audit quarterly swing breakouts with a slower average cross
  8. 1992Weekly swing invalidation and the trailing stop
  9. 1992Quarterly swing chart construction and trend duration
  10. 1998A two-bar swing is unfinished until it names the stop
  11. 1999Multiple time-frame swing-channel trade setups
  12. 1999Separate two-bar swing direction from peak-valley trend
  13. 2000Constructing peak-trough swing reversals
  14. 2002Swing charts as shared grammar for trading mentorship
  15. 2002Confirming the last leg of a zigzag trend filter
  16. 2004When a late trend bends: test the pause before sizing a reversal
  17. 2006Crude oil swing counts and cycle clusters
  18. 2006When late rallies flatten: a swing-chart classroom
  19. 2006Relocating trading certainty to the decision process
  20. 2008Swing highs, bar-count pace, and the cost-price stop
  21. 2010Constructing suspect versus confirmed swing trends
  22. 2010Constructing swing charts from clear bar ranges
  23. 2010Building price force maps from two-bar swings
  24. 2010Clear-method swing-chart construction
  25. 2011Treat a squared-chart swing forecast as a same-day hypothesis
  26. 2012Cycle mode construction from aligned bandpass swing waves
  27. 2013Stacked swing lows and breakout retrace tests
  28. 2015Building swing charts from perceptually important points
  29. 2015Construct a zztop from perceptually important points
  30. 2016Isolating swings with percentage trend thresholds
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