2017issue C0349
Option book construction from implied volatility, historical volatility and premium
An option book can be designed from three inputs: implied volatility as the regime the market is pricing, historical volatility as the regime the path has already delivered, and net premium as the cash accepted or paid to sit in the gap between those regimes.
- Historical volatility describes how much a contract price has already fluctuated and is usually estimated as the standard deviation of price changes over a selected period.
- Implied volatility is the volatility recovered from an option’s market price by feeding that price into a pricing model, and it is treated as having risen if that price rises while the underlying is unchanged.
- Premium is the cash a buyer pays a writer; a credit spread records a net receipt and a debit spread records a net outlay.
- Straddles, strangles, calendar spreads and vertical spreads then place that cash, while delta, vega and zeta keep the book aligned with the intended price and volatility exposure.
Three inputs for construction
Options can be assembled as a book rather than as a single isolated contract. The archive workflow supplies three measurements that sit on that book: a backward-looking volatility reading, a volatility recovered from live option prices, and the cash that changes hands as premium.
Editorial reading: those three measurements can be treated as a design problem. Historical volatility states the regime the path has already delivered. Implied volatility states the regime the market is pricing. Net premium is the cash accepted or paid to sit in the gap between those two regimes.
Historical volatility as the delivered regime
Historical volatility describes how much a contract price has already fluctuated. It is usually estimated as the standard deviation of price changes over a selected period.
A companion volatility reading describes a stock’s tendency to move from daily price history over the prior 12 months. Both readings look backward. They describe delivered movement, not the volatility recovered from an option’s market price.
Implied volatility as the priced regime
Implied volatility is the volatility recovered from an option’s actual market price by feeding that price into a pricing model. In the terminology used here, it is the volatility recovered from an option’s live market price by inserting that price into a pricing model.
If an option’s market price rises while the underlying price is unchanged, implied volatility is treated as having risen. Editorial reading: the priced regime can therefore move even when the delivered path has not.
Premium as the cash in the gap
Premium is the cash a buyer pays a writer to grant an option contract. It is the cash accepted or paid to sit with the rights in that contract.
A credit spread is the value gap when the sold option is worth more than the purchased option. A debit spread is the reverse gap, when the purchased option is worth more than the sold one.
Editorial reading: the sign of that net premium is how the book records whether cash was taken in or paid out to occupy the gap between priced and delivered volatility.
Structures that express the gap
A straddle uses equal puts and calls with the same strike and expiration. A strangle uses the same expiration but different strikes, typically a lower put strike and a higher call strike.
Calendar or time spreads are built to capture differences in time value across expirations. Vertical spreads buy and sell the same expiration at different strikes. Credit and debit versions of those two-option structures follow from which contract is worth more.
Sensitivities that keep the book aligned
Delta is the option-price change associated with a one-dollar move in the underlying. A delta-hedged book offsets that exposure with an opposite underlying position of equal magnitude. The same idea is called delta-neutral when the mix of options and the underlying is sized so the book is relatively insensitive to small price moves.
Vega is the option-price change associated with a change in volatility. Zeta is the percentage option-price change per one-percent change in implied volatility. Editorial reading: vega and zeta describe how the book responds if the priced regime moves after the structure is on.
All readings on this track · 31 readings
- 1985Putting listed option premiums in volatility-regime context
- 1988When volatility, not direction, selects the option spread
- 1988Path-aware volatility for option-replication cost
- 1989Option premium inside a volatility regime
- 1990Constructing consistent historical and implied volatility
- 1991Weekly close-to-close volatility as a horizon filter
- 1995A modified volatility construction for weeks-to-months regimes
- 1996Option smiles as a critique of constant volatility
- 1996Pairing short and long historical volatility for regime context
- 1998Normalized multi-horizon historical volatility construction
- 2001Park one options idea inside an implied and historical volatility regime
- 2002Constructing vertical spreads inside seasonal volatility regimes
- 2002Volatility regime context for option straddles
- 2003Option spread construction with volatility regime checks
- 2003Trend and volatility filters for option spread choice
- 2005Constructing vertical spreads inside volatility regimes
- 2006Implied volatility doubling as a commodity regime signal
- 2007A butterfly reversal call when implied volatility sits near historical volatility
- 2012Evaluate a broken-wing butterfly inside a volatility and premium regime
- 2012Regime-aware equity construction via carry and risk premium
- 2012True range overlays versus isolated bar context
- 2012Constructing regime context for option premium trades
- 2013Construct a ranked volatility switch before the trend filter fires
- 2013Combining Relative Strength Index, historical volatility, and Bollinger %b screens
- 2014A headline equity high is incomplete until the nominal-real spread is read
- 2015Daily implied volatility skew as a portfolio benchmark
- 2015Rebuild a volatility-skew template from size and slope
- 2015Evaluating concentrated winners with volatility and option premiums
- 2017Option book construction from implied volatility, historical volatility and premium
- 2018One-year volatility as the backdrop for short-horizon option trades
- 2019A low-volatility ETF sleeve inside a 2011 to 2019 market-regime case study