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Research method

Market participant analysis

Market participant analysis is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.

Output
Market-regime classification
Input
Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
Horizon
Weeks to months
Best use
Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.

Registry evidence level: backtested. This is a navigation record, not a performance claim.

  • Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
  • Output: market-regime.
  • Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph2

How the method is built, and where it has been read

Depends on

Read in the archive24 of 32 readings

1988Classifying primary futures for regime-aware tradesIntermarket and spreads1989Odd-lot short interest as a constructed breadth seriesMarket breadth1989Volume-scaled member versus public short sales as a two-class classroom testMarket breadth1989Evaluating public versus member short-sale breadthMarket breadth1989Lock smoothing inside each short-share before the breadth ratioMarket breadth1989Evaluating technical-fund open interest and daily volatilityIntermarket and spreads1989Headline intensity as a three-horizon contrarian filterSeasonality and regimes1990Constructing fund cash and manager-preference filtersIndicators and filters1990Stock-style futures rules miss index-spread driversIntermarket and spreads1991Constructing short-squeeze pain from interest and marginIntermarket and spreads1995Contrary sentiment and put-call premiums around large Dow swingsOptions and volatility1995Act on a pattern change, not on formula signalsDecision process2000Who accepted price first in the auctionAuction and volume2002Single-stock futures: contract selection and the margin boxOptions and volatility2002Constructing regime context from trader commitment netsSeasonality and regimes2002Trader net positions as regime context for chart setupsIntermarket and spreads2003A crowd fade needs an insider-pattern divergence gateDecision process2003Three states for a daily futures advisor consensusSeasonality and regimes2005A quiet insider tape as a seasonal regime caseSeasonality and regimes2005Commitment of Traders participant imbalance as regime context for commodity position tradesIntermarket and spreads2006Unwritten pit cues need testable rulesDecision process2007Constructing dominant cycles from participant accumulationWaves and ratios2010A gold corrective-phase case after the 1265 highIntermarket and spreads2011Constructing weekly participant positioning ledgersIntermarket and spreads
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.