Research method
Market participant analysis
Market participant analysis is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.
- Output
- Market-regime classification
- Input
- Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights
- Horizon
- Weeks to months
- Best use
- Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
- Input: Cross-market prices, volatility, carry and portfolio weights.
- Output: market-regime.
- Use boundary: Put a single trade into a diversified or regime-aware context.
The graph2
How the method is built, and where it has been read
Depends on
Often reviewed together
Market breadth5 readings
Often reviewed together
Contrarian strategy6 readings
Read in the archive24 of 32 readings
1988Classifying primary futures for regime-aware trades1989Odd-lot short interest as a constructed breadth series1989Volume-scaled member versus public short sales as a two-class classroom test1989Evaluating public versus member short-sale breadth1989Lock smoothing inside each short-share before the breadth ratio1989Evaluating technical-fund open interest and daily volatility1989Headline intensity as a three-horizon contrarian filter1990Constructing fund cash and manager-preference filters1990Stock-style futures rules miss index-spread drivers1991Constructing short-squeeze pain from interest and margin1995Contrary sentiment and put-call premiums around large Dow swings1995Act on a pattern change, not on formula signals2000Who accepted price first in the auction2002Single-stock futures: contract selection and the margin box2002Constructing regime context from trader commitment nets2002Trader net positions as regime context for chart setups2003A crowd fade needs an insider-pattern divergence gate2003Three states for a daily futures advisor consensus2005A quiet insider tape as a seasonal regime case2005Commitment of Traders participant imbalance as regime context for commodity position trades2006Unwritten pit cues need testable rules2007Constructing dominant cycles from participant accumulation2010A gold corrective-phase case after the 1265 high2011Constructing weekly participant positioning ledgers
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.