1998issue C041-9
Wave and ratio self-similarity as a testable chart hypothesis
The archive presents Elliott wave analysis, Fibonacci retracement, and Gann angles as the same conditions on every chart scale, framed as fractal self-similarity. Pattern work is then a test of dependence among open-high-low-close bars, and a repeated story is not accepted in place of a testable assertion.
- Elliott wave analysis, Fibonacci retracement, and Gann angles are presented as operating the same way on intraday, daily, weekly, and monthly price charts.
- Cross-scale repetition is offered as fractal self-similarity, and later pattern work tests dependence among open-high-low-close bars.
- Systematic rules are preferred so a chart hypothesis can be checked on history before capital is committed.
- Impressive repetition of a wave, ratio, or angle story is rejected as a substitute for a testable assertion.
The same structure on every scale
Wave counts from Elliott wave analysis, retracement overlays from Fibonacci retracement, and cycle or angle geometry from Gann angles are presented as operating the same way on intraday, daily, weekly, and monthly price charts. That cross-scale repetition is offered as an instance of fractal self-similarity rather than as a unique property of one chart interval.
Bars as a record of participant views
The open-high-low-close bar is treated as a compact record of all participant views across time frames. Later pattern work is a test of dependence among those bars.
A check on history is not a forward claim
A past-tested method is not assumed to keep working. A method that never worked historically is treated as having no forward case. Systematic rules are preferred because they let a chart hypothesis be checked on history before capital is committed.
Discretion is admitted only with a tight invalidation
Discretionary wave or ratio setups are still admitted when they appear medium- to long-term, with large potential and a tight invalidation. Impressive repetition of a wave, ratio, or angle story is rejected as a substitute for a testable assertion.
All readings on this track · 34 readings
- 1984Range grid to sideways break in 1984 gold
- 1985When Gann lines, Gann angles, and a Fibonacci retracement coincide
- 1987Evaluating angular cycle overlays on independent stock swings
- 1988Multi-scale Elliott counts with Gann and Fibonacci confluence
- 1988Gann angles as hand-scaled chart geometry
- 1989A time, price, and pattern filter on one platinum sequence
- 1989Gann angles on point-and-figure grids
- 1990Gann price-time clusters for Elliott retracements
- 1990Channel regimes and Gann angle hinges
- 1990A gold campaign log as a trade procedure
- 1991A fourth Treasury bond resistance test as one time-price hypothesis
- 1991An eclipse calendar as a testable cycle scaffold
- 1992Gann-angle intersections and half-range zones
- 1998Wave and ratio self-similarity as a testable chart hypothesis
- 2000Constructing Gann fan angles from swing extremes
- 2002Combining Fibonacci retracement, Gann angles, and the moving average in FX
- 2002Halfway retracement as a trend confirmation filter
- 2006Volume distribution, Fibonacci extensions, and Gann angles on one downswing
- 2007Constructing Gann fans as currency support and resistance
- 2010ABC completion, wave-two windows, and Gann ratios
- 2010Constructing a Gann, Fibonacci, and decade-scale reversal cluster
- 2010Gann angles as timed tests that still need structure and RSI
- 2010Gann angles heritage is not a signal
- 2010Gann-fan time windows confirmed by Elliott-wave position
- 2010Gann angles as a repeatable chart hypothesis
- 2011Wave and ratio overlays as confirmation, not forecasts
- 2013Gold wave four as a time and price cluster check
- 2014A case study that separates cycle forecasts from Gann and Elliott readings
- 2014Relative charting, Gann angles, and trendline breakouts
- 2016Gann fans and a 2016 long-wave case as checkpoints, not forecasts
- 2017Gann angles, scale dependence, and the gap between legend and method
- 2017Gann angles as overlay, not original practice
- 2018Combine Gann angles, oscillator zones, and a protective stop
- 2020Confirming Gann hi-lo swings with ADX and stochastics