1995issue C051-4
The promised result as one testable trading procedure
A promised-result is a named financial objective chosen before action. The archive lets that objective set price, volatility, and size, then asks the trader to stay with the task instead of protecting comfort or ego.
- Traders are described as preferring unspecified aims, such as doing their best, over a named financial objective.
- A promised-result commits the trader to a matching strategy, and objective-led-parameters set price, volatility, and position size instead of comfort or ego protection.
- Result-release drops thoughts of the scoreboard so attention can stay on the trading task.
- Loss-aversion-hold explains why losing holdings stay open: people accept risk to avoid realizing a loss.
A named objective before any trade
Traders are described as preferring unspecified aims such as doing their best over a named financial objective. A specific-result commitment is defined as choosing a financial objective and then running a strategy built to match that objective.
In the language of this archive, that commitment is a promised-result: a named financial objective adopted before action, used to ask what else the procedure still requires.
What the objective is allowed to set
The financial objective is said to set the price, volatility, and size of positions rather than comfort or ego protection. Those settings are objective-led-parameters.
Realizing the objective is reduced to aligning capital amount, instrument volatility, and position size with the strategy. Volatility-position-sizing keeps a loss or exposure decision bounded before a trade is placed. Stop-loss does the same work for the exit bound: keep a loss or exposure decision bounded before a trade is placed.
Attention after the promise
After the result is promised, the trader is instructed to drop thoughts of the result and concentrate on the trading task. That shift is result-release: after the objective is set, attention leaves the scoreboard and stays on the trade task.
Entry, wait, and the same procedure
One delayed-entry pattern is described as acting only after about 50 percent of an advance has already occurred.
Editorial note: waiting is treated here as abstention inside the same procedure that also governs entry and exit, not as a separate temperament test. The trading-psychology-process use of these rules is to make entry, exit and abstention rules testable as one procedure.
Actions that stay with the strategy
Strategy-consistent actions listed include raising exit and stop-loss points, adding to a still-valid rising holding, and releasing losing holdings.
In a falling market, mastery is described as adjusting stops upward through countertrend rallies and covering a short that has gone wrong.
Why a losing holding stays open
People are described as avoiding risk when seeking gain and accepting risk to avoid losses, which is used to explain why losing positions are held. That pattern is loss-aversion-hold: the tendency to accept risk to avoid realizing a loss, which keeps losing holdings in place.
Editorial reading: the archive scores the procedure on whether stops, size, and release rules still match the promised-result under that pressure, not on whether holding the loss protected comfort or ego.
All readings on this track · 25 readings
- 1988Two-sided optimization for volatility-scaled breakout rules
- 1990Weekly range volatility as a tactical regime filter
- 1993Heat first, then contract count on a weekly close-only breakout
- 1994Shared sigma for trend entries, retests and stops
- 1995The promised result as one testable trading procedure
- 2001Convert a survival ceiling into a volatility filter
- 2002Bound the next loss before the bear trade
- 2004Dollar-loss tolerance versus percent-of-equity stops
- 2004Bounded risk before entry: stop, size, and leverage
- 2006Position sizing as the pre-trade bound on loss and exposure
- 2006A trend-regime matrix for volatility position sizing
- 2011A premarket range checklist for opening-hour breakouts
- 2011Stop-defined share count on a clustered intraday short
- 2012Mechanical system design with strategy, signals, and size
- 2012Precommit size before a one-day policy shock
- 2013R-multiple expectancy, drawdown, and volatility position sizing
- 2014Constructing trend-aware slope-divergence rules
- 2014Pretrade drawdown fences and volatility sizing
- 2015Convert pip value into cash before a forex lot size is chosen
- 2016Expectancy as an execution skill rather than a backtest score
- 2017Volatility parity equalizes the ticket; implied volatility is a regime dial
- 2018Wide-range breakout rules from chart volatility
- 2019A structure-based stop, then resize or pass
- 2020A cash rule that zeros a trend book on extreme volatility and a short losing window
- 2025R-multiples before you size up