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2008issue C071-5

A daily chart trend filter with Elliott wave abstention

A teaching process on the daily chart treats overtrading as the default beginner error. A trend filter supplies bias, Elliott wave analysis is used to pass corrections, and one market approach is kept after ordinary losing trades.

  • Overtrading is treated as the default beginner error. Success means identifying a longer-horizon trend and remaining in that position.
  • A daily-scale Alligator filter replaces trendlines and reports both the current bar and a higher-scale state of about three to five times the traded timeline.
  • Elliott wave analysis is an abstention filter: a market judged to be entering a correction or heavy congestion is passed rather than faded.
  • The process stays with one market approach after ordinary losing trades, because changing rules after a few losses is described as the usual way a usable method is ruined.
Entries in this reading3 entries

Overtrading is treated as the default error

The teaching process treats overtrading as the default beginner error. Success is defined as identifying a longer-horizon trend and remaining in that position rather than repeatedly entering and exiting.

The operational time frame is the daily chart. Instrument selection is chart-first: opportunities are checked against chart parameters, while company research and product fundamentals are not used as the decision basis.

Reducing continuous screen time is presented as improving results relative to watching markets throughout the session.

The trend filter replaces trendlines

Trendlines and Fibonacci measurements are not used. The Alligator filter is the trendline substitute and reports both the current bar and a higher-scale state of about three to five times the traded timeline.

On a 10-minute trade chart, that higher-scale filter is described as showing hourly and daily condition without opening those charts, by locating where price would be in the absence of new incoming information.

Elliott wave analysis decides when to sit out

Elliott wave analysis is used as an abstention filter. A market judged to be entering a correction or heavy congestion is passed rather than faded after a completed trend move.

The stated rationale for that abstention filter is that most losses occur during corrections, so avoiding correction trades is treated as a primary pain-reduction rule.

One approach after ordinary losses

The process requires choosing one market approach and keeping it after ordinary losing trades, because changing rules after a few losses is described as the usual way a usable method is ruined.

A first entry is often a countertrend signal that appears when a trend is judged overextended, using a bullish or bearish divergent bar or period rather than a continuation breakout.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
14 of 26 in the Elliott wave analysis track
20108-9 pp.Next on Elliott wave analysisRevising Elliott wave counts with RSI and stochastic guidesTreat a published Elliott label as a working hypothesis that must change once price exceeds a stated invalidation level.
All readings on this track · 26 readings
  1. 1984Three-gate confirmation for wave, ratio, and cycle turns
  2. 1988Triaging Elliott wave counts with weekly stochastic divergences
  3. 1989Dominant-cycle phase flips as regime tests
  4. 1989Audit signals against elasticity regimes
  5. 1990When wave counts fail the exclusion test
  6. 1991Evaluating hourly DJIA growth-rate and velocity attractors
  7. 1996If a terminal fifth is rewritten, fail the first count
  8. 1998Mapping industrial-average swings with Fibonacci growth and retracements
  9. 1999Define the stop before the wave or the divergence
  10. 2001Form-first Elliott wave construction with phi
  11. 2006Wave count, channel floor, and Fibonacci bands after a correction
  12. 2007Impulse and correction as a recursive fractal recipe
  13. 2008Gold-silver ratio as a shoreline wave
  14. 2008A daily chart trend filter with Elliott wave abstention
  15. 2010Revising Elliott wave counts with RSI and stochastic guides
  16. 2010Constructing corrective-wave hypotheses with Fibonacci retracements
  17. 2011Pre-commit the wave-and-ratio stop before entry
  18. 2012Dated wave and ratio cases need a later-sample test
  19. 2013Keep a 1-2-3 count only while zigzag, Fibonacci depth, and divergence still agree
  20. 2014Elliott-wave target versus the option bid-ask
  21. 2014A three-layer classroom on one daily futures chart
  22. 2015Elliott wave classifies the swing; trend following holds the trade
  23. 2016Constructing wave labels and retracement zones from chart structure
  24. 2017Sector ETF pairs in quiet regimes
  25. 2017A policy-shift case that tested a delayed long-cycle wave count
  26. 2018One role each for wave, Fibonacci, and stochastic
All 94 readings tagged Elliott wave analysis
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