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1999issue C101-7

A trend filter that switches tactics and scales ATR targets

A 14-period Average Directional Index on end-of-day data was treated as a coarse momentum gauge. The same reading chose trend or range tactics and then helped set a movable Average True Range profit objective.

  • A 14-period Average Directional Index on end-of-day data was treated as a coarse momentum gauge, with readings near 15 to 20 called weak and readings above 30 called stronger.
  • When the Average Directional Index was above 30, or below 30 and still rising, the same plan dropped range tools and judged the market by its relation to a long moving-average series.
  • When the Average Directional Index sat below 30 and was flat or falling, the plan treated price as losing momentum and switched to range tactics with bands and a 14-period relative-strength oscillator.
  • The Average Directional Index did not itself trigger an exit. Its level helped set an Average True Range profit objective from one range to 12 ranges, and that target could be raised if daily ranges expanded after entry.
Entries in this reading3 entries

A coarse momentum gauge

A 14-period Average Directional Index on end-of-day data was treated as a coarse momentum gauge. Readings near 15 to 20 were called weak. Readings above 30 were called stronger.

That reading was the Trend filter for one plan. It first chose whether the plan would follow a trend or treat price as a range. It later used the same level to help set an Average True Range profit objective.

When the plan follows the trend

When the Average Directional Index was above 30, or below 30 and still rising, the same plan dropped range tools and judged the market by its relation to a long moving-average series.

A high Average Directional Index on the chosen timeframe was read as a strong trend. The further claim was that a later reaction often retested an extreme, because momentum was expected to precede price.

A rising Average Directional Index in the 35 to 50 zone was used to stay with a strong move rather than take an early profit when price had already advanced about 25 percent in 30 days.

When the plan uses range tactics

When the Average Directional Index sat below 30 and was flat or falling, the same plan treated price as losing momentum. It switched to range tactics with bands and a 14-period relative-strength oscillator.

How the same reading sets an ATR target

The Average Directional Index did not itself trigger an exit. Its level instead helped set an Average True Range profit objective that could be as small as one range or as large as 12 ranges.

Editorial note: TradersWeek records that objective under ATR position sizing. The archive described a movable profit target, not a separate account-equity rule.

In one described stock-index system, a midrange Average Directional Index of 15 to 30 used a four-range profit objective, while very low or very high readings used a one-range objective.

The Average True Range target was treated as movable after entry. Expanding daily ranges could raise the number of ranges held for, rather than lock the original objective.

A preferred breakout setup

A long price base that drove the Average Directional Index to low levels was described as a preferred setup for a later breakout entry once the indicator began to rise.

14-period ADX on June 1999 crude oil

On the daily June 1999 crude contract the 14-period ADX sat under 15 while price drifted lower through February, then turned up in early March — the low-level rise LeBeau used as both setup and trigger. Values were read from the plotted ADX pane (scale 0 to 60); the 21 April close is the printed 48.33. Once the same reading moved through the 15–30 band and toward 58, his playbook would widen an ATR objective in that midrange and tighten it again at the high extreme.
On the daily June 1999 crude contract the 14-period ADX sat under 15 while price drifted lower through February, then turned up in early March — the low-level rise LeBeau used as both setup and trigger. Values were read from the plotted ADX pane (scale 0 to 60); the 21 April close is the printed 48.33. Once the same reading moved through the 15–30 band and toward 58, his playbook would widen an ATR objective in that midrange and tighten it again at the high extreme.June 1999 crude oil (CLM9) · daily · 1999-01-08T00:00:00.000Z to 1999-04-21T00:00:00.000Z

Points other than the labeled 48.33 close were read from the 0–60 ADX scale on the daily TradeStation pane and rounded to the nearest index point. Sampling is roughly weekly so the raster is not over-read. Lookback is the 14-period default on end-of-day bars.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
7 of 36 in the ATR position sizing track
20011-5 pp.Next on ATR position sizingFilter higher lows with linear regression, then judge the exitA higher-low sequence is treated as a late and noisy signal unless a filter decides which lows are worth acting on.
All readings on this track · 36 readings
  1. 1988Constructing unsigned true range for directional models
  2. 1989Evaluate an always-in ATR breakout as one procedure
  3. 1992Variable lookback and average true range as a trend-filter construction
  4. 1993A random-walk index that uses true range as its scale
  5. 1993A shared harness for trend-filter construction
  6. 1998Finish a trend with a volatility trail, wave permission, and a slower-frame veto
  7. 1999A trend filter that switches tactics and scales ATR targets
  8. 2001Filter higher lows with linear regression, then judge the exit
  9. 2003A Mechanical trading system is a maintained procedure, not only an entry trigger
  10. 2005Construction of a volatility-bounded long entry
  11. 2005Six-zone encoding of open, high, low, and close
  12. 2006Normalized average true range as a pre-entry volatility bound
  13. 2006Chandelier exits, ATR position sizing, and trailing stops
  14. 2007Constructing a rule-based entry with Relative Strength Index and ATR position sizing
  15. 2008Constructing a zero-lag TMA and heikin-ashi crossover as a complete rule set
  16. 2010Use the session-range percent stop as a pre-trade filter
  17. 2011OCA exit groups, trailing limits, and ATR stops
  18. 2011ATR bands around support and resistance for stops and targets
  19. 2013Algorithmic head-and-shoulders construction with bounded exits
  20. 2013Constructing ATR-scaled swing pivots and linear-regression divergence
  21. 2013Constructing volatility bands from typical price
  22. 2014Constructing true-range contraction filters before expansion
  23. 2015Constructing touch plans from modified true range
  24. 2015One checklist for breakout entry and ATR risk
  25. 2015Percentage true-range construction for cross-market volatility filters
  26. 2015Construct a percentage true range for cross-market volatility
  27. 2015Percentage true range as a pre-entry exposure filter
  28. 2016Constructing ATR-filtered breakout entries
  29. 2017A dividend date as a pairs-trading classroom
  30. 2018Range-based volatility as a true-range construction
  31. 2018Moving average support and volatility-band construction
  32. 2018Construct a lifecycle breakout from compression
  33. 2018Pair the book first and let volatility or range set the size
  34. 2019Trend systems need a no-trade rule
  35. 2020Average true range as a shared unit for size, pairs, and stops
  36. 2020Volatility sizing and target-risk leverage as a pre-trade gate
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