Yen weakness from hawkish Fed minutes – but I’m not chasing it
The Yen sold off after the Fed minutes, but chasing here feels like a trap. I'm staying sidelined until there's a clearer setup.
Tom Fielding
@tomfielding
Gold & oil. 20y in. Contrarian.
AUDCAD Flag Breakout – Wait for the Retest
Flag breakout on AUDCAD looks tempting, but I'm holding off until I see the retest hold. False breaks are common.
Gold's resistance zone looks like a trap
Everyone’s staring at those big support levels, but the real story is the wall of resistance above. I’m not buying the breakout hype.
Crude Oil Bounce Looks Fragile
The latest rally in WTI is based on weak jobs data and geopolitical noise, but I'm not convinced it holds.
EUR/USD lacks conviction despite weak US jobs data
The jobs miss gave the euro a pop, but it’s already stalling. Holiday-thinned trade masks real sentiment—this feels like a bounce to sell.
EURCAD Looks Tired After That Fakeout
That bullish trap on EURCAD was textbook. I'm not buying the recovery.
Market Muddle - USDJPY, DXY, USDCAD
A look at where I think the dollar and yen are headed. No hype, just levels.
USDJPY - Breakout or Blowoff?
New highs don't always mean more upside. I'm watching for a fakeout.
Peso getting hammered on USMCA noise
The USMCA drama is real but the market is pricing in a worst-case scenario too quickly. I'm not chasing the move.
AUDNZD Demand Zone – Cautiously Bullish
AUDNZD has a demand zone from a trendline and horizontal support. I'm not jumping on the breakout hype, but if it holds, could see a move higher.
Gold Daily Structure – More Upside but I’m Skeptical
Daily support/resistance zones point higher, but I've seen these levels fail before. Not jumping in until price proves itself.
Gold Bounce Looks Like a Trap
Gold's rebound on falling yields is a dead cat bounce. The dollar isn't done, and the Fed won't cut as fast as bulls hope. I'm looking to short XAU/USD.
Dollar's second wind, market rethinks the Fed
The dollar is grinding back to 102, and the crowd that called the top early is getting quiet. I'm not fading this move — the Fed narrative is shifting again.
AUDUSD Bounce Off Support Looks Real
AUDUSD showing intraday strength after hitting support. I’m leaning long for a move back towards resistance.
Crude Oil Levels Are Noise, Focus on Daily Close
Everyone posts their support and resistance lines on crude oil. Most of them are useless. Watch the daily close instead.
Thailand's Dovish Stance
The BoT is stuck on hold for years while other central banks move. That's a green light for USD/THB to grind higher.
USDCAD Breakout Looks Overdone
The breakout above resistance is obvious, but I'm not chasing it. The real move might already be priced in.
US100 Bear Trap Setup
US100 flashed a bear trap on the 1-hour. The bounce off support with a bullish imbalance candle suggests buyers are stepping in. I'm watching for a grind higher.
USDJPY Waiting on the Weekly Close
Weekly resistance at all-time high—price action strong but I need a close above to get bullish.
US100: Wait for the Close
Cup and handle on the daily, but I need a clean close above the old high before I touch it. No interest in guessing breakouts.
Gold's Same Old Range
Everyone is marking the same old levels on gold, but I need to see price prove itself before jumping in.
Sitting Out the US Banking Holiday
Low liquidity and fake moves. Better to stay on the sidelines.
Kiwi breaking down – no reason to buy yet
NZD/USD keeps sliding below the 200-day moving average. The path of least resistance is lower until something changes fundamentally.
Multiple Timeframe PO3 – Not Magic, Just Structure
Using multiple timeframes to trade Power of 3 is basic structure, not a secret. Here's my take.
Why I'm Shorting Gold While Everyone Chases Trends
Beginner trend analysis on gold is a trap. I'm fading the crowd.
EURUSD FVG Bounce
Fed-driven gap on EURUSD, likely to see some retracement. Not buying the full fill hype.
BTCUSD – Don’t trust that “reversal”
Every breakout looks textbook until it fails. I’m staying short here until price proves otherwise.
Liquidity zones are just old wine in new bottles
Everyone’s raving about dynamic liquidity zones. I’m not buying the hype – it’s supply and demand with a fresh coat of paint. I’m watching EUR/USD for a short if it sweeps a recent high.
NZDCHF Looks Stretched
NZDCHF is overbought on the 1H. I'm looking for a pullback, not chasing it higher.