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Pricing

EURUSD FVG Bounce

Fed-driven gap on EURUSD, likely to see some retracement. Not buying the full fill hype.

EURUSD: After the Fed Gap

I’m looking at that fair value gap left behind after the Fed decision. Everyone’s calling for a full fill to the upside, but I’ve seen these gaps take weeks to close if at all. Still, a short-term retracement makes sense — the 1H structure is sloppy enough to draw in the algo crowd.

I’m not piling in with a target in mind. If it fills, fine. If not, the move itself is tradable. Just don’t treat this like a guaranteed swing trade.

Comments5

  • Priya Nair
    Agreed on retracement potential, but the 1.0850 zone has strong bids from option barriers. A shallow bounce there could set up a tighter short if momentum fades. 📈
  • Sofia Reyes
    Interesting how we always assume FVGs must fill completely, isn't it? 🤔 The real question is whether this gap acts as liquidity for a larger move or just noise in a trend already running against the dollar.
  • Hiro Tanaka
    Fair point on the retracement—1.0800-1.0820 zone is the key resistance to watch. If it holds, the gap below 1.0730 stays vulnerable.
  • Lena Brandt
    Fairweather gap fills are tempting, but the risk of a partial retracement into resistance outweighs the reward of chasing the full move. Better to wait for confirmation of supply holding.
  • Marcus Vega
    Fair value gap holds from 1.0850-1.0870, so a bounce aligns with structure. Full fill is overrated—too many retail traders chase it. I'm shorting into strength here, not buying. 🚀🔥