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1990issue C121-2

A failed median-line test marks the start of wave three

After wave one, a wave-two correction that never reaches the previous median line is treated as the indication that a third-wave advance has already started.

  • A median line is drawn from three consecutive pivots by projecting a line from the first pivot through the midpoint of the later two.
  • The median-line method states that price reaches the median line about 80% of the time and is described as often reversing when it meets that line.
  • In an Elliott five-wave thrust, the wave-two checkpoint is the end of the second wave and is treated as the typical start of a third-wave move.
  • A failed median-line test is a wave-two correction that does not reach the previously drawn median line, and it is used as an indication that wave three has started.
Entries in this reading2 entries

A checkpoint after wave one

This archive article walks through a combined reading of a median line and an Elliott five-wave thrust. The historical workflow watches the pullback after wave one. If that wave-two correction does not reach the previously drawn median line, the miss is treated as an indication that wave three has started.

How the median line is drawn

A median line is drawn from three consecutive pivots labeled A, B, and C. Mark the midpoint of the move from B to C, then project a line from A through that midpoint. Each pivot is a swing turn, also treated as an Elliott-wave end, and is used as a construction point.

What the median-line method expects

The median-line method states that price reaches the median line about 80% of the time. Price is described as often reversing when it meets the median line.

The wave-two checkpoint

An Elliott five-wave thrust is a directional price structure described as containing five or more waves. A common observation point in a five-wave advance is the end of the second wave. That wave-two checkpoint is treated as the typical start of a third-wave move.

The failed median-line test

The combined reading states that more than 95% of the time price does not reach the median line at the end of the second wave, which is also treated as the start of the third wave.

After wave one, a wave-two correction that fails to reach the previous median line is used as an indication that wave three has started. That miss is the failed median-line test: a wave-two correction that does not reach the previously drawn median line after wave one.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
4 of 19 in the Median line track
19951-10 pp.Next on Median lineConstructing three-pivot median-line channelsA median-line formation is a long center line plus two shorter parallels, and each of the three lines is treated as a candidate support or resistance level.
All readings on this track · 19 readings
  1. 1985Constructing median lines from graded pivots
  2. 1986Constructing median and action-reaction lines from pivots
  3. 1989Median line construction from three market turns
  4. 1990A failed median-line test marks the start of wave three
  5. 1995Constructing three-pivot median-line channels
  6. 1996Median-line pitchfork construction for trend and reversal tests
  7. 2000Nested median-line channels as falsifiable swing tests
  8. 2002Median-line versus speed-resistance on one trend
  9. 2003Independent witnesses: a median-line miss, a breadth average, and volume bands
  10. 2012Constructing oblique trendlines and median-line channels
  11. 2013Gold futures wave four, competing complexes, and written ratio tests
  12. 2013The weekly 1-2-3 map as a permission layer
  13. 2014Measured-move and daily pivot price-projection construction
  14. 2014Constructing median-line channels from a pivot
  15. 2016Median-line far parallel as a precommitted exit
  16. 2017How high is high: Elliott wave landmarks
  17. 2017A three-layer veto for a suspected third-wave high
  18. 2020Basic chart rules for Nasdaq trend reversals
  19. 2020Stacking wave counts, retracements, and median lines
All 19 readings tagged Median line
Also on Median line5 readings