1990issue C121-2
A failed median-line test marks the start of wave three
After wave one, a wave-two correction that never reaches the previous median line is treated as the indication that a third-wave advance has already started.
- A median line is drawn from three consecutive pivots by projecting a line from the first pivot through the midpoint of the later two.
- The median-line method states that price reaches the median line about 80% of the time and is described as often reversing when it meets that line.
- In an Elliott five-wave thrust, the wave-two checkpoint is the end of the second wave and is treated as the typical start of a third-wave move.
- A failed median-line test is a wave-two correction that does not reach the previously drawn median line, and it is used as an indication that wave three has started.
A checkpoint after wave one
This archive article walks through a combined reading of a median line and an Elliott five-wave thrust. The historical workflow watches the pullback after wave one. If that wave-two correction does not reach the previously drawn median line, the miss is treated as an indication that wave three has started.
How the median line is drawn
A median line is drawn from three consecutive pivots labeled A, B, and C. Mark the midpoint of the move from B to C, then project a line from A through that midpoint. Each pivot is a swing turn, also treated as an Elliott-wave end, and is used as a construction point.
What the median-line method expects
The median-line method states that price reaches the median line about 80% of the time. Price is described as often reversing when it meets the median line.
The wave-two checkpoint
An Elliott five-wave thrust is a directional price structure described as containing five or more waves. A common observation point in a five-wave advance is the end of the second wave. That wave-two checkpoint is treated as the typical start of a third-wave move.
The failed median-line test
The combined reading states that more than 95% of the time price does not reach the median line at the end of the second wave, which is also treated as the start of the third wave.
After wave one, a wave-two correction that fails to reach the previous median line is used as an indication that wave three has started. That miss is the failed median-line test: a wave-two correction that does not reach the previously drawn median line after wave one.
All readings on this track · 19 readings
- 1985Constructing median lines from graded pivots
- 1986Constructing median and action-reaction lines from pivots
- 1989Median line construction from three market turns
- 1990A failed median-line test marks the start of wave three
- 1995Constructing three-pivot median-line channels
- 1996Median-line pitchfork construction for trend and reversal tests
- 2000Nested median-line channels as falsifiable swing tests
- 2002Median-line versus speed-resistance on one trend
- 2003Independent witnesses: a median-line miss, a breadth average, and volume bands
- 2012Constructing oblique trendlines and median-line channels
- 2013Gold futures wave four, competing complexes, and written ratio tests
- 2013The weekly 1-2-3 map as a permission layer
- 2014Measured-move and daily pivot price-projection construction
- 2014Constructing median-line channels from a pivot
- 2016Median-line far parallel as a precommitted exit
- 2017How high is high: Elliott wave landmarks
- 2017A three-layer veto for a suspected third-wave high
- 2020Basic chart rules for Nasdaq trend reversals
- 2020Stacking wave counts, retracements, and median lines