1994issue C121-2
Cup-and-handle base construction and volume breakout
The archive specifies depth, handle placement, and volume tests for a cup-and-handle. Editorial reading: those tests let a familiar outline be rejected when the base is too deep for its age, the handle sits too low, or volume fails to contract and then expand.
- A cup-shaped base is described as forming in intermediate corrections, most often over three to six months, and cups deeper than 45 percent are treated as less constructive than shallower bases of similar age.
- A handle is a multi-week, low-volume drift in the upper half of the cup and above the 200-day moving average, not a later retest of the cup lows.
- Volume-price analysis looks for almost no activity at the lows, rising volume on rally days, a dry handle, and a heavy-volume breakout through the ceiling.
- Daily leadership lists are read as a market-health snapshot by checking whether highlighted names show high earnings and relative-strength ranks and are still forming bases.
Construction before outline
A cup-and-handle is a rounded decline and recovery followed by a shorter downward-drifting pause that is meant to set up an attempt at new highs. The archive does not stop at that outline. It specifies how deep the cup may be for its age, where the handle may sit, and how volume should behave before a later upside attempt is treated as a completed structure.
Base-building means letting price complete a bounded, time-consuming correction after a prior advance so a later upside attempt can be judged against a defined structure instead of a one-day bounce. The cup is that bounded correction. The later pause is supposed to finish the structure, not restart it.
Depth read with the age of the base
A cup-shaped base is described as forming during intermediate market corrections, most often over three to six months, with a stated span from seven weeks to twelve months.
Base-depth is the percentage retreat from the left-side high to the cup low, read together with how many weeks the base has taken to form. Cups that retreat more than 45 percent are treated as overly deep and less constructive than shallower bases formed during the same kind of intermediate decline. One depth-and-duration guideline pairs a 12 to 20 percent base with 7 to 13 weeks and a 21 to 35 percent base with 13 to 26 weeks.
Tight-action and volume inside the cup
A constructive cup is expected to show tight ranges near the lows, almost no volume at those lows, and rising volume on rally days, sometimes after a more erratic left side settles on the right side. Tight-action is those small daily ranges after a more erratic left side, especially around the cup lows, showing the base is settling rather than still swinging widely.
Volume-price analysis uses volume as a quality filter on the same price structure: nearly absent activity at the lows, expansion on rally days, and a dry handle before a heavy-volume emergence.
Where a handle is allowed to sit
The handle is framed as a necessary pause before a new-high breakout. It usually lasts more than one or two weeks, drifts lower on very low volume, occupies the upper half of the cup (preferably the upper third), and remains above the 200-day moving average. In the archive wording, the handle is the shorter, usually low-volume pullback after the right side of the cup. It is expected in the upper half of the base and above the 200-day moving average, not at the cup low.
A later consolidation that retests the cup lows is distinguished from a true handle. When relative-strength rank is 96 or higher, a heavy-volume breakout from that consolidation is presented as an earlier alternative to waiting for a handle. Relative-strength rank is a 1-to-99 score of twelve-month price change versus a broad universe, with extra weight on the latest quarter. The archive calculation uses twelve-month percentage price change, assigning 40 percent weight to the latest three months and 20 percent to each of the other three quarters, then scales results from 99 down to 1.
Breakout as the completed-base test
A breakout is a move through the handle or later consolidation ceiling, typically toward new highs, used to confirm the completed base rather than a bounce still inside it. Volume-price analysis treats the heavy-volume emergence as the quality check on that ceiling break after the dry handle.
Leadership lists as a market-health snapshot
Daily leadership lists are read as a market-health snapshot by noting whether most highlighted names carry high or low earnings and relative-strength ranks and whether most are forming bases. Names printed in bold are defined as those with both earnings-per-share rank and relative-strength rank above 80, described as the top 20 percent of that ranking universe. Earnings-per-share rank is a 1-to-99 score that blends multi-year earnings growth and stability with recent quarterly acceleration versus the same universe.
All readings on this track · 17 readings
- 1994Cup-and-handle base construction and volume breakout
- 1996Constructing a mobility oscillator from price distributions
- 1996Float turnover as a construction rule for bases and breakouts
- 2001A historically derived growth checklist for entry, exit, and staying out
- 2003Base-building then breakout after a market bottom
- 2005Commodity group bases, breakouts and pennants
- 2005Logic-first construction of a base-break system
- 2005Quiet bases copied onto an intradacy clock
- 2005Failed cup-with-handle after earnings and float filters
- 2006Turning flat bases into breakout system rules
- 2007Base-building holds versus swing timing
- 2007Confirmed index highs, style-fit trend systems, and bases
- 2007Name the sideways regime before you test the breakout
- 2011A three-peaks-and-a-domed-house chart is not a complete timing model
- 2014Constructing a volume-capacity channel from a sideways base
- 2016Waves, bases, and the campaign log on a price chart
- 2020Ratio charts as regime context for relative strength and yield spreads