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1989issue C101-5

Constructing a suggest-then-confirm Money Flow Index

Build Money Flow Index against its own running mean so a cross is only a suggestion, then add a percent-volume-change gate that can confirm or reject the idea when participation does not support the money-flow reading.

  • Money Flow Index maps the money ratio onto a 0-100 scale, and the money ratio is accumulated positive money flow divided by accumulated negative money flow.
  • AvgMFI is the mean of every Money Flow Index reading from the sample start through the current bar, and an MFI-AvgMFI cross is only a suggestion.
  • A later material percent volume change confirms or rejects that suggestion according to how the volume move affects Money Flow Index.
  • Weighted on-balance volume is a visual check that should move with Money Flow Index, and it can replace the money-flow input so flow sign follows the change in average price.
Entries in this reading2 entries

Build money flow from the bar

A bar's money flow equals volume times average price. Average price is the mean of high, low, and close. Over a trader-chosen window, positive money flow and negative money flow are the sums of the hourly money-flow observations in each category.

The money ratio is positive money flow divided by negative money flow. Money Flow Index is constructed by mapping the money ratio onto a 0-100 scale as 100 minus 100 divided by one plus that ratio.

Compare Money Flow Index with AvgMFI

AvgMFI is the average of all Money Flow Index values from the start of the series to the current bar. Percent volume change can be averaged the same way.

A shorter window makes Money Flow Index more sensitive versus AvgMFI. A longer window reduces that sensitivity. An MFI-AvgMFI cross is only a suggestion.

Add a percent volume change gate

The stack was built to reduce false moving-average-cross signals by suggesting first and confirming or rejecting later. After the suggestion, a later material percent volume change confirms or rejects it according to how that volume move affects Money Flow Index.

If participation does not support the money-flow reading, the percent volume change gate can reject the idea.

Use weighted on-balance volume as a visual check

Weighted on-balance volume is volume times the change in average price. It is intended as a visual check that should move with Money Flow Index.

Substituting weighted on-balance volume for the money-flow input ties positive flow to a rise in average price and negative flow to a decline.

Worked May 1989 sequence

The worked May 1989 example used a three-day window equal to 21 collected points. One sequence showed Money Flow Index falling to 30 with a 300 percent volume change. A later sequence treated an 800 percent volume change as the stronger confirmation reading.

Chevron Money Flow Index, May 1989

Daily Money Flow Index for Chevron during the May 1989 advance. The reading collapses to 30 on May 10, then rises through 63 on May 12, which the author treats as a suggestion to look at the June 55 call. A second dip to 44 on May 17 is followed by a climb to 73–94 into May 25, where he takes profit with the index above 90. Numbers come from the MFI column of the printed Chevron June 55 call blotter.
Daily Money Flow Index for Chevron during the May 1989 advance. The reading collapses to 30 on May 10, then rises through 63 on May 12, which the author treats as a suggestion to look at the June 55 call. A second dip to 44 on May 17 is followed by a climb to 73–94 into May 25, where he takes profit with the index above 90. Numbers come from the MFI column of the printed Chevron June 55 call blotter.Chevron June 55 call · daily · 1989-05-09T00:00:00.000Z to 1989-05-26T00:00:00.000Z

The author used a three-day MFI window, equal to 21 hourly LiveWire points, on this rally. AvgMFI is not printed in the blotter; he marks the May 12 reading of 63 as the cross above that running mean.

Editorial reading of the two-gate lab

Editorial. This TradersWeek reading treats the construction as a lab sequence, not as a finished trading rule. The first gate publishes a candidate when Money Flow Index crosses AvgMFI. The second gate asks whether a material percent volume change then moves Money Flow Index in a way that supports that candidate.

Window length belongs to the construction. A shorter window raises sensitivity versus AvgMFI and a longer window damps it, so the suggestion itself changes with the chosen window.

Educational research material, not investment advice. Historical source context does not establish present-day performance.
3 of 13 in the Money Flow Index track
19931-6 pp.Next on Money Flow IndexFive-rung money flow from signed print volumeThe money-flow-index is a day’s running total that adds uptick-volume and subtracts downtick-volume, so a large print moves the series more than a small print.
All readings on this track · 13 readings
  1. 1988Constructing tick-weighted money flow and price divergences
  2. 1989Four-state money-flow-index as permission for a next-bar breakout-system
  3. 1989Constructing a suggest-then-confirm Money Flow Index
  4. 1993Five-rung money flow from signed print volume
  5. 1993Physics analogies for building cycle and money flow indicators
  6. 1994Keep a wave count as a draft until money flow and a trendline agree
  7. 1999Take the rectangular-base breakout from money-flow confirmation, not from a late strength average
  8. 2004Constructing a volume-flow rule from money flow
  9. 2006Classify the regime before the bar read
  10. 2015Constructing a bounded money-flow oscillator from range and volume
  11. 2016Combining RSI, moving averages, and money flow
  12. 2018Five-rule technical rating as a rotation filter
  13. 2020Combining money-flow, RSI, and breadth for dynamic pressure zones
All 16 readings tagged Money Flow Index
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