Market news
Crypto, stocks, forex and macro, aggregated for traders.
Trump and Zelenskyy Discuss Weapons Production, Patriot Licenses in White House Meeting
President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy met at the White House ahead of Senator Graham's funeral. Discussions focused on Ukraine's weapons production, Patriot interceptor licenses, and reinvigorating diplomacy.
Divided Market Awaits Unprecedented Fed Rate Decision
Interest rate futures show a 30% chance of a hike and 70% chance of a cut, a rare split ahead of a Fed meeting. Fed Chair Warsh has removed forward guidance, adding to uncertainty.
WTI Crude Slips Below $80, Bears Eye 200-Day SMA
West Texas Intermediate crude fell nearly 4% on Tuesday, extending Monday’s 9% plunge after the US and Iran paused military exchanges. The breakdown below $80 has sellers targeting the 200-day simple moving average.
All Semiconductor Stocks Slide Below 50-Day Moving Average in Broad Selloff
Every component of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has fallen beneath its 50-day moving average for the first time since April 2025, as the index loses 18.9% in July.
Gold Recovery Delayed by Hawkish Fed, Price Down Nearly 30% from Record
Gold has fallen nearly 30% from its January record as higher real yields and hawkish Federal Reserve expectations weigh, according to Commerzbank.
NinjaTrader Adds CME Group Single Stock Futures, Giving Traders Direct Access to Nvidia, Tesla and Apple
NinjaTrader Group has launched CME Group Single Stock futures on its platform, giving eligible retail traders direct access to contracts on Nvidia, Tesla, Apple and Amazon. The rollout spans more than 50 companies from major U.S. indices.
Oil Prices Drop on US-Iran Deal Hopes and Fragile Supply Flows
Brent crude sold off sharply as tensions between the US and Iran eased, with President Trump signaling optimism for a deal. ING analysts also highlight ongoing risks to key maritime passageways.
Fed Decision on Knife-Edge, ING Analyst Says
ING’s Padhraic Garvey sees a 60% chance the Federal Reserve holds rates steady at the upcoming FOMC meeting, warning the decision could surprise markets.
AI boom splits software stocks: infrastructure and security soar while applications slump
The AI revolution is driving a stark divergence in software stocks, with infrastructure and security indices up 22% YTD, while vertical and application software indices are down 28% and 34% respectively, dragging the broad index to -13%.
Mixed Open for U.S. Stocks: Dow Gains While Nasdaq and S&P 500 Slip
U.S. equities started the session unevenly, with the Dow rising 0.65% while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 edged lower.
ING Sees Tight Copper Supply Supporting Prices
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlight that copper's July rally has been driven by easing Middle East tensions, tight physical conditions, low inventories and firm Chinese import demand.
DBS economist: markets price 34% chance of July Fed hike, investors cautious
Investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming FOMC decisions, with markets pricing a 34% probability of a rate increase in July, according to DBS Group Research.
ADP Data Reveals US Private Hiring Slows to 15K Weekly Average
The four-week average for private-sector job gains in the US has cooled to 15,000 per week, according to ADP’s weekly NER Pulse, signaling further easing in labor market momentum.
Prediction Markets Slightly Raise Odds of Fed Rate Hike in July
Polymarket and Kalshi showed a modest increase in the probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting, though a pause remains the consensus.
German traders can now access NinjaTrader’s full futures trading environment through TradingView platform
NinjaTrader has brought its full futures trading environment to German clients via TradingView, marking its first expansion into the European retail market.
Gold Drops to $4,047 as Fed Rate Worries Mount
Gold declined to $4,047 per ounce on Tuesday, erasing the prior session's gains, pressured by heightened expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes.
AI Automation Triggers Customer Service Job Cuts
Companies like Microsoft, Uber, and Hyatt are deploying AI to automate call centers, leading to thousands of job reductions. Analysts forecast nearly half of customer service roles could be affected by 2030.
Kospi Circuit Breaker Triggers as China DUV Challenges ASML
South Korea's Kospi index hit a circuit breaker amid a sharp sell-off, while Chinese advances in DUV lithography threaten ASML's market dominance. Investors also await SK Hynix earnings and the Fed decision.
Anthropic CEO: No Ban on Open-Weight Models, But Strict Oversight Needed
Dario Amodei said Anthropic does not support an outright ban on open-weight AI models, but called for strong safeguards including chip export limits to China and mandatory safety testing for powerful LLMs.
Warsh Remarks Set to Disappoint Markets as Fed Leans Hawkish Despite Data
US economic data offers no basis for a rate hike, but upcoming remarks by former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh could still sound a hawkish note, disappointing markets.
Silver Prices Dip 1.45% as Geopolitical Tensions Ease, Fed Decision Looms
Silver (XAG/USD) falls over 1% on Tuesday, pressured by reduced safe-haven demand from easing geopolitical tensions and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy announcement.
NFL Calls on CFTC to Ban Easy-to-Manipulate Sports Prediction Contracts
The National Football League urged the CFTC to ban sports prediction contracts that could be influenced by a single person, such as bets on a kicker missing a field goal or a quarterback’s first pass being inaccurate.
Fed Expected to Hold Rates in July, Focus Stays on Data
BNY strategists see the Fed keeping rates unchanged at the July meeting, with the decision described as a close call. Dollar traders remain highly sensitive to incoming economic data.
Trump’s Tuesday: Ukraine, Israel Leader Meetings and Tele-Rally
President Trump’s Tuesday schedule includes meetings with the leaders of Ukraine and Israel, a funeral attendance, and a tele-rally.