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macroJul 14, 2026, 12:32 PM

US June CPI Inflation Drops to 3.5%, Below Expectations

June CPI inflation fell to 3.5% year-over-year, below the expected 3.8%. Core CPI fell to 2.6%, below 2.8% forecast. Month-over-month CPI dropped 0.4%, the largest decline since May 2020. US stock futures surged.

June CPI inflation came in at 3.5% year-over-year, undershooting the consensus estimate of 3.8%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, also eased to 2.6% versus the forecast 2.8%.

On a month-over-month basis, CPI fell 0.4%, marking the steepest monthly decline since May 2020. The data suggests cooling inflation pressure, prompting a sharp rally in US stock index futures.

Source: The Kobeissi Letter