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macroJun 16, 2026, 5:32 PM

Gold's $300 Recovery Leaves Markets Awaiting Fed Clues

Gold has rebounded roughly $300 from its early-June low of $4,023, with the metal's next major move hinging on upcoming Fed policy signals. Traders are divided on whether the rally can push toward $4,500 or if a retest of $4,000 is more likely.

XAUUSD

Gold hit a multi-month low near $4,023 in early June — its weakest level since last November. Since then, the precious metal has staged a recovery of approximately $300, reigniting debate over the sustainability of the uptrend.

The rally faces a pivotal test as markets turn attention to the Federal Reserve's next policy decision. Traders are weighing two scenarios: a breakout toward $4,500 if the Fed signals a dovish pivot, or a pullback back toward $4,000 if hawkish surprises emerge.

No explicit price targets have been set, but the outcome of the Fed meeting is widely seen as the catalyst that will determine gold's near-term direction.

Source: FXStreet Forex News