Research method
Volatility forecast
Volatility forecast is a canonical archive-taxonomy method; this registry entry defines its inputs, output and use boundary.
- Output
- Conditional forecast or research filter
- Input
- Ordered price, volume or breadth observations
- Horizon
- A defined sampling interval and lookback
- Best use
- Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.
- Input: Ordered price, volume or breadth observations.
- Output: forecast.
- Use boundary: Compare an explicit quantitative baseline with an out-of-sample result.
The archive
Where the method has been read
Read in the archive6 readings
1994Constructing hourly index futures lattices from live volatility1995A short-to-long historical-volatility ratio as a regime-gate2001Constructing a variable-interval average from a difference-oscillator or volatility forecast2006Percent-scale average true range for comparable range2007Historical compression and implied slope as a futures regime map2013GARCH and a volatility rank as market-regime classifiers
This registry entry describes a research method. It is not investment advice and does not make a performance claim.