1992issue C121-10
Constructing a five-cycle time-ratio workbook
A time-projection sheet treats cycle lengths as dates rather than prices, so the same proportioning used on a price swing can be applied to calendar spans. Construction uses five named cycles, a short ratio series, and a primary-ratio cluster rule, then scores projected dates only as possible opposite pivots.
- Treat cycle lengths as dates so the same proportioning used on a price swing can be applied to calendar spans.
- Identify five cycles with a fixed swing-pair rule: the direct-time-retracement, two alternate-cycle measures, the prior-cycle, and the prior-dual-cycle.
- Count a time-cluster only when a primary-ratio from a past cycle lands inside it; other dates are confirming-ratio support.
- Score each window as a possible opposite pivot, and require price structure, pattern position, and a reversal signal before treating it as a trend-termination hypothesis.
A time-projection sheet treats cycle lengths as dates rather than prices, so the same proportioning used on a price swing can be applied to calendar spans.
Construction starts from five named cycles. Each cycle is identified by a fixed swing-pair rule so the sheet can project the same relationships from any completed high or low.
Five cycles from a fixed swing-pair rule
The five named cycles are the latest swing into the last pivot, the prior two same-direction swings, the last like-to-like cycle, and the dual like-to-like cycle of similar degree.
In this workbook those windows are the direct-time-retracement, two alternate-cycle measures, the prior-cycle, and the prior-dual-cycle.
The direct-time-retracement is the most recent swing into the last pivot, proportioned and projected forward from that pivot. An alternate-cycle is a prior swing in the same direction as the current move, measured then projected from the last pivot.
The prior-cycle is the last same-direction pair of like pivots: high-to-high after a low, or low-to-low after a high. The prior-dual-cycle is the span from the last like pivot to the third like pivot of similar degree.
Primary-ratio and confirming-ratio dates
The ratio set used on the sheet includes 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.707, 1, 1.414, 1.618, 1.732, 2, 2.618, and 3. The values 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.618, and 2.618 are treated as a primary-ratio.
A future date cluster is not treated as valid unless at least one primary-ratio from a past cycle lands inside that cluster. Other ratios are only a confirming-ratio.
Score a cluster as an opposite pivot
A time-cluster is a short window where several cycle-ratio dates coincide. It is treated as a candidate only if a primary-ratio is present.
Projected dates are scored only as a possible opposite pivot. After a cycle low they are candidate highs, and after a cycle high they are candidate lows.
Keep a short series and confirm with price
Using a large indiscriminate ratio list produces a target on almost every later day, so a practical sheet keeps a short ratio series and only a few well-defined windows set in advance.
Time clusters are not used alone. Price structure, pattern position, and a reversal signal are required before treating a window as a trend-termination hypothesis.
Use more than one degree
The same cycle-ratio construction can be run on swings of more than one degree, including hourly bars to confirm a daily intermediate-degree map.
All readings on this track · 14 readings
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- 1992Constructing clustered static and dynamic cycle forecasts
- 1992Constructing a five-cycle time-ratio workbook
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- 2003Constructing nested fifth waves with Fibonacci ratios
- 2010Seasons, the Wall cycle, and Fibonacci time on a 1949 long wave
- 2011Building Fibonacci and Lucas time-cycle markers
- 2013Contracting Fibonacci time posts as a dominant-cycle classroom case
- 2013Classify the origin low before counting the next advance
- 2014Calling a cycle end with range bars, median lines, and Fibonacci
- 2015Building reaction zones with swings and median lines