2019issue C0812-16
Objective Fibonacci grids for support, retracement, and projection
Lock the most obvious swing high and swing low and Fibonacci ratios become a shared grid for support, resistance, and fade levels. How deep the last pullback ran then decides whether a later projection should stay modest or stretch farther.
- Once the swing high and swing low are fixed, Fibonacci retracement and extension are framed as more objective than freely drawn trendlines or horizontal lines.
- The suggested swing anchors are the most obvious high and low on the working timeframe, so other Fibonacci users are more likely to share the same levels.
- Strong trends are linked with shallow pullbacks that often stall near the 38.2% retracement, while weaker trends or major highs and lows are linked with deeper 61.8% or 78.6% pullbacks.
- After a range break, a shallow prior retracement is linked with a 161.8% extension and a deeper retracement with a 127.2% extension.
A shared measuring grid
Freely drawn trendlines and horizontal lines can be placed in many ways depending on candle extremes, timeframe, and which points are chosen. Fibonacci retracement and extension levels are framed as more objective once the swing anchors are fixed.
Support and resistance here are price zones where buying or selling is expected to reappear. They are derived from a measured Fibonacci grid rather than from freely drawn lines.
Fix the most obvious swing anchors
The remaining discretionary step is choosing the swing high and swing low. The suggested default is the most obvious pair on the working timeframe so other Fibonacci users are more likely to share those levels.
Those swing anchors are the most obvious high and low on the working timeframe from which the retracement and projection grid is drawn. A small set of commonly used Fibonacci ratios is presented as further limiting how many candidate levels a reader has to choose among.
Read retracement as candidate support and resistance
Fibonacci retracement is pullback ratios measured from a chosen swing high and swing low and read as candidate support or resistance on that same chart scale.
Strong trends are associated with shallow pullbacks that often stall near the 38.2% retracement, while weaker trends or major highs and lows are associated with deeper pullbacks to the 61.8% or 78.6% retracements before reversing.
A Fibonacci retracement that coincides with a psychologically round price, a moving average, a prior broken level, or a trendline is described as more likely to attract buying or selling than an isolated ratio. That overlap is a confluence zone: a price area where a Fibonacci ratio sits with another widely watched reference.
Let prior pullback depth set the projection
Fibonacci projection is extension ratios measured beyond the origin of a completed swing and used as candidate continuation targets after a retracement or range break.
The working rule is that shallow pullbacks in strong trends and deeper pullbacks in weak trends should change how far a later extension is expected to travel. After a range break, a shallow retracement is linked with a 161.8% extension, and a deeper retracement with a 127.2% extension.
When price advances into new-high territory and prior horizontal targets disappear, the 127.2%, 161.8%, and 281.6% extensions are offered as non-discretionary alternative objectives on monthly as well as daily or hourly charts.
Keep the fade rules small
One fully specified, untested illustration fades a pullback in a downtrend at the 78.6% retracement, places a stop beyond the 127.2% extension, and aims near the 0% origin of the measured decline.
Developing traders are told to keep entries and exits rule-based and to add confirming tools, but not so many that setup selection freezes.
All readings on this track · 18 readings
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- 2001Constructing butterfly-spreads from a weekly impulse to daily D
- 2002Projected Fibonacci targets from breakout levels
- 2004Constructing wave-ratio clusters with Fibonacci and Gann
- 2006Third-wave impulse counts wait for a dated cluster
- 2006Wave and ratio checkpoints versus a dominant dollar story
- 2007A 2007 EUR/JPY news shock as a Fibonacci retest drill
- 2008Constructing Fibonacci retracement, projection, and range maps
- 2010Swing projection targets and support-backed put sales
- 2010Fibonacci clusters as a tight support or resistance decision
- 2011Fibonacci projections and money-flow divergence on a Dollar Index downswing
- 2011Crude oil wave confluence as a decision map
- 2016Box range projections for cup breakout entries
- 2018Fibonacci pinball and the 2016 election-week scoring drill
- 2019Named line-break rules for a wave count and Fibonacci map
- 2019Objective Fibonacci grids for support, retracement, and projection
- 2020Gold Super Cycle nested waves and Fibonacci bands
- 2020Intra-swing Fibonacci fitting and completion targets